Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Electrocardiogram Model for Predicting Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction: A Single-Center Study
Open accessAbstract
Aims: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is difficult to diagnose due to the lack of a definitive diagnostic marker; multiple tests are required, including advanced evaluations. This study aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled electrocardiogram (ECG) model for predicting HFpEF. Methods and results: This retrospective cohort study included patients from a single tertiary centre who underwent echocardiography, N-terminal prohormone of B-type natriuretic peptide measurement, and ECG within a defined timeframe. Patients were classified as HFpEF (HFA-PEFF score ≥5) or control (HFA-PEFF score <5). Patients were divided into training, validation, and test subsets at a 7:1:2 ratio for model development and validation. Using the collected ECGs, a convolutional neural network was trained to predict HFpEF; its performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Among the 13 081 patients included, 5795 (44.3%) were classified as HFpEF and 7286 (55.7%) were classified as control. The AI-enabled ECG model demonstrated good discriminative performance [AUROC 0.81; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.79–0.82]. Subgroup analyses stratified by HFpEF risk factors confirmed consistent model performance. Prognostic evaluation revealed that patients with a positive AI-ECG classification experienced significantly worse outcomes relative to those with a negative classification, including higher risks of cardiac death (1.1% vs. 0.1%; hazard ratio 9.56; 95% CI 1.24–73.53; P = 0.030) and heart failure hospitalization (2.8% vs. 0.6%; hazard ratio 5.91; 95% CI 2.08–16.81; P = 0.001) at 5 year. Conclusion: The AI-ECG model is a reliable tool for predicting HFpEF, as defined by the HFA-PEFF score, and effectively stratifies patients according to prognosis. Integration of this model into clinical practice may simplify and enhance the diagnostic process for HFpEF.
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AI-ECG has been used to predict HFpEF-related risk.
“More recent studies have extended this concept by using AI-ECG to predict left ventricular diastolic dysfunction and increased filling pressures [25] and HFpEF-related risk [26].”
From Deep Learning Applied to 12-Lead ECGs for Detection of Structural, Metabolic and Systemic Disease (2026) · cites this paper as [26]
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Cites
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Deep Learning Applied to 12-Lead ECGs for Detection of Structural, Metabolic and Systemic Disease
Shaulian, S., Zeltser, R., & Makaryus, A. N. (2026) · Diagnostics · doi:10.3390/diagnostics16172834
- Authors
- Hong, D., Song, S.-H., Shin, H., Bak, M., Kim, J., Kim, D., Kim, J. Y., Yang, J. H., Park, S.-J., Choi, J.-O., On, Y. K., & Park, K.-M.
- Affiliations
- Samsung Medical Center (KR)
- Wellysis Corp. , Seoul ,
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Heart Vascular Stroke Institute, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine , 81 Irwon-ro, Gangnam-gu, Seoul 06351 ,
- Corresponding author
- Park, Kyoung-Min
- ORCID
- Venue
- European Heart Journal - Digital Health
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2025-07-17
- Volume
- 6
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 959-968
- ISSN
- 2634-3916 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC12450526
- OpenAlex
- W4413073860
- Cited by
- 14
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 1
- FWCI
- 9.78
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- European Heart Journal - Digital Health (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Korea Medical Device Development Fund of the Korean government (1711174270, RS-2021-KD000008)
- Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF-2022R1A2C2004868)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › ECG Monitoring and Analysis
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Health Information Management › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Heart Failure Treatment and Management
- Keywords
- heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, electrocardiogram, artificial intelligence, convolutional neural networks, HFA-PEFF score, cardiovascular mortality, heart failure hospitalization, prognostic stratification, diagnostic biomarkers
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