Cited by 154Medical Image Segmentation TechniquesArtificial Intelligence in Healthcare and EducationMedical Imaging and Analysis

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 46 of the 46 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 7 of the 22 sources its claims cite were checked for support.

Reverse Classification Accuracy: Predicting Segmentation Performance in the Absence of Ground Truth

Open access

Abstract

When integrating computational tools, such as automatic segmentation, into clinical practice, it is of utmost importance to be able to assess the level of accuracy on new data and, in particular, to detect when an automatic method fails. However, this is difficult to achieve due to the absence of ground truth. Segmentation accuracy on clinical data might be different from what is found through cross validation, because validation data are often used during incremental method development, which can lead to overfitting and unrealistic performance expectations. Before deployment, performance is quantified using different metrics, for which the predicted segmentation is compared with a reference segmentation, often obtained manually by an expert. But little is known about the real performance after deployment when a reference is unavailable. In this paper, we introduce the concept of reverse classification accuracy (RCA) as a framework for predicting the performance of a segmentation method on new data. In RCA, we take the predicted segmentation from a new image to train a reverse classifier, which is evaluated on a set of reference images with available ground truth. The hypothesis is that if the predicted segmentation is of good quality, then the reverse classifier will perform well on at least some of the reference images. We validate our approach on multi-organ segmentation with different classifiers and segmentation methods. Our results indicate that it is indeed possible to predict the quality of individual segmentations, in the absence of ground truth. Thus, RCA is ideal for integration into automatic processing pipelines in clinical routine and as a part of large-scale image analysis studies.

Overview

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

The paper introduces reverse classification accuracy (RCA), a framework that predicts per-case segmentation quality without ground truth by training a classifier on a predicted segmentation as pseudo-GT and evaluating it on reference images with known GT. Across multi-organ MRI experiments, RCA with Single-Atlas label propagation best predicted Dice scores, while distance-based metrics and constrained CNNs were less reliable.

Key findings

  • RCA can predict individual segmentation accuracy without ground truth. Best results used Single-Atlas as the RCA classifier: correlations of 0.955, 0.973, and 0.962 for Random Forests, CNNs, and Multi-Atlas segmentation methods, with MAEs of 0.051, 0.052, and 0.067 and 3-category accuracies of 0.888, 0.811, and 0.822.
  • Atlas Forests also performed well: correlations of 0.881, 0.828, and 0.863, MAEs of 0.120, 0.166, and 0.168, and 3-category accuracies of 0.783, 0.623, and 0.749 for the same three segmentation methods. Constrained CNNs were least suitable, with correlations below 0.78 and MAEs above 0.2.
  • In a failure-detection experiment using degraded Random Forests, Atlas Forests achieved correlation 0.853, MAE 0.096, and accuracy 0.884; Single-Atlas achieved correlation 0.875, MAE 0.097, and accuracy 0.928; constrained CNNs had correlation 0.237, MAE 0.139, and accuracy 0.924. The bladder was an exception where failed segmentations were not reliably detected.
  • RCA predicted overlap-based metrics better than distance-based metrics: DSC correlation 0.881, MAE 0.120, accuracy 0.783; Jaccard index correlation 0.899, MAE 0.110, accuracy 0.749; Hausdorff distance correlation 0.189, MAE 41.38, accuracy 0.387; average surface distance correlation 0.022, MAE 4.120, accuracy 0.344; relative volume difference correlation 0.474, MAE 0.051, accuracy 0.678.

Methods

  • Whole-body multi-sequence MRI (T1w Dixon and T2w) from 35 healthy volunteers in the MALIBO study, with manual segmentations of 15 anatomical structures, yielding 525 structures (15 organs × 35 subjects). Evaluation used 3-fold cross-validation.
  • Three segmentation methods were tested: Random Forests, 3D CNNs (DeepMedic), and probabilistic multi-atlas label propagation. Three RCA classifiers were tested: Atlas Forests, constrained CNNs, and Single-Atlas label propagation, giving nine combinations.
  • Prediction accuracy was quantified by correlation between predicted and real Dice similarity coefficient (DSC), mean absolute error (MAE), and 3-category classification accuracy using DSC ranges [0.0, 0.6) for bad, [0.6, 0.8) for medium, and [0.8, 1.0] for good. The RCA proxy was the maximum DSC across reference images. A leave-one-subject-out Random Forest regression calibration experiment was also run.

