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Is the Superior Efficacy of New Generation Antipsychotics an Artifact of LOCF?
Open accessAbstract
It has been argued that the efficacy superiority found in meta-analyses for some of the atypical antipsychotics is an artifact of higher dropout rates due to side effects in the haloperidol group combined with last-observation-carried-forward (LOCF) analyses. We therefore reanalyzed a number of pivotal studies comparing new generation antipsychotics (NGAs) and conventional antipsychotics (CAs). A total of 5 studies (n = 1271) comparing amisulpride and 3 studies (n = 2454) comparing olanzapine with CAs were reanalyzed using original patient data. We applied 4 different models: LOCF, completer analysis, LOCF but excluding dropouts due to adverse events, and LOCF but excluding all dropouts with the exception of dropouts related to efficacy. Effect sizes expressed as standardized mean differences between NGAs and CAs based on the 4 different analysis models were compared. The overall results were not different irrespective of the model used. Single studies, however, showed higher effect sizes when LOCF instead of other models was used. Overall, it does not seem that higher dropout rates due to side effects in the haloperidol groups together with LOCF analyses consistently biased the results in favor of amisulpride and olanzapine. Because the results of the single studies, however, showed that this may occasionally be the case, future studies should look at the data from different angles applying sensitivity analyses, and they may use alternative statistics such as mixed models, which need to be developed further. Ultimately, strategies to reduce dropout rates are needed.
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Metadata
- Authors
- Leucht, S., Engel, R. R., Bauml, J., & Davis, J. M.
- Affiliations
- TUM Klinikum (DE)
- Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (DE)
- University of Illinois Chicago (US)
- Venue
- Schizophrenia Bulletin
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2006-12-07
- Volume
- 33
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 183-191
- ISSN
- 0586-7614 (ISSN-L)
- 1745-1701
- PMC
- PMC2632292
- OpenAlex
- W2127313266
- Cited by
- 193
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 1 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 1 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 5 · 2018: 7 · 2017: 9 · 2016: 12 · 2015: 22 · 2014: 27 · 2013: 34 · 2012: 41
- FWCI
- 3.18
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Schizophrenia Bulletin (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- mediaTUM – the media and publications repository of the Technical University Munich (Technical University Munich) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Schizophrenia research and treatment
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Keywords
- last observation carried forward, missing data
- MeSH terms
- Olanzapine, Amisulpride, Benzodiazepines, Flupenthixol, Haloperidol, Humans, Patient Dropouts, Psychiatric Status Rating Scales, Psychotropic Drugs, Schizophrenia, Schizophrenic Psychology, Sulpiride, Bias, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Artifacts, Treatment Outcome
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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