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Longitudinal Selectivity in Aging Populations: Separating Mortality-Associated Versus Experimental Components in the Berlin Aging Study (BASE)
Open accessAbstract
The authors examined 3.7-year selectivity in the Berlin Aging Study by comparing the T1 parent sample (N = 516) with the T3 sample (N = 206). Selectivity was partitioned into a mortality-associated component, reflecting the degree to which individuals still alive at T3 (T3 survivors, N = 313) differ from the T1 parent sample (N = 516) from which they originated, and an experimental component, reflecting the degree to which the T3 sample (N = 206) differed from T3 survivors (N = 313). Across 48 variables representing medical, sensorimotor, cognitive, personality-related, and socioeconomic domains, the mortality-associated component accounted for 64% of total selectivity, and the experimental component for 36% (0.18 vs 0.10 SD units; t = 7.20, p <.01). Except for age and intelligence, experimental selectivity effects regarding means and prevalence rates were generally small. Partitioning selectivity into mortality-associated and experimental components is a useful tool in the longitudinal study of aging populations.
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“Individuals who drop out from a longitudinal study often differ from those who stay on dimensions of interest-they tend to be less healthy, less cognitively fit, and less engaged in stimulating activities, thereby restricting the observable range of variation (e.g., Ghisletta, McArdle, & Lindenberger, 2006; Lindenberger, Singer, & Baltes, 2002) and potentially biasing estimates of the rel”
From Enrichment Effects on Adult Cognitive Development: Can the Functional Capacity of Older Adults Be Preserved and Enhanced? (2008) · cites this paper as Lindenberger, Singer, & Baltes, 2002
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Social resource correlates of levels and time-to-death-related changes in late-life affect.
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“The longitudinal BASE sample is much smaller (N = 206) and is positively selected for health status (Lindenberger et al. 2002).”
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Karalija, N., Papenberg, G., Johansson, J. J., Wåhlin, A., Salami, A., Andersson, M., Axelsson, J., Kuznetsov, D. V., Riklund, K., Lövdén, M., et al. (2024) · Neurobiology of Aging · doi:10.1016/j.neurobiolaging.2024.02.001 · Cited by 15
“Moreover, individuals with poorer health and lower cognitive performance dropped out from the follow-up data collection (Karalija et al., 2022), as is typical for longitudinal studies (Lindenberger et al., 2002).”
BackgroundSelf-citationRandall, G. K., Martin, P., Bishop, A. J., Poon, L. W., & Johnson, M. A. (2011) · Current Gerontology and Geriatrics Research · doi:10.1155/2011/357896 · Cited by 18
“In particular, Lindenberger and colleagues [63] specify that in longitudinal studies where mortality rates are greater than zero, selectivity results from two different sources: mortality-associated selectivity and experimental selectivity.”
BackgroundPredicting real-world navigation performance from a virtual navigation task in older adults
Goodroe, S. C., Velasco, P. F., Gahnstrom, C. J., Wiener, J. M., Coutrot, A., Hornberger, M., & Spiers, H. J. (2025) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0317026 · Cited by 14
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“We calculated selectivity effects according to Lindenberger, Singer, and Baltes (2002).”
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“More generally, our findings highlight the need to consider when and how mortality or other selection processes contribute to observed changes (Hertzog & Nesselroade, 2003; Lindenberger et al., 2002) and the need for further refinement of concepts about when and how late-life declines in psychosocial functioning typic…”
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“Lindenberger, Singer and Baltes differentiated mortality-associated and experimental attrition (4).”
Persson, N., & Andersson, M. (2022) · NeuroImage · doi:10.1016/j.neuroimage.2022.119239 · Cited by 9
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“In Appendix Table S4, we evaluated the selectivity due to missing values between the theoretically available information on the variables at each episode (with valid entries for the respective variable) and the information lost due to having full information on the main variables [65].”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Lindenberger, U., Singer, T., & Baltes, P. B.
- Affiliations
- Max Planck Institute for Human Development (DE)
- Max Planck Society (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Lindenberger, U.
- Venue
- The Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2002-11-01
- Volume
- 57
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- P474-P482
- ISSN
- 1079-5014 (ISSN-L)
- 1758-5368
- OpenAlex
- W2140385093
- Cited by
- 147
- References
- 24
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 8 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 13 · 2014: 7 · 2013: 7 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 10.14
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- The Journals of Gerontology Series B (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics (submittedVersion)
- Max Planck Digital Library (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Max Planck Digital Library (submittedVersion)
- MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Universität des Saarlandes
- Max-Planck-Institut für Bildungsforschung
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Developmental and Educational Psychology › Aging and Gerontology Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Aging, Health, and Disability
- Social Sciences › Health › Health disparities and outcomes
- Keywords
- population aging, Berlin Aging Study, older adults, cognitive aging, personality, socioeconomic status, intelligence, prevalence rates, sample attrition
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Attitude, Female, Geriatrics, Health Status, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Mortality, Personal Satisfaction, Personality, Population Surveillance, Social Support, Socioeconomic Factors, Geriatric Assessment, Consensus
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