Signals of polygenic adaptation on height have been overestimated due to uncorrected population structure in genome-wide association studies
Open accessPreprint — published as 10.7554/elife.39702 · Paper page
Abstract
Genetic predictions of height differ among human populations and these differences are too large to be explained by genetic drift. This observation has been interpreted as evidence of polygenic adaptation. Differences across populations were detected using SNPs genome-wide significantly associated with height, and many studies also found that the signals grew stronger when large numbers of subsignificant SNPs were analyzed. This has led to excitement about the prospect of analyzing large fractions of the genome to detect subtle signals of selection and claims of polygenic adaptation for multiple traits. Polygenic adaptation studies of height have been based on SNP effect size measurements in the GIANT Consortium meta-analysis. Here we repeat the height analyses in the UK Biobank, a much more homogeneously designed study. Our results show that polygenic adaptation signals based on large numbers of SNPs below genome-wide significance are extremely sensitive to biases due to uncorrected population structure.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Comparisons of geographically stratified phenotypes like height across populations with highly divergent genetic backgrounds and mean environmental differences are especially prone to confounding from correlated environmental and genetic divergence.
“Comparisons of geographically stratified phenotypes like height across populations with highly divergent genetic backgrounds and mean environmental differences, such as differences in resource abundance during development across continents, are especially prone to confounding from correlated environmental and genetic divergence43,44.”
From Clinical use of current polygenic risk scores may exacerbate health disparities (2019) · cites this paper as [43]
The Results (lines 101–111) and Discussion (lines 365–386; page unavailable) show that population structure can distort comparisons of genetic height scores and create misleading signals across populations. The paper examines predominantly European genetic comparisons; it does not establish the claim’s more specific account of correlated environmental and genetic divergence across continents, including differences in developmental resources. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredEvidence of polygenic adaptation and/or its relative magnitude for height is under question.
“These effects are particularly challenging to disentangle, as has clearly been demonstrated for height, where evidence of polygenic adaptation and/or its relative magnitude is under question43,44.”
From Clinical use of current polygenic risk scores may exacerbate health disparities (2019) · cites this paper as [43]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
No references could be resolved yet.
Research works printed but not linked: 30
- [1][1] Yang J, Benyamin B, McEvoy BP, Gordon S, Henders AK, Nyholt DR, Madden P 565 a, Heath AC, Martin NG, Montgomery GW, Goddard ME, Visscher PM. Common 566 SNPs explain a large proportion of the heritability for human height. Nat 567 Genet 2010;42:565–9. doi:10.1038/ng.608. 568 · DOI · Paper page
- [2][2] Boyle EA, Li YI, Pritchard JK. An Expanded View of Complex Traits: From 569 Polygenic to Omnigenic. Cell 2017;169:1177–86. 570 doi:10.1016/j.cell.2017.05.038. 571 · DOI · Paper page
- [3][3] Zeng J, de Vlaming R, Wu Y, Robinson MR, Lloyd-‐Jones LR, Yengo L, Yap CX, 572 Xue A, Sidorenko J, McRae AF, Powell JE, Montgomery GW, Metspalu A, Esko T, 573 Gibson G, Wray NR, Visscher PM, Yang J. Signatures of negative selection in 574 the genetic architecture of human complex traits. Nat Genet 2018;50:746–53. 575 doi:10.1038/s41588-‐018-‐0101-‐4. 576 · DOI
