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Sensitivity of Hosting Capacity to Data Resolution and Uncertainty Modeling
Abstract
Integration limits of distributed generations (DGs) in distribution networks, i.e. the hosting capacity (HC), are highly dependent on uncertainties associated with the size, location and output power of DGs. Addressing these uncertainties to a great extent is reliant on the availability and resolution of the historical data. This paper investigates the effects of data resolution and uncertainty modeling on the HC calculation. To do so, a mathematical model of the HC problem is used in a Monte Carlo-based framework. Our analysis is carried out on an agricultural distribution network in Australia. It is shown that decreasing the resolution of historical data shifts the probability distribution function of the HC towards right implying an increase in the estimated HC. Further, it is illustrated that assuming a fixed capacity for DGs instead of proper modeling of the uncertainty associated with their size results in underestimation of the HC in the network.
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“Additionally, the worst-case scenario often adopted in the deterministic method can easily underestimate the HC because the minimum load demand and maximum solar PV output are overestimated and unlikely to happen simultaneously [14,74].”
From Methods and Tools for PV and EV Hosting Capacity Determination in Low Voltage Distribution Networks—A Review (2023) · cites this paper as [74]
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Research works printed but not linked: 23
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
A Review of the Tools and Methods for Distribution Networks’ Hosting Capacity Calculation
Zain ul Abideen, M., Ellabban, O., & Al-Fagih, L. (2020) · Energies · doi:10.3390/en13112758 · Cited by 161
Umoh, V., Davidson, I., Adebiyi, A., & Ekpe, U. (2023) · Energies · doi:10.3390/en16083609 · Cited by 71
Metadata
- Authors
- Abad, M. S. S., Ma, J., Zhang, D., Ahmadyar, A. S., & Marzooghi, H.
- Affiliations
- The University of Sydney (AU)
- Venue
- 2018 Australasian Universities Power Engineering Conference (AUPEC)
- Publisher
- IEEE
- Published
- 2018-11
- Pages
- 1-6
- OpenAlex
- W2956169614
- Cited by
- 16
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2024: 4 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 1 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 4 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 3.19
- Type
- conference paper
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Australasian Universities Power Engineering Conference (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Optimal Power Flow Distribution
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Thermal Analysis in Power Transmission
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Electric Power System Optimization
- Keywords
- hosting capacity, distributed generation, distribution networks, uncertainty modeling, data resolution, historical data, Monte Carlo simulation, limits of integration
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