Excess mortality reveals covid’s true toll in russia

Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries

Kontis, V., Bennett, J. E., Rashid, T., Parks, R. M., Pearson-Stuttard, J., Guillot, M., Asaria, P., Zhou, B., Battaglini, M., Corsetti, G., et al. (2020) · Nature Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41591-020-1112-0 · Cited by 410 · see citing works

Excess mortality: the gold standard in measuring the impact of COVID-19 worldwide?

Beaney, T., Clarke, J. M., Jain, V., Golestaneh, A. K., Lyons, G., Salman, D., & Majeed, A. (2020) · Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · doi:10.1177/0141076820956802 · Cited by 370 · see citing works

COVID-19: a need for real-time monitoring of weekly excess deaths

Leon, D. A., Школьников, В. М., Smeeth, L. L., Magnus, P. M., Pechholdová, M., & Jarvis, C. I. (2020) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30933-8 · Cited by 231 · see citing works

Integer percentages as electoral falsification fingerprints

Kobak, D., Shpilkin, S., & Pshenichnikov, M. S. (2016) · The Annals of Applied Statistics · doi:10.1214/16-aoas904 · Cited by 33 · see citing works

Statistical Fingerprints of Electoral Fraud?

Kobak, D., Shpilkin, S., & Pshenichnikov, M. S. (2016) · Significance · doi:10.1111/j.1740-9713.2016.00936.x · Cited by 20 · see citing works

Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis of COVID-19-related mortality, 2020–21

Wang, H., Paulson, K. R., Pease, S. A., Watson, S., Comfort, H., Zheng, P., Aravkin, A. Y., Bisignano, C., Barber, R. M., Alam, T., et al. (2022) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(21)02796-3 · Cited by 2,069 · see citing works

Tracking excess mortality across countries during the COVID-19 pandemic with the World Mortality Dataset

Karlinsky, A., & Kobak, D. (2021) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.69336 · Cited by 772 · see citing works

A comprehensive look at the COVID-19 pandemic death toll

Simonsen, L., & Viboud, C. (2021) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.71974 · Cited by 110 · see citing works

Direct and indirect mortality impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, March 1, 2020 to January 1, 2022

Lee, W.-E., Woo Park, S., Weinberger, D. M., Olson, D., Simonsen, L., Grenfell, B. T., & Viboud, C. (2023) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.77562 · Cited by 90 · see citing works

Encouraged to Cheat? Federal Incentives and Career Concerns at the Sub-national Level as Determinants of Under-Reporting of COVID-19 Mortality in Russia

Kofanov, D., Kozlov, V., Libman, A., & Zakharov, N. (2022) · British Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1017/s0007123422000527 · Cited by 32 · see citing works

Fighting the Disease or Manipulating the Data? Democracy, State Capacity, and the COVID-19 Pandemic

Knutsen, C. H., & Kolvani, P. (2022) · World Politics · doi:10.1353/wp.2024.a933071 · Cited by 24 · see citing works

The Spread of the Covid-19 Pandemic in Russian Regions in 2020: Models and Reality

Pilyasov, A. N., Zamyatina, N. Y., & Kotov, E. (2021) · Economy of Regions · doi:10.17059/ekon.reg.2021-4-3 · Cited by 23 · see citing works

Pathological Features in 100 Deceased Patients With COVID-19 in Correlation With Clinical and Laboratory Data

Михалева, Л. М., Al, C., Samsonova, M. V., Zayratyants, O. V., Kakturskiy, L., Vasyukova, O. A., Birukov, A. E., Kontorshchikov, A. S., Sorokina, A., & Sinelnikov, M. Y. (2021) · Pathology & Oncology Research · doi:10.3389/pore.2021.1609900 · Cited by 23 · see citing works

Underestimation in Reporting Excess COVID-19 Death Data in Poland during the First Three Pandemic Waves

Walkowiak, M. P., & Walkowiak, D. (2022) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph19063692 · Cited by 22 · see citing works

Post-covid condition in adults and children

Baimukhambetova, D. V., Gorina, A. O. G., Rumyantsev, M. A., Shikhaleva, A., El-Taravi, Y., Bondarenko, E., Капустина, В., & Munblit, D. (2021) · PULMONOLOGIYA · doi:10.18093/0869-0189-2021-31-5-562-570 · Cited by 24 · see citing works

Postsocialist Shrinking Cities

Wu, C., Gunko, M., Stryjakiewicz, T., & Zhou, K. (2022) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9780367815011 · Cited by 21 · see citing works

