The DOI matches its Crossref record; 5 of the 5 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Increased temperature variation poses a greater risk to species than climate warming
Open accessAbstract
Increases in the frequency, severity and duration of temperature extremes are anticipated in the near future. Although recent work suggests that changes in temperature variation will have disproportionately greater effects on species than changes to the mean, much of climate change research in ecology has focused on the impacts of mean temperature change. Here, we couple fine-grained climate projections (2050–2059) to thermal performance data from 38 ectothermic invertebrate species and contrast projections with those of a simple model. We show that projections based on mean temperature change alone differ substantially from those incorporating changes to the variation, and to the mean and variation in concert. Although most species show increases in performance at greater mean temperatures, the effect of mean and variance change together yields a range of responses, with temperate species at greatest risk of performance declines. Our work highlights the importance of using fine-grained temporal data to incorporate the full extent of temperature variation when assessing and projecting performance.
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Cites
A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
Parmesan, C., & Yohe, G. (2003) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature01286 · Cited by 11,265
More Intense, More Frequent, and Longer Lasting Heat Waves in the 21st Century
Meehl, G. A., & Tebaldi, C. (2004) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1098704 · Cited by 4,322
Impacts of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude
Deutsch, C. A., Tewksbury, J. J., Huey, R. B., Sheldon, K. S., Ghalambor, C. K., Haak, D. C., & Martin, P. R. (2008) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0709472105 · Cited by 3,840
Influence of climate on malaria transmission depends on daily temperature variation
Paaijmans, K. P., Blanford, S., Bell, A. S., Blanford, J. I., Read, A. F., & Thomas, M. B. (2010) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1006422107 · Cited by 591
Cited by
Ebi, K. L., & Nealon, J. (2016) · Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.envres.2016.07.026 · Cited by 548
Climate models predict increasing temperature variability in poor countries
Bathiany, S., Dakos, V., Scheffer, M., & Lenton, T. M. (2018) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.aar5809 · Cited by 479
Reassessing changes in diurnal temperature range: A new data set and characterization of data biases
Thorne, P. W., Menne, M. J., Williams, C. N., Rennie, J. J., Lawrimore, J. H., Vose, R. S., Peterson, T. C., Durre, I., Davy, R., Esau, I., et al. (2016) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1002/2015jd024583 · Cited by 111
Cheng, B. S., Komoroske, L. M., & Grosholz, E. D. (2017) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.12759 · Cited by 54
Kim, K. S., Chou, H., Funk, D. H., Jackson, J. K., Sweeney, B. W., & Buchwalter, D. B. (2017) · Journal of Experimental Biology · doi:10.1242/jeb.156919 · Cited by 37
Metadata
- Authors
- Vasseur, D. A., DeLong, J. P., Gilbert, B., Greig, H. S., Harley, C. D. G., McCann, K. S., Savage, V., Tunney, T. D., & O'Connor, M. I.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
- Publisher
- The Royal Society
- Published
- 2014-03-22
- Volume
- 281
- Issue
- 1779
- Pages
- 20132612
- ISSN
- 0080-4649 (ISSN-L)
- 0962-8452
- 1471-2954
- OpenAlex
- W2136652200
- Cited by
- 1,030
- References
- 5
- FWCI
- 60.41
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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- Vasseur, D. A., DeLong, J. P., Gilbert, B., Greig, H. S., Harley, C. D. G., McCann, K. S., Savage, V., Tunney, T. D., & O'Connor, M. I. (2014). Increased temperature variation poses a greater risk to species than climate warming. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.2612
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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