PreprintCited by 3

A Hybrid Modeling Framework for Predictive Digital Twins of CHO Cell Culture

Richelle, Anne, Andersson, David, Antonakoudis, Athanasios, Jakobsson, Jesper, Pijeaud, Shanti, Vernersson, Anton, Trygg, Johan·2025

Preprint — published as 10.34133/csbj.0078

Abstract

Digital twins of mammalian cell cultures hold great potential for predictive bioprocess modeling, yet their development is challenged by the nonlinear dynamics and metabolic complexity of these systems. We present a hybrid computational framework that integrates mechanistic and data-driven modeling to construct predictive digital twins for Chinese hamster ovary (CHO) cell cultures producing monoclonal antibodies. The framework couples ordinary differential equation (ODE) models with constraint-based metabolic modeling and machine learning components trained on Bayesian-estimated metabolic rates. Applied to 23 CHO fed-batch cultures, viable cell density, product titer, and key metabolite concentrations are accurately predicted under varying feeding and media conditions within a unified simulation engine, where empirical variability is incorporated through multivariate statistical constraints derived from experimental data. Cross-validation analyses demonstrated strong generalization across process variations, highlighting the framework’s capacity to capture both biochemical constraints and adaptive cellular behavior. This hybrid modeling approach provides a mechanistically interpretable yet data-adaptive foundation for constructing bioprocess digital twins. By bridging statistical, mechanistic, and machine learning methodologies, it advances the computational representation of CHO cell culture systems and offers a generalizable strategy for predictive modeling in complex biological production processes.

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  • Richelle et al. (2025) established a hybrid Digital Twin framework for CHO cell cultivation by integrating mechanistic and data driven modeling, achieving accurate predictions of viable cell density, product titer, and metabolite concentration.

    “Similarly, Richelle et al. (2025) established a hybrid DT framework for CHO cell cultivation by integrating mechanistic and data driven modeling, achieving accurate predictions of viable cell density, product titer, and metabolite concentration [12].”

    From Mechanistic model for HEK293 viral vector processes and its application in a digital shadow framework (2026) · cites this paper as [12]

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Research works printed but not linked: 10

  1. • Andersson D, Vernersson A, Richelle A. Estimating Growth Rate from Sparse and Noisy Data: A Bayesian Approach, IFAC-PapersOnLine, 2025, Volume 59, Issue 6, Pages 223-228, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2025.07.149. · DOI
  2. • Antonakoudis, A., Richelle, A. 2025. Systematic data-driven genome-scale metabolic model reduction for bioprocess modeling: CHO cell culture case study. bioRxiv. https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.10.02.679947 · DOI
  3. • Portela RMC, Varsakelis C, Richelle A, Giannelos N, Pence J, Dessoy S, von Stosch M. When Is an In Silico Representation a Digital Twin? A Biopharmaceutical Industry Approach to the Digital Twin Concept. Adv Biochem Eng Biotechnol. 2021;176:35-55. doi: 10.1007/10_2020_138. PMID: 32797270. · DOI
  4. • Ramos JRC, Oliveira GP, Dumas P, Oliveira R. Genome-scale modeling of Chinese hamster ovary cells by hybrid semi-parametric flux balance analysis. Bioprocess Biosyst Eng. 2022 Nov;45(11):1889-1904. doi: 10.1007/s00449-022-02795-9. Epub 2022 Oct 16. PMID: 36245012; PMCID: PMC9616788. · DOI
  5. Richelle, A., David, B., Demaegd, D., Dewerchin, M., Kinet, R., Morreale, A., Portela, R., Zune, Q., von Stosch, M., 2020. Towards a widespread adoption of metabolic modeling tools in biopharmaceutical industry: a process systems biology engineering perspective. npj Syst Biol Appl 6, 6. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41540-020-0127-y · DOI
  6. Richelle A, Corbett B, Agarwal P, Vernersson A, Trygg J, McCready C. Model-based intensification of CHO cell cultures: One-step strategy from fed-batch to perfusion. Front Bioeng Biotechnol. 2022 Aug 22;10:948905. doi: 10.3389/fbioe.2022.948905. PMID: 36072286; PMCID: PMC9443430. · DOI · Paper page
  7. Richelle, A., Andersson, D., Vernersson, A., Cloarec, C., Trygg, J., 2025. Overcoming the Limits of Traditional Rate Calculations from Sparse Concentration Data: A Probabilistic Framework for Bioprocess Modeling. bioRxiv. https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.09.30.679468 • Schinn SM, et al. A genome-scale metabolic network model and machine learning predict amino acid concentrations in Chinese Hamster Ovary cell cultures. Biotechnol Bioeng. 2021 May;118(5):2118-2123. doi: 10.1002/bit.27714. Epub 2021 Feb 19. PMID: 33580712. · DOI
  8. • Segrè D, Vitkup D, Church GM. Analysis of optimality in natural and perturbed metabolic networks. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2002 Nov 12;99(23):15112-7. doi: 10.1073/pnas.232349399. Epub 2002 Nov 1. · DOI
  9. • Smiatek, J., Jung, A., and Bluhmki, E. (2020). Towards a digital bioprocess replica: Computational approaches in biopharmaceutical development and manufacturing. Trends Biotechnol. 38 (10), 1141-1153. doi:10.1016/j.tibtech.2020.05.008 · DOI
  10. • Yasemi M, Jolicoeur M. A genome-scale dynamic constraint-based modelling (gDCBM) framework predicts growth dynamics, medium composition and intracellular flux distributions in CHO clonal variations. Metab Eng. 2023 Jul;78:209-222. doi: 10.1016/j.ymben.2023.06.005. Epub 2023 Jun 20. PMID: 37348809. · DOI

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Authors
Richelle, A., Andersson, D., Antonakoudis, A., Jakobsson, J., Pijeaud, S., Vernersson, A., & Trygg, J.
Publisher
openRxiv
Published
2025-11-26
Cited by
3
References
0
Type
Preprint

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