Limitations

  • The paper states that RCA assumes a linear relationship between predicted and real scores close to identity, which was only found with Single-Atlas; off-diagonal correlation for Atlas Forests may require calibration, but calibration risks overfitting. It also states that distance-based metrics such as Hausdorff distance and average surface distance cannot be accurately predicted with the current setting, and that constrained CNNs trained on single images only work for major organs and struggle with small structures, producing many zero predictions.
  • Evident from the text: validation used 35 healthy volunteers rather than clinical or pathological data, and RCA requires a reference database with available ground truth. The 3-category DSC thresholds are described as somewhat arbitrary and would need adjustment for each application.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1109/tmi.2017.2665165

Cites

46 of 46 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

7 of 22 cited sources checked · 3 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

Show all 38 claims

  • Probably not a substantial claim. 19
  • It may state two separate claims as one. 21
36 of 36
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    A suitable reference database containing multiple segmented images that capture expected variability is available.

    “we further assume that a suitable reference database is available that contains multiple segmented images (or atlases) T = { ( J k , S GT J k ) } m k =1 that capture the expected variability.”
    “The assumption is that in machine learning approaches, such a database is usually already available, but it could also be specifically constructed for the purpose of RCA.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The RCA classifier works best on images that are somewhat similar to the image I.

    “In fact, the RCA classifier f I,S I is assumed to work best on images that are somewhat similar to I .”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    There is a correlation between the segmentation metric values computed on reference images and the values one would get for the new image if ground truth were available.

    “The underlying hypothesis in our RCA framework is that there is a correlation between the values computed on ( S J , S GT J ) and the values one would get for the pair ( S I , S GT I ) , where S GT I is the reference GT of image I which in practice, however, is unavailable.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The maximum DSC score over all reference images correlates well with the real DSC on the new image if ground truth were available.

    “It is expected that the maximum DSC score over all reference images correlates well with the real DSC that one would get on the new image if GT were available.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The RCA classifier performs well on at least some reference images if and only if the predicted segmentation S_I is of good quality, and performs poorly on all reference images if S_I is of bad quality.

    “When testing the RCA classifier on all of the available m reference images, we expect that the RCA classifier performs well on at least some of these, if and only if the predicted segmentation S I is of good quality. If S I is of bad quality, we expect the RCA classifier to perform poorly on all reference images.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    There is a linear relationship between predicted and real scores which should be close to an identity mapping.

    “The drawback, however, is that we assume a linear relationship between predicted and real scores which should be close to an identity mapping”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    DSC is the most widely considered segmentation evaluation measure.

    “Still, DSC is the most widely considered measure”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Manual quality control by visual inspection is not feasible when thousands of images are automatically processed for the purpose of deriving population statistics.

    “In settings where thousands of images are automatically processed for the purpose of deriving population statistics, it is not feasible to employ manual quality control with visually inspection of the segmentation results.”
8 of 8

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • RVD classification accuracy is misstated as 0.68%

    Minor

    Table III gives the RVD classification accuracy as 0.678, or 67.8%, rather than approximately 0.68%.

    Reported 0.68 · recomputed 67.8

  • Atlas Forests classification accuracies are reported as fractions of a percent

    Minor

    The cited table reports accuracies of 0.623, 0.749, and 0.783, corresponding to approximately 62%, 75%, and 78%, not 0.62%, 0.75%, and 0.78%.

    Reported 0.62 · recomputed 62.3

  • Calibration does not improve every Atlas Forests classification accuracy

    Minor

    The text says classification accuracies improve with calibration for Atlas Forests, but Table IV shows the Multi-Atlas/Atlas Forests accuracy falling from 0.749 to 0.745.

3 of 3

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Metadata

Authors
Valindria, V. V., Lavdas, I., Bai, W., Kamnitsas, K., Aboagye, E. O., Rockall, A. G., Rueckert, D., & Glocker, B.
Affiliations
  • Imperial College London (GB)
  • Hammersmith Hospital (GB)
  • Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
Venue
IEEE Transactions on Medical Imaging
Published
2017-08
Volume
36
Issue
8
Pages
1597-1606
ISSN
  • 0278-0062 (ISSN-L)
  • 1558-254X
OpenAlex
W2594608309
Cited by
152
References
41
Citations by year
2026: 12 · 2025: 21 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 21 · 2022: 20 · 2021: 15 · 2020: 15 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 12 · 2017: 1
FWCI
5.45
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • IEEE Transactions on Medical Imaging (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
  • Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • arXiv (Cornell University) (cc-by)
Funders
  • National Institute for Health Research under EME Project (13/122/01)
  • EPSRC First Grant Scheme (EP/N023668/1)
  • Indonesia Endowment for Education (LPDP)–Indonesian Presidential Ph.D. Scholarship Programme
  • Imperial College President’s Ph.D. Scholarship Programme
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition › Medical Image Segmentation Techniques
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Health Informatics › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
  • Physical Sciences › Engineering › Biomedical Engineering › Medical Imaging and Analysis
Keywords
automated image segmentation, multi-organ segmentation, overfitting, cross-validation
MeSH terms
Algorithms, Reproducibility of Results

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