- [4][4] Turchin MC, Chiang CWK, Palmer CD, Sankararaman S, Reich D, Hirschhorn 577 JN. Evidence of widespread selection on standing variation in Europe at 578 height-‐associated SNPs. Nat Genet 2012;44:1015–9. doi:10.1038/ng.2368. 579 · DOI · Paper page
- [5][5] Berg JJ, Coop G. A Population Genetic Signal of Polygenic Adaptation. PLoS 580 Genet 2014;10:e1004412. doi:10.1371/journal.pgen.1004412. 581 · DOI · Paper page
- [6][6] Mathieson I et al. Genome-‐wide patterns of selection in 230 ancient Eurasians. 582 Nature 2016;528:499–503. doi:10.1038/nature16152.Genome-‐wide. 583 · DOI
- [7][7] Robinson MR, Hemani G, Medina-‐Gomez C, Mezzavilla M, Esko T, Shakhbazov 584 K, Powell JE, Vinkhuyzen A, Berndt SI, Gustafsson S, Justice AE, Kahali B, Locke 585 AE, Pers TH, Vedantam S, Wood AR, Van Rheenen W, Andreassen OA, 586 Gasparini P, et al. Population genetic differentiation of height and body mass 587 index across Europe. Nat Genet 2015;47:1357–61. doi:10.1038/ng.3401. 588 · DOI
- [8][8] Berg JJ, Zhang X, Coop G. Polygenic Adaptation has Impacted Multiple 589 Anthropometric Traits. bioRxiv 2017. doi:10.1101/167551. 590 · DOI
- [9][9] Racimo F, Berg JJ, Pickrell JK. Detecting polygenic adaptation in admixture 591 graphs. Genetics 2018;208:1565–84. doi:10.1534/genetics.117.300489. 592 · DOI
- [10][10] Guo J, Wu Y, Zhu Z, Zheng Z, Trzaskowski M, Zeng J, Robinson MR, Visscher 593 PM, Yang J. Global genetic differentiation of complex traits shaped by natural 594 selection in humans. Nat Commun 2018;9:1–9. doi:10.1038/s41467-‐018-‐595 04191-‐y. 596 · DOI
- [11][11] Simonti C, Stein J, Thompson P, Fisher SE, Dan J. Polygenic selection underlies 597 evolution of human brain structure and behavioral traits. BioRxiv 2017:1–51. 598 doi:https://doi.org/10.1101/164707. 599 · DOI
- [12][12] Field Y, Boyle EA, Telis N, Gao Z, Gaulton KJ, Golan D, Yengo L, Rocheleau G, 600 Froguel P, McCarthy MI, Pritchard JK. Detection of human adaptation during 601 the past 2,000 years. Science 2016;354:760–4. doi:10.1126/science.aag0776. 602 .CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licensea certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under The copyright holder for this preprint (which was notthis version posted July 9, 2018. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/355057doi: bioRxiv preprint https://doi.org/10.1101/355057 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ 16 · DOI · Paper page
- [13][13] Allen HL, Estrada K, Lettre G, Berndt SI, Weedon MN, Rivadeneira F, Willer CJ, 603 Jackson AU, Vedantam S, Raychaudhuri S, Ferreira T, Wood AR, Weyant RJ, 604 Segrè A V., Speliotes EK, Wheeler E, Soranzo N, Park JH, Yang J, et al. Hundreds 605 of variants clustered in genomic loci and biological pathways affect human 606 height. Nature 2010;467:832–8. doi:10.1038/nature09410. 607 · DOI · Paper page
- [14][14] Wood AR, Esko T, Yang J, Vedantam S, Pers TH, Gustafsson S, Chu AY, Estrada 608 K, Luan J, Kutalik Z, Amin N, Buchkovich ML, Croteau-‐Chonka DC, Day FR, 609 Duan Y, Fall T, Fehrmann R, Ferreira T, Jackson AU, et al. Defining the role of 610 common variation in the genomic and biological architecture of adult human 611 height. Nat Genet 2014;46:1173–86. doi:10.1038/ng.3097. 612 · DOI · Paper page
- [16][16] Martin AR, Gignoux CR, Walters RK, Wojcik GL, Neale BM, Gravel S, Daly MJ, 619 Bustamante CD. Human Demographic History Impacts Genetic Risk Prediction 620 across Diverse Populations. Am J Hum Genet 2017;100:635–49. 621 doi:10.1016/j.ajhg.2017.03.004. 622 · DOI · Paper page
- [18][18] Novembre J, Barton NH. Tread Lightly Interpreting Polygenic Tests of 627 Selection. Genetics 2018;208:1351–5. doi:10.1534/GENETICS.118.300786. 628 · DOI · Paper page
