Comparison of Oral Amoxicillin with Placebo for the Treatment of World Health Organization-Defined Nonsevere Pneumonia in Children Aged 2-59 Months: A Multicenter, Double-Blind, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial in Pakistan
Abstract
Background world Health Organization (WHO) acute respiratory illness case management guidelines classify children with fast breathing as having pneumonia and recommend treatment with an antibiotic. There is concern that many of these children may not have pneumonia and are receiving antibiotics unnecessarily. This could increase antibiotic resistance in the community. The aim was to compare the clinical outcome at 72 h in children with WHO-defined nonsevere pneumonia when treated with amoxicillin, compared with placebo. Methods we performed a double-blind, randomized, equivalence trial in 4 tertiary hospitals in Pakistan. Nine hundred children aged 2-59 months with WHO defined nonsevere pneumonia were randomized to receive either 3 days of oral amoxicillin (45mg/kg/day) or placebo; 873 children completed the study. All children were followed up on days 3, 5, and 14. The primary outcome was therapy failure defined a priori at 72 h. Results in per-protocol analysis at day 3, 31 (7.2%) of the 431 children in the amoxicillin arm and 37 (8.3%) of the 442 in placebo group had therapy failure. This difference was not statistically significant (odds ratio [OR], .85; 95%CI, .50-1.43; P = .60). The multivariate analysis identified history of difficult breathing (OR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.29-7.23; P = .027) and temperature >37.5°C 100°F at presentation (OR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.37-2.90; P = .0001) as risk factors for treatment failure by day 5. Conclusion clinical outcome in children aged 2-59 mon…
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Beyond malaria--causes of fever in outpatient Tanzanian children.
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Thaulow, C., Blix, H., Eriksen, B. H., Ask, I. S., Myklebust, T., & Berild, D. (2019) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2018-027836 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“Treatments, n (% of all treatments) 110 (32) 32 (23) 78 (38) <0.”
King, C., Colbourn, T., Mankhambo, L., Beard, J., Burgess, D. C. H., Costello, A., Izadnegahdar, R., Lufesi, N., Mwansambo, C., Nambiar, B., et al. (2016) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-011636 · Cited by 5
“Recent evidence from South Asia suggests that treating fast-breathing pneumonia with a placebo has equivalent recovery rates to the recommended course of oral antibiotics, reporting a treatment failure (or non-recovery) rate of 8% with or without antibiotics.(14) Research is needed into the non-treatment of”
BackgroundBrembilla, A., Mauny, F., Garcia, A., Koura, K., Deloron, P., & Faucher, J. (2016) · European Journal of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1007/s10096-016-2587-y · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Nascimento-Carvalho, C. M., Andrade, D. C., & Vilas‐Boas, A. (2015) · Expert Opinion on Pharmacotherapy · doi:10.1517/14656566.2016.1109633 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“Two trials compared amoxicillin with placebo and found discordant results.[18,21] It is important to observe that both studies included patients diagnosed with CAP solely on clinical grounds (Table 4).”
ResultEsposito, S., Argentiero, A., Rebecchi, F., Fainardi, V., Pisi, G., & Principi, N. (2022) · Expert Opinion on Pharmacotherapy · doi:10.1080/14656566.2022.2028773 · Cited by 4
Chang, A., Fong, S., Yeo, T., Ware, R., McCallum, G., Nathan, A., Ooi, M., de Bruyne, J. D., Byrnes, C., Lee, B., et al. (2019) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2018-026411 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
“However, the external validity of these studies is limited and biased towards equivalence where neither treatment will be effective as most subjects diagnosed with clinical pneumonia likely had bronchiolitis or viral ALRIs because: (1) over half of the subjects were infants, (2) 20% to 80% had wheeze, (3) chest X-rays…”
BackgroundAntibiotic Treatment of Nonsevere Pneumonia With Fast Breathing-Is the Pendulum Swinging?
Driscoll, A., & Kotloff, K. (2019) · JAMA pediatrics · doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2018.3846 · Cited by 4
Tarimo, D. S., Jani, B., & Killewo, J. (2015) · Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Disease · doi:10.1016/s2222-1808(15)60946-x · Cited by 4 · see citing works
“In the absence of severe clinical signs which is defined by the WHO[40], the children could reasonably be sent home without antibiotic treatment[41,42].”
BackgroundSelby, A., Pettit, K., & Brown, N. (2015) · Archives of Disease in Childhood: Education & Practice Edition · doi:10.1136/archdischild-2015-308815 · Cited by 4
Mvalo, T., McCollum, E., Fitzgerald, E., Kamthunzi, P., Schmicker, R., May, S., Phiri, M., Chirombo, C., Phiri, A., & Ginsburg, A. (2022) · BMC Pediatrics · doi:10.1186/s12887-021-03091-3 · Cited by 3
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Konrad, E. R., Soo, J., Conroy, A. L., Namasopo, S., Opoka, R. O., & Hawkes, M. (2022) · Pathogens and Global Health · doi:10.1080/20477724.2022.2160885 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“…trial in Pakistan found that outcomes were no different in children with WHO-defined non-severe pneumonia who received antibiotics compared to placebo [11], suggesting that the currently used clinical criteria are not a good indicator of which patients are most likely to benefit from antibiotics.”
