A New Approach to the Economic Theory of Fertility Behavior
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An increase in (particularly women's) earnings tends to reduce fertility.
“Willis (1973) and Moffitt (1984) were among the first to show that an increase in (particularly women's) earnings tends to reduce fertility”
From Fertility in High-Income Countries: Trends, Patterns, Determinants, and Consequences (2024) · cites this paper as Willis 1973
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Balbo, N., Billari, F. C., & Mills, M. (2013) · European Journal of Population / Revue européenne de Démographie · doi:10.1007/s10680-012-9277-y · Cited by 623 · see citing works
Changing Relationships between Education and Fertility: A Study of Women and Men Born 1940 to 1964
Kravdal, Ø., & Rindfuss, R. R. (2008) · American Sociological Review · doi:10.1177/000312240807300508 · Cited by 410 · see citing works
Child‐Care Availability and Fertility in Norway
Rindfuss, R. R., Guilkey, D. K., Morgan, S. P., & Kravdal, Ø. (2010) · Population and Development Review · doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00355.x · Cited by 326 · see citing works
Educational differences in fertility desires, intentions and behaviour: A life course perspective
Berrington, A., & Pattaro, S. (2014) · Advances in Life Course Research · doi:10.1016/j.alcr.2013.12.003 · Cited by 180 · see citing works
Heiland, F., Prskawetz, A., & Sanderson, W. C. (2008) · European Journal of Population / Revue européenne de Démographie · doi:10.1007/s10680-008-9162-x · Cited by 151 · see citing works
Bailey, M. J. (2013) · Brookings Papers on Economic Activity · doi:10.1353/eca.2013.0001 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
The relationship between unemployment and fertility in Italy: A time-series analysis
Cazzola, A., Pasquini, L., & Angeli, A. (2016) · Demographic Research · doi:10.4054/demres.2016.34.1 · Cited by 74 · see citing works
“This is consistent with the neoclassical theory of fertility formulated by Becker (1960, 1991) and Willis (1973) and its extensions,5 which emphasise the effects of parental income and the cost of rearing children.”
MethodWomen´s wages and childbearing decisions: Evidence from Italy
Rondinelli, C., Aassve, A., & Billari, F. (2010) · Demographic Research · doi:10.4054/demres.2010.22.19 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Fertility in High-Income Countries: Trends, Patterns, Determinants, and Consequences
Bloom, D. E., Kuhn, M., & Prettner, K. (2024) · Annual Review of Economics · doi:10.1146/annurev-economics-081523-013750 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
The Response of Births to Changes in Health Care Costs
Leibowitz, A. (1990) · The Journal of Human Resources · doi:10.2307/145672 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Fertility in High-Income Countries: Trends, Patterns, Determinants, and Consequences
Bloom, D. E., Kuhn, M., & Prettner, K. (2023) · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4597716 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
- Authors
- Willis, R. J.
- Corresponding author
- Willis, Robert J.
- ORCID
- Willis, Robert J.
- Venue
- Journal of Political Economy
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 1973-03
- Volume
- 81
- Issue
- 2, Part 2
- Pages
- S14-S64
- ISSN
- 0022-3808 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-534X
- OpenAlex
- W2094243809
- Cited by
- 1,241
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 17 · 2025: 17 · 2024: 21 · 2023: 24 · 2022: 35 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 32 · 2019: 24 · 2018: 55 · 2017: 40 · 2016: 42 · 2015: 45 · 2014: 48 · 2013: 44 · 2012: 32
- FWCI
- 55.68
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Political Economy (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
- Social Sciences › Demography › Family Dynamics and Relationships
- Keywords
- fertility behavior, household decision-making
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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