The DOI matches its Crossref record.
A Bayesian approach to inference about a change-point in a sequence of random variables
Abstract
A Bayesian approach is considered to the problem of making inferences about the point in a sequence of random variables at which the underlying distribution changes. Inferences are based on the posterior probabilities of the possible change-points. Detailed analyses are given for cases in which the distributions are binomial and normal, and numerical illustrations are provided. An informal sequential procedure is also noted.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cited by
Use of Cumulative Sums of Squares for Retrospective Detection of Changes of Variance
Inclán, C., & Tiao, G. C. (1994) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1080/01621459.1994.10476824 · Cited by 1,156
Bayesian Online Changepoint Detection
Adams, R. P., & MacKay, D. J. C. (2007) · arXiv · doi:10.48550/arxiv.0710.3742 · Cited by 601
Scargle, J. D. (1998) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.1086/306064 · Cited by 398
Control Charts Based on Attribute Data: Bibliography and Review
Woodall, W. H. (1997) · Journal of Quality Technology · doi:10.1080/00224065.1997.11979748 · Cited by 266
Merli, M. G., & Raftery, A. E. (2000) · Demography · doi:10.2307/2648100 · Cited by 110
Metadata
- Authors
- SMITH, A. F. M.
- Venue
- Biometrika
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1975-08-01
- Volume
- 62
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 407-416
- ISSN
- 0006-3444 (ISSN-L)
- 1464-3510
- OpenAlex
- W1966042408
- Cited by
- 320
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 3.01
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: A Bayesian approach to inference about a change-point in a sequence of random variables. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1093/biomet/62.2.407
- The paper
- SMITH, A. F. M. (1975). A Bayesian approach to inference about a change-point in a sequence of random variables. Biometrika. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/62.2.407
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.