The DOI matches its Crossref record; 16 of the 17 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Predicting the Future with Social Media
Open accessAbstract
In recent years, social media has become ubiquitous and important for social networking and content sharing. And yet, the content that is generated from these websites remains largely untapped. In this paper, we demonstrate how social media content can be used to predict real-world outcomes. In particular, we use the chatter from Twitter.com to forecast box-office revenues for movies. We show that a simple model built from the rate at which tweets are created about particular topics can outperform market-based predictors. We further demonstrate how sentiments extracted from Twitter can be further utilized to improve the forecasting power of social media.
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“Much research rests upon the assumption that online social traces reflect in some quantifiable way real-world phenomena (Asur and Huberman, 2010; Kıcıman and Richardson, 2015)”
From Social Data: Biases, Methodological Pitfalls, and Ethical Boundaries (2019) · cites this paper as Asur and Huberman, 2010
Citations
Cites
Opinion Mining and Sentiment Analysis
Pang, B., & Lee, L. (2008) · now publishers, Inc. eBooks · doi:10.1561/9781601981516 · Cited by 6,957
Opinion mining and sentiment analysis
Pang, B., & Lee, L. (2008) · Foundations and Trends® in Information Retrieval · doi:10.1561/1500000011 · Cited by 6,372
Java, A., Song, X., Finin, T., & Tseng, B. L. (2007) · doi:10.1145/1348549.1348556 · Cited by 2,662
Cheap and fast---but is it good?: evaluating non-expert annotations for natural language tasks
Snow, R., O'Connor, B., Jurafsky, D., & Ng, A. Y. (2008) · Proceedings of the Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing - EMNLP '08 · doi:10.3115/1613715.1613751 · Cited by 1,887
Twitter power: Tweets as electronic word of mouth
Jansen, B. J. J., Zhang, M., Sobel, K., & Chowdury, A. (2009) · Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology · doi:10.1002/asi.21149 · Cited by 1,766
Social networks that matter: Twitter under the microscope
Huberman, B. A., Romero, D. M., & Wu, F. (2008) · First Monday · doi:10.5210/fm.v14i1.2317 · Cited by 965
Self-citationLarge-Scale Sentiment Analysis for News and Blogs
Godbole, N., Srinivasaiah, M., & Skiena, S. (2007) · International Conference on Weblogs and Social Media · Cited by 581
The predictive power of online chatter
Gruhl, D., Guha, R. V., Kumar, R., Novak, J., & Tomkins, A. (2005) · ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (KDD) · doi:10.1145/1081870.1081883 · Cited by 411
The dynamics of viral marketing
Leskovec, J., Adamic, L. A., & Huberman, B. A. (2006) · ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC) · doi:10.1145/1134707.1134732 · Cited by 391
Self-citationPredicting Movie Sales from Blogger Sentiment
Mishne, G., & Glance, N. (2006) · Cited by 354
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Twitter mood predicts the stock market
Bollen, J., Mao, H., & Zeng, X. (2011) · Journal of Computational Science · doi:10.1016/j.jocs.2010.12.007 · Cited by 5,206
Sentiment Analysis and Opinion Mining
Zhang, L., & Liu, B. (2017) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-4899-7687-1_907 · Cited by 3,307
Challenges of Big Data analysis
Fan, J., Han, F., & Liu, H. (2014) · National Science Review · doi:10.1093/nsr/nwt032 · Cited by 1,482
Comparing Twitter and Traditional Media Using Topic Models
Zhao, W. X., Jiang, J., Weng, J., He, J., Lim, E.-P., Yan, H., & Li, X. (2011) · Lecture Notes in Computer Science · doi:10.1007/978-3-642-20161-5_34 · Cited by 1,214
Birds of the Same Feather Tweet Together: Bayesian Ideal Point Estimation Using Twitter Data
Barberá, P. (2015) · Political Analysis · doi:10.1093/pan/mpu011 · Cited by 982
Metadata
- Authors
- Asur, S., & Huberman, B. A.
- Affiliations
- Hewlett-Packard (United States) (US)
- Venue
- 2010 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology
- Publisher
- IEEE
- Published
- 2010-08
- Pages
- 492-499
- OpenAlex
- W2015186536
- Cited by
- 2,081
- References
- 17
- Citations by year
- 2026: 12 · 2025: 36 · 2024: 52 · 2023: 71 · 2022: 90 · 2021: 129 · 2020: 168 · 2019: 156 · 2018: 165 · 2017: 196 · 2016: 184 · 2015: 243 · 2014: 205 · 2013: 173 · 2012: 111
- FWCI
- 269.17
- Type
- conference paper
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- arxiv.org
- Locations
- IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology (WI-IAT) (publishedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (0937060)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Stock Market Forecasting Methods
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Sentiment Analysis and Opinion Mining
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Forecasting Techniques and Applications
- Keywords
- social media, Twitter, box office revenue, sentiment analysis, social media content
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