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Measuring the Dunkelflaute: how (not) to analyze variable renewable energy shortage

Kittel, Martin, Schill, Wolf-Peter·2024·Environmental Research: Energy
DOI 10.1088/2753-3751/ad6dfc

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Abstract

As variable renewable energy (VRE) sources increasingly gain importance in global energy systems, there is a growing interest in understanding periods of VRE shortage (‘Dunkelflauten’). Defining, quantifying, and comparing such shortage events across different renewable generation technologies and locations presents a surprisingly intricate challenge. Various methodological approaches exist in different bodies of literature, which have been applied to single technologies in specific locations or technology portfolios across multiple regions. We provide an overview of various methods for quantifying VRE shortage, focusing either on supply from variable renewables or its mismatch with electricity demand. We explain and critically discuss the merits and challenges of different approaches for defining and identifying shortage events and propose further methodological improvements for more accurate shortage determination. Additionally, we elaborate on comparability requirements for multi-technological and multi-regional energy shortage analysis. In doing so, we aim to contribute to unifying disparate methodologies, harmonizing terminologies, and providing guidance for future research.

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Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Kittel, M., & Schill, W.-P.
Venue
Environmental Research: Energy
Publisher
IOP Publishing
Published
2024-08-23
Volume
1
Issue
3
Pages
035007
ISSN
2753-3751
DOI
10.1088/2753-3751/ad6dfc
Cited by
23
References
0
Licence
Funders
  • Einstein Stiftung Berlin (A-2020-612)
  • Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (Fkz 03SFK5NO)

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