Cited by 131Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and EducationMachine Learning in HealthcareArtificial Intelligence Applications

Black Box Warning: Large Language Models and the Future of Infectious Diseases Consultation

Open access
Schwartz, Ilan S, Link, Katherine E, Daneshjou, Roxana, Cortés-Penfield, Nicolás·2024·Clinical Infectious Diseases

Abstract

Large language models (LLMs) are artificial intelligence systems trained by deep learning algorithms to process natural language and generate text responses to user prompts. Some approach physician performance on a range of medical challenges, leading some proponents to advocate for their potential use in clinical consultation and prompting some consternation about the future of cognitive specialties. However, LLMs currently have limitations that preclude safe clinical deployment in performing specialist consultations, including frequent confabulations, lack of contextual awareness crucial for nuanced diagnostic and treatment plans, inscrutable and unexplainable training data and methods, and propensity to recapitulate biases. Nonetheless, considering the rapid improvement in this technology, growing calls for clinical integration, and healthcare systems that chronically undervalue cognitive specialties, it is critical that infectious diseases clinicians engage with LLMs to enable informed advocacy for how they should-and shouldn't-be used to augment specialist care.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1093/cid/ciad633

Cites

14 of 14 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Large language models such as ChatGPT, GPT-4 API and Llama2 can interrogate and summarise large volumes of medical notes to create succinct summaries of radiology reports, internal medical progress notes and patient dialogue.

    “Large language models (LLM) such as ChatGPT, GPT-4 API and Llama2 can interrogate and summarise large volumes of medical notes to create succinct summaries of radiology reports, internal medical progress notes and patient dialogue [5–8].”

    From A pilot feasibility study comparing large language models in extracting key information from ICU patient text records from an Irish population (2024) · cites this paper as [7]

    The ‘Use Cases for Large Language Models in Healthcare’ section says LLMs might synthesize text from electronic medical records into discharge summaries. It does not establish that ChatGPT, GPT-4 API, and Llama2 can each summarize large volumes of notes, or specifically radiology reports, progress notes, and patient dialogue. (LLM, conf=0.85)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Many studies on large language models have been conducted using large anonymised US datasets.

    “Many of the studies on LLM have been conducted using large anonymised US datasets [5–7].”

    From A pilot feasibility study comparing large language models in extracting key information from ICU patient text records from an Irish population (2024) · cites this paper as [7]

    The 'How Large Language Models Work' section says LLMs are trained on large quantities of text, but does not say that many LLM studies used large anonymised US datasets. Searches for that phrase and for anonymized US patient datasets found no passage addressing the claim. (LLM, conf=0.74)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 25

