THE VARIABLE SKY OF DEEP SYNOPTIC SURVEYS
Open accessAbstract
The discovery of variable and transient sources is an essential product of synoptic surveys. The alert stream will require filtering for personalized criteria—a process managed by a functionality commonly described as a Broker. In order to understand quantitatively the magnitude of the alert generation and Broker tasks, we have undertaken an analysis of the most numerous types of variable targets in the sky—Galactic stars, quasi-stellar objects (QSOs), active galactic nuclei (AGNs), and asteroids. It is found that the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) will be capable of discovering ∼10 5 high latitude (| b | > 20°) variable stars per night at the beginning of the survey. (The corresponding number for | b | < 20° is orders of magnitude larger, but subject to caveats concerning extinction and crowding.) However, the number of new discoveries may well drop below 100 per night within less than one year. The same analysis applied to GAIA clarifies the complementarity of the GAIA and LSST surveys. Discovery of AGNs and QSOs are each predicted to begin at ∼3000 per night and decrease by 50 times over four years. Supernovae are expected at ∼1100 per night, and after several survey years will dominate the new variable discovery rate. LSST asteroid discoveries will start at >10 5 per night, and if orbital determination has a 50% success rate per epoch, they will drop below 1000 per night within two years.
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Alerts to such events will be published within 60 s of observation; several million alerts per night are expected.
“The alerts to such events will be published within 60 s of observation; we expect several million alerts per night ( Ridgway et al. 2014 ) .”
From LSST: From Science Drivers to Reference Design and Anticipated Data Products (2019) · cites this paper as Ridgway et al. 2014
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- Authors
- Ridgway, S. T., Matheson, T., Mighell, K. J., Olsen, K. A., & Howell, S. B.
- Affiliations
- Ames Research Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Ridgway, Stephen T.
- Venue
- The Astrophysical Journal
- Publisher
- American Astronomical Society
- Published
- 2014-11-05
- Volume
- 796
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 53
- ISSN
- 0004-637X (ISSN-L)
- 1538-4357
- OpenAlex
- W2053631052
- Cited by
- 33
- References
- 29
- Citations by year
- 2025: 2 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 6 · 2017: 6 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 1
- FWCI
- 2.34
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Astrophysical Journal (publishedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Instrumentation › Astronomy and Astrophysical Research
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Gamma-ray bursts and supernovae
- Keywords
- variable stars, transient discovery, synoptic surveys, LSST, Gaia, active galactic nuclei, quasars, asteroids, supernovae, discovery rate, galactic latitude, orbit determination
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