Minimal Impact of Implemented Early Warning Score and Best Practice Alert for Patient Deterioration*
Open accessAbstract
Objectives: Previous studies have looked at National Early Warning Score performance in predicting in-hospital deterioration and death, but data are lacking with respect to patient outcomes following implementation of National Early Warning Score. We sought to determine the effectiveness of National Early Warning Score implementation on predicting and preventing patient deterioration in a clinical setting. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Setting: Tertiary care academic facility and a community hospital. Patients: Patients 18 years old or older hospitalized from March 1, 2014, to February 28, 2015, during preimplementation of National Early Warning Score to August 1, 2015, to July 31, 2016, after National Early Warning Score was implemented. Interventions: Implementation of National Early Warning Score within the electronic health record and associated best practice alert. Measurements and Main Results: In this study of 85,322 patients (42,402 patients pre-National Early Warning Score and 42,920 patients post-National Early Warning Score implementation), the primary outcome of rate of ICU transfer or death did not change after National Early Warning Score implementation, with adjusted hazard ratio of 0.94 (0.84–1.05) and 0.90 (0.77–1.05) at our academic and community hospital, respectively. In total, 175,357 best practice advisories fired during the study period, with the best practice advisory performing better at the community hospital than the academic at predicting an event within 12 hours 7.4% versus 2.2% of the time, respectively. Retraining National Early Warning Score with newly generated hospital-specific coefficients improved model performance. Conclusions: At both our academic and community hospital, National Early Warning Score had poor performance characteristics and was generally ignored by frontline nursing staff. As a result, National Early Warning Score implementation had no appreciable impact on defined clinical outcomes. Refitting of the model using site-specific data improved performance and supports validating predictive models on local data.
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False positive rates can contribute to unnecessary diagnostics and antimicrobial use, potentially avoidable ICU transfers, and alert fatigue.
“False positive rates, on the other hand, can contribute to unnecessary diagnostics and antimicrobial use, potentially avoidable intensive care unit (ICU) transfers, and alert fatigue.6,7”
From A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Externally Validated Epic Clinical Decision Support Tools (2026) · cites this paper as [6]
The Discussion reports that alerts requiring no clinical intervention contributed to alert fatigue. It does not report that false positives caused unnecessary diagnostics, antimicrobial use, or avoidable ICU transfers; the Results report no change in ICU transfer rates after implementation. Page numbers are not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredMany sepsis CDS systems fail to improve outcomes because of poor diagnostic accuracy and program implementation.
“Unfortunately, many sepsis CDS systems fail to improve outcomes because of poor diagnostic accuracy and program implementation [23-25].”
From Integrating a Machine Learning System Into Clinical Workflows: Qualitative Study (2020) · cites this paper as [23]
The Abstract conclusions and Discussion report that the implemented NEWS alert had no appreciable impact on clinical outcomes, performed poorly, and was generally ignored by nursing staff. The paper concerns one early-warning system for patient deterioration, not many sepsis-specific CDS systems, so it does not support that scope of the claim. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredPrevious attempts at sending automated CDS alerts directly to the treating provider have been associated with high levels of alert fatigue.
“Previous attempts at sending automated CDS alerts directly to the treating provider have been associated with high levels of alert fatigue [23].”
From Integrating a Machine Learning System Into Clinical Workflows: Qualitative Study (2020) · cites this paper as [23]
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- Authors
- Bedoya, A. D., Clement, M. E., Phelan, M., Steorts, R. C., O’Brien, C., & Goldstein, B. A.
- Affiliations
- Duke University (US)
- Venue
- Critical Care Medicine
- Published
- 2019-01
- Volume
- 47
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 49-55
- ISSN
- 0090-3493 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6298839
- OpenAlex
- W2895072154
- Cited by
- 162
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 21 · 2024: 26 · 2023: 20 · 2022: 25 · 2021: 26 · 2020: 20 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 14.55
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Critical Care Medicine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (T32AI007392)
- National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (K25DK097279)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Healthcare Technology and Patient Monitoring
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Health Information Management › Electronic Health Records Systems
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Emergency Medical Services › Patient Safety and Medication Errors
- Keywords
- National Early Warning Score, clinical deterioration, early warning scores, best practice alerts, electronic health record alerts, in-hospital mortality, ICU transfer, prediction model validation, community hospitals, academic medical centers
- MeSH terms
- Academic Medical Centers, Clinical Deterioration, Adult, Aged, Attitude of Health Personnel, Female, Hospitals, Community, Humans, Intensive Care Units, Male, Middle Aged, North Carolina, Nursing Staff, Hospital, Patient Transfer, Retrospective Studies, Cohort Studies, Hospital Mortality, Early Diagnosis, Clinical Alarms, Patient Acuity
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