  1. [1]Schwartz WB. Medicine and the computer. N Engl J Med 1970; 283: 1257– 64. 4920342
  2. [4]Luo R, Sun L, Xia Y, et al BioGPT: generative pre-trained transformer for biomedical text generation and mining. Briefings Bioinformatics 2022; 23: bbac409. doi: 10.1093/bib/bbac409. 36156661 · DOI · Paper page
  3. [6]Nori H, King N, McKinney SM, Carignan D, Horvitz E. Capabilities of GPT-4 on medical challenge problems. arXiv 2023, preprint: not peer-reviewed. Available at: 10.48550/arXiv.2303.13375. · DOI · Paper page
  4. [8]Boulware DR, Meya DB, Muzoora C, et al Timing of antiretroviral therapy after diagnosis of cryptococcal meningitis. N Engl J Med 2014; 370: 2487– 98. 24963568 PMC4127879
  5. [10]Wagner MW, Ertl-Wagner BB. Accuracy of information and references using ChatGPT-3 for retrieval of clinical radiological information [manuscript published online ahead of print 2023]. Can Assoc Radiol J 2023. doi: 10.1177/08465371231171125. 37078489 · DOI · Paper page
  6. [11]Johnson D, Goodman R, Patrinely J, et al Assessing the accuracy and reliability of AI-generated medical responses: an evaluation of the chat-GPT model. Res Sq, 2023, preprint: not peer-reviewed. Available at: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2566942/v1. · DOI · Paper page
  7. [12]Dash D, Thapa R, Banda J, et al Evaluation of GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 for supporting real-world information needs in healthcare delivery. arXiv, 2023, preprint: not peer-reviewed. Available at: 10.48550/arXiv.2304.13714. · DOI
  8. [13]Howard A, Hope W, Gerada A. ChatGPT and antimicrobial advice: the end of the consulting infection doctor? Lancet Infect Dis 2023; 23: 405– 6. 36822213
  9. [14]Sarink M, Bakker IL, Anas AA, Yusuf E. A study on the performance of ChatGPT in infectious diseases clinical consultation. Clin Microbiol Infect. 2023; 29: 1088– 9. 37207982
  10. [18]Tshitoyan V, Dagdelen J, Weston L, et al Unsupervised word embeddings capture latent knowledge from materials science literature. Nature 2019; 571: 95– 8. 31270483
  11. [19]Mosier KL, Skitka LJ. Human decision makers and automated decision aids: made for each other? In: Parasuraman R, Mouloua M, eds. Automation and human performance. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press, 1996: 201– 20.
  12. [23]Dratsch T, Chen X, Rezazade Mehrizi M, et al Automation bias in mammography: the impact of artificial intelligence BI-RADS suggestions on reader performance. Radiology 2023; 307: e222176. 37129490
  13. [24]Bogun F, Anh D, Kalahasty G, et al Misdiagnosis of atrial fibrillation and its clinical consequences. Am J Med 2004; 117: 636– 42. 15501200
  14. [26]Reddy S. Explainability and artificial intelligence in medicine. Lancet Digit Health 2022; 4: e214– e5. 35337639
  15. [27]Harrer S. Attention is not all you need: the complicated case of ethically using large language models in healthcare and medicine. EBioMedicine 2023; 90: 104512. 36924620 PMC10025985
  16. [28]Touvron H, Lavril T, Izacard G, et al Llama: open and efficient foundation language models. arXiv, 2023, preprint: not peer-reviewed. Available at: 10.48550/arXiv.2302.13971. · DOI · Paper page
  17. [29]Rudin C. Stop explaining black box machine learning models for high stakes decisions and use interpretable models instead. Nat Mach Intell 2019; 1: 206– 15. 35603010 PMC9122117
  18. [32]Weidinger L, Mellor J, Rauh M, et al Ethical and social risks of harm from language models. arXiv, 2021, preprint: not peer-reviewed. Available at: 10.48550/arXiv.2112.04359. · DOI · Paper page
  19. [34]Califf RM, editor. Speech by Robert M. Califf, M.D., to the National Health Council’s 2023 Science for Patient Engagement Symposium—patient empowerment in the Digital Health Era. Presented at: National Health Council's 2023 Science for Patient Engagement Symposium—Patient Empowerment in the Digital Health Era; Washington, DC; 8 May 2023.
  20. [37]Reece R, Beckwith CG. The infectious diseases specialist, at risk of extinction. J Infect Dis 2023:jiad160. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiad160. 37192330 · DOI
  21. [38]Walensky R, McQuillen DP, Shahbazi S, Goodson JD. Where is the ID in COVID-19? Ann Intern Med 2020; 173: 587– 9. 32491920 PMC7277486
  22. [39]National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. Taking action against clinician burnout: a systems approach to professional well-being. Washington, DC: National Academies Press, 2019. 31940160
  23. [40]Lenert LA, Lane S, Wehbe R. Could an artificial intelligence approach to prior authorization be more human? J Am Med Inform Assoc 2023; 30: 989– 94. 36809561 PMC10114030
  24. [41]Patel SB, Lam K. ChatGPT: the future of discharge summaries? Lancet Digit Health 2023; 5: e107– e8. 36754724
  25. [45]Fitzsimmons-Craft EE, Chan WW, Smith AC, et al Effectiveness of a chatbot for eating disorders prevention: a randomized clinical trial. Int J Eat Disord 2022; 55: 343– 53. 35274362

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Schwartz, I. S., Link, K. E., Daneshjou, R., & Cortés-Penfield, N.
Affiliations
  • Duke University (US)
  • Hugging Face (US)
  • Stanford Medicine (US)
  • Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Nebraska Medical Center , Omaha, Nebraska , USA
Corresponding author
Schwartz, Ilan S
Venue
Clinical Infectious Diseases
Published
2023-11-16
Volume
78
Issue
4
Pages
860-866
ISSN
  • 1058-4838 (ISSN-L)
  • 1537-6591
OpenAlex
W4388722291
Cited by
131
References
14
Citations by year
2026: 27 · 2025: 64 · 2024: 39 · 2023: 1
FWCI
5.23
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Clinical Infectious Diseases (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Health Informatics › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning in Healthcare
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Artificial Intelligence Applications
Keywords
large language models, artificial intelligence in healthcare, infectious disease consultation, clinical implementation of AI, confabulation, context awareness, algorithmic bias, explainability
MeSH terms
Artificial Intelligence, Communicable Diseases, Drug Labeling, Humans, Language, Referral and Consultation

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review