The DOI matches its Crossref record; 40 of the 40 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The impact of the permafrost carbon feedback on global climate
Open accessAbstract
Degrading permafrost can alter ecosystems, damage infrastructure, and release enough carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and methane (CH 4 ) to influence global climate. The permafrost carbon feedback (PCF) is the amplification of surface warming due to CO 2 and CH 4 emissions from thawing permafrost. An analysis of available estimates PCF strength and timing indicate 120 ± 85 Gt of carbon emissions from thawing permafrost by 2100. This is equivalent to 5.7 ± 4.0% of total anthropogenic emissions for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario and would increase global temperatures by 0.29 ± 0.21 °C or 7.8 ± 5.7%. For RCP4.5, the scenario closest to the 2 °C warming target for the climate change treaty, the range of cumulative emissions in 2100 from thawing permafrost decreases to between 27 and 100 Gt C with temperature increases between 0.05 and 0.15 °C, but the relative fraction of permafrost to total emissions increases to between 3% and 11%. Any substantial warming results in a committed, long-term carbon release from thawing permafrost with 60% of emissions occurring after 2100, indicating that not accounting for permafrost emissions risks overshooting the 2 °C warming target. Climate projections in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), and any emissions targets based on those projections, do not adequately account for emissions from thawing permafrost and the effects of the PCF on global climate. We recommend the IPCC commission a special assessment focusing on the PCF and its impact on global climate to supplement the AR5 in support of treaty negotiation.
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Climate–Carbon Cycle Feedback Analysis: Results from the C4MIP Model Intercomparison
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Soil organic carbon pools in the northern circumpolar permafrost region
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Self-citationVulnerability of Permafrost Carbon to Climate Change: Implications for the Global Carbon Cycle
Schuur, E. A. G., Bockheim, J., Canadell, J. G., Euskirchen, E., Field, C. B., Goryachkin, S. V., Hagemann, S., Kuhry, P., Lafleur, P. M., Lee, H., et al. (2008) · BioScience · doi:10.1641/b580807 · Cited by 1,642
Self-citationInfluence of the seasonal snow cover on the ground thermal regime: An overview
Zhang, T. (2005) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2004rg000157 · Cited by 1,225
The effect of permafrost thaw on old carbon release and net carbon exchange from tundra
Schuur, E. A. G., Vogel, J. G., Crummer, K. G., Lee, H., Sickman, J. O., & Osterkamp, T. E. (2009) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature08031 · Cited by 1,114
Self-citationPermafrost and the global carbon budget
Zimov, S. A., Schuur, E. A. G., & Chapin, F. S. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1128908 · Cited by 1,034
Self-citationPermafrost carbon-climate feedbacks accelerate global warming
Koven, C. D., Ringeval, B., Friedlingstein, P., Ciais, P., Cadule, P., Khvorostyanov, D., Krinner, G., & Tarnocai, C. (2011) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1103910108 · Cited by 912
Improved Attribution of Climate Forcing to Emissions
Shindell, D. T., Faluvegi, G., Koch, D. M., Schmidt, G. A., Unger, N., & Bauer, S. E. (2009) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1174760 · Cited by 868
Todd-Brown, K. E. O., Randerson, J. T., Post, W. M., Hoffman, F. M., Tarnocai, C., Schuur, E. A. G., & Allison, S. D. (2013) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-10-1717-2013 · Cited by 840
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Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene
Steffen, W., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Lenton, T. M., Folke, C., Liverman, D., Summerhayes, C. P., Barnosky, A. D., Cornell, S. E., Crucifix, M., et al. (2018) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1810141115 · Cited by 3,139
Permafrost is warming at a global scale
Biskaborn, B. K., Smith, S. L., Noetzli, J., Matthes, H., Vieira, G., Streletskiy, D. A., Schoeneich, P., Romanovsky, V. E., Lewkowicz, A. G., Abramov, A., et al. (2019) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-018-08240-4 · Cited by 2,064
Self-citationExceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points
Armstrong McKay, D. I., Staal, A., Abrams, J. F., Winkelmann, R., Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S. E., Rockström, J., & Lenton, T. M. (2022) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.abn7950 · Cited by 1,931
Carbon release through abrupt permafrost thaw
Turetsky, M. R., Abbott, B. W., Jones, M. C., Anthony, K. W., Olefeldt, D., Schuur, E. A. G., Grosse, G., Kuhry, P., Hugelius, G., Koven, C., et al. (2020) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/s41561-019-0526-0 · Cited by 980
Self-citationMethane Feedbacks to the Global Climate System in a Warmer World
Dean, J. F., Middelburg, J. J., Röckmann, T., Aerts, R., Blauw, L. G., Egger, M., Jetten, M. S. M., de Jong, A. E. E., Meisel, O. H., Rasigraf, O., et al. (2018) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1002/2017rg000559 · Cited by 630
Metadata
- Authors
- Schaefer, K., Lantuit, H., Romanovsky, V. E., Schuur, E. A. G., & Witt, R.
- Venue
- Environmental Research Letters
- Publisher
- IOP Publishing
- Published
- 2014-08-01
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 085003
- ISSN
- 1748-9326 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2164286940
- Cited by
- 395
- References
- 40
- FWCI
- 16.11
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