- [19][19] Patterson N, Price AL, Reich D. Population structure and eigenanalysis. PLoS 629 Genet 2006;2:2074–93. doi:10.1371/journal.pgen.0020190. 630 · DOI · Paper page
- [20][20] Price AL, Patterson NJ, Plenge RM, Weinblatt ME, Shadick NA, Reich D. 631 Principal components analysis corrects for stratification in genome-‐wide 632 association studies. Nat Genet 2006;38:904–9. doi:10.1038/ng1847. 633 · DOI · Paper page
- [21][21] Sohail M, Vakhrusheva OA, Sul JH, Pulit SL, Francioli LC, Van Den Berg LH, 634 Veldink JH, De Bakker PIW, Bazykin GA, Kondrashov AS, Sunyaev SR. Negative 635 selection in humans and fruit flies involves synergistic epistasis. Science 636 2017;356:539–42. doi:10.1126/science.aah5238. 637 · DOI
- [22][22] Nelson MR, Bryc K, King KS, Indap A, Boyko AR, Novembre J, Briley LP, 638 Maruyama Y, Waterworth DM, Waeber G, Vollenweider P, Oksenberg JR, 639 Hauser SL, Stirnadel HA, Kooner JS, Chambers JC, Jones B, Mooser V, 640 Bustamante CD, et al. The Population Reference Sample, POPRES: A Resource 641 for Population, Disease, and Pharmacological Genetics Research. Am J Hum 642 Genet 2008;83:347–58. doi:10.1016/j.ajhg.2008.08.005. 643 · DOI · Paper page
- [23][23] Haworth S, Mitchell R, Corbin L, Wade KH, Dudding T, Budu-‐Aggrey A, 644 Carslake D, Hemani G, Paternoster L, Smith GD, Davies N, Lawson D, Timpson 645 N. Common genetic variants and health outcomes appear geographically 646 structured in the UK Biobank sample: Old concerns returning and their 647 implications. bioRxiv 2018:294876. doi:10.1101/294876. 648 .CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licensea certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under The copyright holder for this preprint (which was notthis version posted July 9, 2018. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/355057doi: bioRxiv preprint https://doi.org/10.1101/355057 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ 17 · DOI
- [24][24] Loh P-‐R, Kichaev G, Gazal S, Schoech A, Price AL. Mixed model association for 649 biobank-‐scale data sets. bioRxiv 2017. doi:10.1101/194944. 650 · DOI · Paper page
- [25][25] Yengo L, Sidorenko J, Kemper KE, Zheng Z, Wood AR, Weedon MN, Frayling 651 TM, Hirschhorn J, Yang J, Peter M. Meta-‐analysis of genome-‐wide association 652 studies for height and body mass index in ~700,000 individuals of European 653 ancestry. bioRxiv 2018. doi:https://doi.org/10.1101/274654. 654 · DOI
- [26][26] Haak W, Lazaridis I, Patterson N, Rohland N, Mallick S, Llamas B, Brandt G, 655 Nordenfelt S, Harney E, Stewardson K, Fu Q, Mittnik A, Bánffy E, Economou C, 656 Francken M, Friederich S, Pena RG, Hallgren F, Khartanovich V, et al. Massive 657 migration from the steppe was a source for Indo-‐European languages in 658 Europe. Nature 2015;522:207–11. doi:10.1038/nature14317. 659 · DOI · Paper page
- [27][27] Mathieson I, Alpaslan-‐Roodenberg S, Posth C, Szécsényi-‐Nagy A, Rohland N, 660 Mallick S, Olalde I, Broomandkhoshbacht N, Candilio F, Cheronet O, Fernandes 661 D, Ferry M, Gamarra B, Fortes GG, Haak W, Harney E, Jones E, Keating D, 662 Krause-‐Kyora B, et al. The genomic history of southeastern Europe. Nature 663 2018. doi:10.1038/nature25778. 664 · DOI
- [28][28] Auton A, Abecasis GR, Altshuler DM, Durbin RM, Bentley DR, Chakravarti A, 665 Clark AG, Donnelly P, Eichler EE, Flicek P, Gabriel SB, Gibbs RA, Green ED, 666 Hurles ME, Knoppers BM, Korbel JO, Lander ES, Lee C, Lehrach H, et al. A 667 global reference for human genetic variation. Nature 2015;526:68–74. 668 doi:10.1038/nature15393. 669 · DOI · Paper page
- [29][29] Berg JJ, Zhang X, Coop G. Polygenic Adaptation has Impacted Multiple 670 Anthropometric Traits. bioRxiv 2017:1–38. doi:10.1101/167551. 671 · DOI
- [30][30] Berisa T, Pickrell JK. Approximately independent linkage disequilibrium 672 blocks in human populations. Bioinformatics 2015;32:283–5. 673 doi:10.1093/bioinformatics/btv546. 674 · DOI
