The DOI matches its Crossref record; 79 of the 80 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Adapting to Climate Change: The Remarkable Decline in the US Temperature-Mortality Relationship over the Twentieth Century
Open accessAbstract
This paper examines the temperature-mortality relationship over the course of the twentieth-century United States both for its own interest and to identify potentially useful adaptations for coming decades. There are three primary findings. First, the mortality impact of days with mean temperature exceeding 80°F declined by 75 percent. Almost the entire decline occurred after 1960. Second, the diffusion of residential air conditioning explains essentially the entire decline in hot day–related fatalities. Third, using Dubin and McFadden’s discrete-continuous model, the present value of US consumer surplus from the introduction of residential air conditioning is estimated to be $85–$185 billion (2012 dollars).
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“At the same time, air conditioning has been shown to have the most considerable effect on decreasing heatwave mortality in the United States [115].”
From Assessing the Spatial Mapping of Heat Vulnerability under Urban Heat Island (UHI) Effect in the Dhaka Metropolitan Area (2022) · cites this paper as [115]
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“Barreca et al. (2016) find that access to residential air conditioning has likely been responsible for the dramatic decrease in the effect of hot weather on all-cause mortality observed across the 20th century.”
From Temperature and mental health: Evidence from the spectrum of mental health outcomes (2019) · cites this paper as Barreca et al. (2016)
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Cites
Climate Change 2014 Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability
(IPCC), I. P. O. C. C. (2014) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9781107415379 · Cited by 14,964
How Much Should We Trust Differences-in-Differences Estimates?
Bertrand, M., Duflo, E., & Mullainathan, S. (2004) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1162/003355304772839588 · Cited by 10,641
Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., Palutikof, J. P., van der Linden, P., & Hanson, C. (2007) · Centre for Environmental Data Analysis Digital Repository (Centre for Environmental Data Analysis) · doi:10.5281/zenodo.7356334 · Cited by 9,138
A Practitioner’s Guide to Cluster-Robust Inference
Colin Cameron, A., & Miller, D. L. (2015) · Journal of Human Resources · doi:10.3368/jhr.50.2.317 · Cited by 5,037
Arnfield, A. J. (2003) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.859 · Cited by 3,543
Managing the health effects of climate change
Costello, A., Abbas, M., Allen, A., Ball, S., Bell, S., Bellamy, R., Friel, S., Groce, N., Johnson, A., Kett, M., et al. (2009) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(09)60935-1 · Cited by 3,102
Bouchama, A., & Knochel, J. P. (2002) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmra011089 · Cited by 1,898
Chen, Y., Ebenstein, A. Y., Greenstone, M., & Li, H. (2013) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1300018110 · Cited by 1,819
Self-citationAn Econometric Analysis of Residential Electric Appliance Holdings and Consumption
Dubin, J. A., & McFadden, D. L. (1984) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1911493 · Cited by 1,625
Cutler, D., Deaton, A., & Lleras‐Muney, A. (2006) · The Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.20.3.97 · Cited by 1,583
Flagged first, then by citations
1 of the 80 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Research works printed but not linked: 11
- Ashenfelter O., 2004, J.P.E., 112, 2
- Bailey M. J., 2006, Q.J.E., 21, 289
- Barreca A., 2013, Climate Change: The Remarkable Decline in the U.S. Temperature-Mortality Relationship over the 20th Century.
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Climate Complementarity, Second Homes, and the Long-Run Geography of PopulationPreprint
Graves, P. E. (2026) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.7567539
Zhong, R., Qin, Y., Li, S., Huang, L., Yan, G., Zheng, Y., Davis, S. J., Qiu, M., Zhang, C., Liu, X., et al. (2026) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-026-01552-z
Rationed Demand: Temperature Extremes and Industrial Electricity Use in China
Lan, Z., Yu, X., Zhang, J., & Wu, G. (2026) · Energies · doi:10.3390/en19194716
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Ko, Y.-C., & Uchida, S. (2026) · Social Science & Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2026.119932
Hill, A. (2026) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.7607547
Wang, C., & Gong, H. (2026) · Frontiers in Public Health · doi:10.3389/fpubh.2026.1987084
Predicting U.S. migration flows with online search data
Yoo, J., & Babiarz, P. (2026) · Urban Studies · doi:10.1177/00420980261493801
He, Z., Shi, J., Wang, Q., & Zhang, B. (2026) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109656
Gueltzow, M., Keivabu, R. C., Irrgang, C., & Ebeling, M. (2026) · Communications Health · doi:10.1038/s44528-026-00045-y
The Social Vulnerability Index and Exposure to Heat in California Census TractsPreprint
Ackert, E., McMahon, K., Husted, G., Malak, H., Davenport, F., Baylis, K., & Shukla, S. (2026) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-11066545/v1
Kimura, A., & Goto, T. (2026) · Discover Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12982-026-02948-1
Heutel, G., Miller, N., & Molitor, D. (2014) · Digital Archive @ GSU
Metadata
- Authors
- Barreca, A., Clay, K., Deschenes, O., Greenstone, M., & Shapiro, J. S.
- Affiliations
- Tulane University (US)
- National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
- Venue
- Journal of Political Economy
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 2016-02
- Volume
- 124
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 105-159
- ISSN
- 0022-3808 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-534X
- OpenAlex
- W3124416644
- Cited by
- 910
- References
- 80
- Citations by year
- 2026: 100 · 2025: 119 · 2024: 123 · 2023: 106 · 2022: 97 · 2021: 92 · 2020: 99 · 2019: 59 · 2018: 46 · 2017: 36 · 2016: 12
- FWCI
- 32.05
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- escholarship.org
- Licence
- public-domain
- Locations
- Journal of Political Economy (publishedVersion)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion, public-domain)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology (medical) › Thermoregulation and physiological responses
- Keywords
- temperature-mortality relationship, heat-related mortality, climate change adaptation, residential air conditioning, hot days, consumer surplus, twentieth-century United States
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