ResultHedstrom, A. B., Arnim, A. O. V. S. A.-V., Grassia, K. L., & Nielsen, K. R. (2020) · Journal of Global Health Reports · doi:10.29392/001c.14136 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Darmawan, E., & Kusumawati, L. (2020) · doi:10.22034/ijps.2019.104391.1533 · Cited by 2
“65 [14] Hazir T, Nisar Y, Abbasi S, Ashraf YP, Khurshid J, Tariq P, Maqbool S.”
BackgroundCommunity-acquired pneumonia in children — a changing spectrum of disease
le Roux, D. M., & Zar, H. J. (2017) · Pediatric Radiology · doi:10.1007/s00247-017-3827-8 · Cited by 170 · see citing works
Osowicki, J., Carr, J., Bryant, P., & Gwee, A. (2015) · Journal of Antimicrobial Chemotherapy · doi:10.1093/jac/dku398 · Cited by 2
Pulmonary infections and resistance to antibiotics: recent information
Torres, A., Niederman, M., Artigas, A., & Carlet, J. (2012) · Expert Review of Anti-Infective Therapy · doi:10.1586/eri.12.84 · Cited by 2
May, S., Brown, S. P., Schmicker, R., Emerson, S., Nkwopara, E., & Ginsburg, A. (2019) · Clinical Trials · doi:10.1177/1740774519888460 · Cited by 1
The perks of prognostic biomarkers: A paradigm switch in the triage of sick febrile patients.
Bassat, Q. (2019) · Clinical Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1093/cid/ciz420 · Cited by 1
Outcome of children with ESBL-E. coli acute pyelonephritis treated with cephalosporins.
Vakkilainen, S., Pätäri-Sampo, A., & Saxén, H. (2018) · Journal of Infection · doi:10.1016/j.jinf.2018.03.009 · Cited by 1
Sasan, M., Vakili, V., Nejat, S., & Khajedaluee, M. (2014) · doi:10.22038/ijn.2014.4145 · Cited by 1
“clinical outcome in these children is not different when treated with antibiotic (amoxicillin 45mg/kg/day) or placebo (12).”
BackgroundPathak, B. G., Nisar, Y. B., Natchu, U. C. M., Manapurath, R., Thakur, A., Vats, P., Chandola, T. R., & Sinha, B. (2026) · Journal of Global Health · doi:10.7189/jogh.16.04209
“Awasthi et al . and Hazir et al . had given amoxicillin dosages ranging from 15 mg/kg/d to 54 mg/kg/d every eight hours for three days [ 27 , 28 ], and the trials after that, i.e .”
InfluentialSelf-citationPotter-Schwartz, L., Swe, M. M., Sharland, M., Bielicki, J., Cooper, B. S., & Lim, C. (2026) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2025-112219
Potter-Schwartz, L., Swe, M. M., Sharland, M., Bielicki, J., Cooper, B. S., & Lim, C. (2025) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2025.09.05.25335164
“All of the placebo studies had a duration of oral amoxicillin treatment for three days with dosage between 31 mg/kg/day and 1000mg/day [18,22,25,27].”
Chawda, V., Tollawala, P., Khasavat, S., Suthar, K., Shah, N. R., & Pandya, R. (2024) · IP International Journal of Medical Paediatrics and Oncology · doi:10.18231/j.ijmpo.2024.005
Chaudhary, N., & Shrestha, S. (2019) · Journal of Nepal Paediatric Society · doi:10.3126/jnps.v38i2.21755
- Authors
- Hazir, T., Nisar, Y. B., Abbasi, S., Ashraf, Y. P., Khurshid, J., Tariq, P., Asghar, R., Murtaza, A., Masood, T., & Maqbool, S.
- Affiliations
- Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences (PK)
- Benazir Bhutto Hospital (PK)
- Venue
- Clinical Infectious Diseases
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2010-12-28
- Volume
- 52
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 293-300
- ISSN
- 1058-4838 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-6591
- OpenAlex
- W2112972128
- Cited by
- 101
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 2 · 2020: 6 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 8 · 2017: 8 · 2016: 10 · 2015: 15 · 2014: 11 · 2013: 6 · 2012: 7
- FWCI
- 3.72
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Clinical Infectious Diseases (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Pneumonia and Respiratory Infections
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Applied Microbiology and Biotechnology › Antibiotic Use and Resistance
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Pleural and Pulmonary Diseases
- Keywords
- pediatric pneumonia, oral amoxicillin, antibiotic use, treatment failure, risk factors for treatment failure, antibiotic resistance, rational antibiotic use
- MeSH terms
- Amoxicillin, Anti-Bacterial Agents, Child, Preschool, Double-Blind Method, Female, Humans, Infant, Male, Pakistan, Placebos, Pneumonia, Severity of Illness Index, Treatment Outcome, Treatment Failure
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