- [31][31] Chang CC, Chow CC, Tellier LCAM, Vattikuti S, Purcell SM, Lee JJ. Second-‐675 generation PLINK: Rising to the challenge of larger and richer datasets. 676 Gigascience 2015;4:1–16. doi:10.1186/s13742-‐015-‐0047-‐8. 677 · DOI
- [33][33] Berg JJ, Harpak A, Sinnott-‐Armstrong N, Joergensen AM, Mostafavi H, Field Y, 680 Boyle EA, Zhang X, Racimo F, Pritchard JK, Coop G. Reduced signal for 681 polygenic adaptation of height in UK Biobank. 2018. doi:10.1101/354951. 682 683 684 .CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licensea certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under The copyright holder for this preprint (which was notthis version posted July 9, 2018. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/355057doi: bioRxiv preprint https://doi.org/10.1101/355057 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ 18 · DOI
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Clinical use of current polygenic risk scores may exacerbate health disparities
Martin, A. R., Kanai, M., Kamatani, Y., Okada, Y., Neale, B. M., & Daly, M. J. (2019) · Nature Genetics · doi:10.1038/s41588-019-0379-x · Cited by 2,831 · see citing works
Self-citationInterpreting polygenic scores, polygenic adaptation, and human phenotypic differences
Rosenberg, N. A., Edge, M. D., Pritchard, J. K., & Feldman, M. W. (2019) · Evolution, Medicine, and Public Health · doi:10.1093/emph/eoy036 · Cited by 105 · see citing works
“10 polygenic adaptation when assessing polygenic adaptation in a second data set [34,35].”
Current clinical use of polygenic scores will risk exacerbating health disparities
Martin, A. R., Kanai, M., Kamatani, Y., Okada, Y., Neale, B. M., & Daly, M. J. (2018) · doi:10.1101/441261 · Cited by 2,813 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Sohail, M., Maier, R. M., Ganna, A., Bloemendal, A., Martin, A. R., Turchin, M. C., Chiang, C. W. K., Hirschhorn, J. N., Daly, M. J., Patterson, N., Neale, B. M., Mathieson, I., Reich, D., & Sunyaev, S. R.
- Affiliations
- Broad Institute (US)
- Brown University (US)
- University of Southern California (US)
- University of Pennsylvania (US)
- ORCID
- Venue
- eLife
- Publisher
- openRxiv
- Published
- 2018-06-25
- Volume
- 8
- ISSN
- 2050-084X (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6428571
- OpenAlex
- W2924359406
- Cited by
- 360
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 28 · 2025: 30 · 2024: 35 · 2023: 36 · 2022: 61 · 2021: 63 · 2020: 58 · 2019: 41 · 2018: 7
- FWCI
- 33.45
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- eLife (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Työväentutkimus Vuosikirja (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Howard Hughes Medical Institute
- Alfred P. Sloan Foundation
- Allen Foundation
- Charles E. Kaufman Foundation
- National Institutes of Health
- Allen Discovery Center
- National Institute of Mental Health (R01MH101244)
- National Human Genome Research Institute (R01HG006399, U01HG009088)
- National Institute of General Medical Sciences (R01GM100233, R35GM127131)
- National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (R01DK075787)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Forensic and Genetic Research
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic and phenotypic traits in livestock
- Keywords
- polygenic adaptation, height, population stratification, polygenic risk score, UK Biobank, genetic effect size
- MeSH terms
- Adaptation, Biological, Body Height, United Kingdom, Humans, Phylogeny, Databases, Factual, Computational Biology, Multifactorial Inheritance, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Genome-Wide Association Study, Biostatistics
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review