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"Rational" Expectations, the Optimal Monetary Instrument, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule

Sargent, Thomas J., Wallace, Neil·1975·Journal of Political Economy

Abstract

Alternative monetary policies are analyzed in an ad hoc macroeconomic model in which the public's expectations about prices are rational. The ad hoc model is one in which there is long-run neutrality, since it incorporates the aggregate supply schedule proposed by Lucas. Following Poole, the paper studies whether pegging the interest rate or pegging the money supply period by period minimizes an ad hoc quadratic loss function. It turns out that the probility distribution of output--dispersion as well as mean--is independent of the particular deterministic money supply rule in effect, and that under an interest rate rule the price level is indeterminate.

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Authors
Sargent, T. J., & Wallace, N.
Venue
Journal of Political Economy
Published
1975-04
Volume
83
Issue
2
Pages
241-254
ISSN
  • 0022-3808 (ISSN-L)
  • 1537-534X
OpenAlex
W2090766058
Cited by
2,168
References
0
FWCI
101.37
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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