The DOI matches its Crossref record; 8 of the 8 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Empirical Age-Earnings Profiles
Abstract
The "human capital earnings function," in which earnings are expressed as a quadratic in potential experience, is probably the most widely accepted empirical specification in economics. In spite of its widespread acceptance, the human capital earnings function provides a very poor approximation of the true empirical relationship between earnings and experience. The standard formulation understates early career earnings growth by about 30%-50% and overstates midcareer growth by 20%-50%. However, simple alternative specifications that fit the data are available.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Schooling, Experience, and Earnings
Mincer, J. (1974) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 6,840
Freeman, R. B. (1976) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 784
Effects of Cohort Size on Earnings: The Baby Boom Babies' Financial Bust
Welch, F. (1979) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/260823 · Cited by 644
Self-citationWhat Do We Really Know about Wages? The Importance of Nonreporting and Census Imputation
Lillard, L., Smith, J. P., & Welch, F. (1986) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261386 · Cited by 211
Self-citationThe Effect of Demographic Factors on Age-Earnings Profiles
Freeman, R. (1979) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w0316 · Cited by 206
The Effect of Cohort Size on Earnings Growth: A Reexamination of the Evidence
Berger, M. C. (1985) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261315 · Cited by 198
Empirical Evidence on the Functional Form of the Earnings-Schooling Relationship
Heckman, J. J., & POLACHEK, S. W. (1974) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2285656 · Cited by 176
Cohort Size and the Earnings Growth of Young Workers
Berger, M. C. (1984) · Industrial and Labor Relations Review · doi:10.1177/001979398403700408 · Cited by 38
Cited by
The Short- and Long-Term Career Effects of Graduating in a Recession
Oreopoulos, P., von Wachter, T., & Heisz, A. (2012) · American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · doi:10.1257/app.4.1.1 · Cited by 1,256
Can Falling Supply Explain the Rising Return to College for Younger Men? A Cohort-Based Analysis
Card, D., & Lemieux, T. (2001) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1162/00335530151144140 · Cited by 1,140
The Impact of Incarceration on Wage Mobility and Inequality
Western, B. (2002) · American Sociological Review · doi:10.1177/000312240206700403 · Cited by 711
Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2022) · The Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1093/restud/rdab031 · Cited by 586
MEASURING THE EFFECT OF SEXUAL ORIENTATION ON INCOME: EVIDENCE OF DISCRIMINATION?
Berg, N., & Lien, D. (2002) · Contemporary Economic Policy · doi:10.1093/cep/20.4.394 · Cited by 241
Metadata
- Authors
- Murphy, K. M., & Welch, F.
- Venue
- Journal of Labor Economics
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 1990-04
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 202-229
- ISSN
- 0734-306X (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5307
- OpenAlex
- W2064798575
- Cited by
- 616
- References
- 8
- FWCI
- 18.94
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Empirical Age-Earnings Profiles. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1086/298220
- The paper
- Murphy, K. M., & Welch, F. (1990). Empirical Age-Earnings Profiles. Journal of Labor Economics. https://doi.org/10.1086/298220
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.