The DOI matches its Crossref record; 84 of the 84 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know about Unit Roots
Open accessAbstract
This paper is an introduction to unit root econometrics as applied in macroeconomics. The paper first discusses univariate time series analysis, emphasizing the following topics: alternative representations of unit root processes, unit root testing procedures, the power of unit root tests, and the interpretation of unit root econometrics in finite samples. A second part of the paper tackles similar issues in a multivariate context where cointegration is now the central concept. The paper reviews representation, testing, and estimation of multivariate time series models with some unit roots. Two important themes of this paper are first, the importance of correctly specifying deterministic components of the series, and second, the usefulness of unit root tests not as methods to uncover some "true relation" but as practical devices that can be used to impose reasonable restrictions on the data and to suggest what asymptotic distribution theory gives the best approximation to the finite-sample distribution of coefficient estimates and test statistics.
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Cites
Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation and testing
Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913236 · Cited by 32,007
Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root
Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1080/01621459.1979.10482531 · Cited by 23,211
Testing for a unit root in time series regression
PHILLIPS, P. C. B., & PERRON, P. (1988) · Biometrika · doi:10.1093/biomet/75.2.335 · Cited by 19,155
Self-citationLikelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root
Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1981) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912517 · Cited by 14,606
Johansen, S., & Juselius, K. (1990) · Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.1111/j.1468-0084.1990.mp52002003.x · Cited by 14,051
Sims, C. A. (1980) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912017 · Cited by 12,727
Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models
Johansen, S. (1991) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/2938278 · Cited by 11,116
A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle
Hamilton, J. D. (1989) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912559 · Cited by 9,646
Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root
Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2286348 · Cited by 9,106
Spurious regressions in econometrics
Granger, C. W. J., & Newbold, P. (1974) · Journal of Econometrics · doi:10.1016/0304-4076(74)90034-7 · Cited by 6,200
Cited by
Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties
Levin, A., Lin, C.-F., & James Chu, C.-S. (2002) · Journal of Econometrics · doi:10.1016/s0304-4076(01)00098-7 · Cited by 12,849
Testing for Error Correction in Panel Data*
Westerlund, J. (2007) · Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.1111/j.1468-0084.2007.00477.x · Cited by 6,113
Does financial development cause economic growth? Time-series evidence from 16 countries
Demetriades, P. O., & Hussein, K. A. (1996) · Journal of Development Economics · doi:10.1016/s0304-3878(96)00421-x · Cited by 1,539
Environment Kuznets curve for CO2 emissions: A cointegration analysis for China
Jalil, A., & Mahmud, S. F. (2009) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2009.07.044 · Cited by 1,208
Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Reevaluating the Wealth Effect on Consumption
Lettau, M., & Ludvigson, S. C. (2004) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/000282804322970805 · Cited by 567
Metadata
- Authors
- Campbell, J. Y., & Perron, P.
- Venue
- NBER Macroeconomics Annual
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 1991-01
- Volume
- 6
- Pages
- 141-201
- ISSN
- 0889-3365 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-2642
- OpenAlex
- W3122245991
- Cited by
- 1,255
- References
- 84
- FWCI
- 74.40
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
