The DOI matches its Crossref record; 5 of the 5 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Predictors of mortality and morbidity in patients with chronic heart failure
Open accessAbstract
AIMS: We aimed to develop prognostic models for patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: We evaluated data from 7599 patients in the CHARM programme with CHF with and without left ventricular systolic dysfunction. Multi-variable Cox regression models were developed using baseline candidate variables to predict all-cause mortality (n=1831 deaths) and the composite of cardiovascular (CV) death and heart failure (HF) hospitalization (n=2460 patients with events). Final models included 21 predictor variables for CV death/HF hospitalization and for death. The three most powerful predictors were older age (beginning >60 years), diabetes, and lower left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) (beginning <45%). Other independent predictors that increased risk included higher NYHA class, cardiomegaly, prior HF hospitalization, male sex, lower body mass index, and lower diastolic blood pressure. The model accurately stratified actual 2-year mortality from 2.5 to 44% for the lowest to highest deciles of predicted risk. CONCLUSION: In a large contemporary CHF population, including patients with preserved and decreased left ventricular systolic function, routine clinical variables can discriminate risk regardless of EF. Diabetes was found to be a surprisingly strong independent predictor. These models can stratify risk and help define how patient characteristics relate to clinical course.
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Cites
Ezekowitz, J. A., McAlister, F. A., & Armstrong, P. W. (2003) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.0000052622.51963.fc · Cited by 866
Dries, D. L., Sweitzer, N. K., Drazner, M. H., Stevenson, L. W., & Gersh, B. J. (2001) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/s0735-1097(01)01408-5 · Cited by 286
The effect of diabetes on outcomes of patients with advanced heart failure in the BEST trial
Domanski, M., Krause-Steinrauf, H., Deedwania, P., Follmann, D., Ghali, J. K., Gilbert, E., Haffner, S., Katz, R., Lindenfeld, J., Lowes, B. D., et al. (2003) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/s0735-1097(03)00856-8 · Cited by 215
Brophy, J. M., Dagenais, G. R., McSherry, F., Williford, W., & Yusuf, S. (2004) · The American Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.amjmed.2003.09.035 · Cited by 136
Self-citationDas, S. R., Drazner, M. H., Yancy, C. W., Stevenson, L. W., Gersh, B. J., & Dries, D. L. (2004) · American Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2004.04.019 · Cited by 68
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2013 ACCF/AHA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure
Yancy, C. W., Jessup, M., Bozkurt, B., Butler, J., Casey, D. E., Drazner, M. H., Fonarow, G. C., Geraci, S. A., Horwich, T., Januzzi, J. L., et al. (2013) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2013.05.019 · Cited by 12,536
Self-citationESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure 2012
Authors/Task Force Members, McMurray, J. J. V., Adamopoulos, S., Anker, S. D., Auricchio, A., Böhm, M., Dickstein, K., Falk, V., Filippatos, G., Fonseca, C., et al. (2012) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehs104 · Cited by 6,879
Self-citationHeidenreich, P. A., Bozkurt, B., Aguilar, D., Allen, L. A., Byun, J. J., Colvin, M. M., Deswal, A., Drazner, M. H., Dunlay, S. M., Evers, L. R., et al. (2022) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0000000000001063 · Cited by 4,922
Yancy, C. W., Jessup, M., Bozkurt, B., Butler, J., Casey, D. E., Drazner, M. H., Fonarow, G. C., Geraci, S. A., Horwich, T., Januzzi, J. L., et al. (2013) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0b013e31829e8807 · Cited by 3,304
Self-citation2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure
Heidenreich, P. A., Bozkurt, B., Aguilar, D., Allen, L. A., Byun, J. J., Colvin, M. M., Deswal, A., Drazner, M. H., Dunlay, S. M., Evers, L. R., et al. (2022) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2021.12.012 · Cited by 2,862
Metadata
- Authors
- Pocock, S. J., Wang, D., Pfeffer, M. A., Yusuf, S., McMurray, J. J. V., Swedberg, K. B., Östergren, J., Michelson, E. L., Pieper, K. S., & Granger, C. B.
- Venue
- European Heart Journal
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2005-10-11
- Volume
- 27
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 65-75
- ISSN
- 0195-668X (ISSN-L)
- 1522-9645
- OpenAlex
- W2126495538
- Cited by
- 973
- References
- 5
- FWCI
- 21.43
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Predictors of mortality and morbidity in patients with chronic heart failure. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1093/eurheartj/ehi555
- The paper
- Pocock, S. J., Wang, D., Pfeffer, M. A., Yusuf, S., McMurray, J. J. V., Swedberg, K. B., Östergren, J., Michelson, E. L., Pieper, K. S., & Granger, C. B. (2006). Predictors of mortality and morbidity in patients with chronic heart failure. European Heart Journal. https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehi555
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
