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Cited by 668

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 9 of the 9 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Human population growth and the demographic transition

Open access
Bongaarts, John·2009·Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

Abstract

The world and most regions and countries are experiencing unprecedentedly rapid demographic change. The most obvious example of this change is the huge expansion of human numbers: four billion have been added since 1950. Projections for the next half century expect a highly divergent world, with stagnation or potential decline in parts of the developed world and continued rapid growth in the least developed regions. Other demographic processes are also undergoing extraordinary change: women's fertility has dropped rapidly and life expectancy has risen to new highs. Past trends in fertility and mortality have led to very young populations in high fertility countries in the developing world and to increasingly older populations in the developed world. Contemporary societies are now at very different stages of their demographic transitions. This paper summarizes key trends in population size, fertility and mortality, and age structures during these transitions. The focus is on the century from 1950 to 2050, which covers the period of most rapid global demographic transformation.

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Research works printed but not linked: 2

  1. UNAIDS, 2007, AIDS Epidemic Update
  2. United Nations, 1962, Demographic yearbook

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Metadata

Authors
Bongaarts, J.
Venue
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
Published
2009-10-27
Volume
364
Issue
1532
Pages
2985-2990
ISSN
  • 0962-8436 (ISSN-L)
  • 1471-2970
OpenAlex
W2160035359
Cited by
668
References
9
FWCI
33.28
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
green
Licence
royalsociety.org/journals/ethics-policies/data-sharing-mining/ (tdm)

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Human population growth and the demographic transition. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1098/rstb.2009.0137
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Bongaarts, J. (2009). Human population growth and the demographic transition. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2009.0137

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