COVID-19 and excess mortality in Russia: Regional estimates of life expectancy losses in 2020 and excess deaths in 2021

Scherbov, S., Gietel‐Basten, S., Ediev, D. M., Shulgin, S. G., & Sanderson, W. C. (2022) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0275967 · Cited by 22 · see citing works

Pandemic Decentralization: COVID-19 and Principal–Agent Relations in Russia

Busygina, I. M., & Klimovich, S. (2022) · Problems of Post-Communism · doi:10.1080/10758216.2022.2111313 · Cited by 19 · see citing works

Life expectancy declines in Russia during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020

Aburto, J. M., Schöley, J., Kashnitsky, I., & Kashyap, R. (2022) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyac055 · Cited by 18 · see citing works

Comparing methods to predict baseline mortality for excess mortality calculations

Ferenci, T. (2023) · BMC Medical Research Methodology · doi:10.1186/s12874-023-02061-w · Cited by 19 · see citing works

Analysis of Risk Factors in COVID-19 Adult Mortality in Russia

Kirillоv, Y., Timofeev, S., Avdalyan, A. M., Nikolenko, V. N., Александрович, Г. Л., & Sinelnikov, M. Y. (2021) · Journal of Primary Care & Community Health · doi:10.1177/21501327211008050 · Cited by 16 · see citing works

COVID-19 pandemic in Saint Petersburg, Russia: Combining population-based serological study and surveillance data

Барчук, А. А., Skougarevskiy, D., Kouprianov, A., Shirokov, D., Dudkina, O., Турсун-заде, Р. Т., Sergeeva, M. V., Tychkova, V., Komissarov, A. B., Zheltukhina, A., et al. (2022) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0266945 · Cited by 14 · see citing works

Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in Asia

Jones, G. W. (2023) · Asian Population Studies · doi:10.1080/17441730.2023.2193476 · Cited by 13 · see citing works

SARS-CoV-2 infections in 165 countries over time

Louca, S. (2021) · International Journal of Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2021.08.067 · Cited by 7 · see citing works

Underdispersion: A Statistical Anomaly in Reported Covid Data

Kobak, D. (2022) · Significance · doi:10.1111/1740-9713.01627 · Cited by 11 · see citing works

Blessing or Curse of Democracy?: Current Evidence from the Covid-19 PandemicPreprint

Badman, R. P., Wu, Y., Inukai, K., & Akaishi, R. (2021) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2105.10865 · Cited by 11 · see citing works

Regime Type and Data Manipulation: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic

Wigley, S. (2024) · Journal of Health Politics Policy and Law · doi:10.1215/03616878-11373750 · Cited by 10 · see citing works

The role of statisticians in the response to COVID-19 in Israel: a holistic point of view

Dattner, I., Gal, R., Goldberg, Y., Goldshtein, I., Huppert, A., Kenett, R. S., Manor, O., Pfeffermann, D., Schechtman, E., Serio, C. D., et al. (2022) · Israel Journal of Health Policy Research · doi:10.1186/s13584-022-00531-y · Cited by 11 · see citing works

Somatic burden in Russia during the COVID-19 pandemic

Zolotareva, A. A., Khegay, A. S., Voevodina, E., Kritsky, I. S., Ibragimov, R., Аркадьевна, Н. Н., Konstantinov, V. V., Malenova, A. Y., Belasheva, I. V., Khodyreva, N., et al. (2023) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0282345 · Cited by 10 · see citing works

Lives saved, lives lost, and under-reported COVID-19 deaths: Excess and non-excess mortality in relation to cause-specific mortality during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden

Mussino, E., Drefahl, S., Wallace, M., Billingsley, S., Aradhya, S., & Andersson, G. (2024) · Demographic Research · doi:10.4054/demres.2024.50.1 · Cited by 9 · see citing works

Two complementary approaches to estimate an excess of mortality: The case of Switzerland 2022

Locatelli, I., & Rousson, V. (2023) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0290160 · Cited by 9 · see citing works

Information manipulation and repression: Theory and evidence from the COVID-19 response in Russia

Lamberova, N., & Сонин, К. И. (2026) · Journal of Public Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2026.105740 · Cited by 6 · see citing works

How do economic activities spur the COVID-19 pandemic in Russia? A dynamic panel data analysis

Iwasaki, I. (2022) · Post-Communist Economies · doi:10.1080/14631377.2022.2104508 · Cited by 4 · see citing works

Индивидуальный опыт первой волны пандемии COVID-19 и политическая поддержка в России (по материалам опроса “Ценности в кризисе”)

Соколов, Б. О., & Завадская, М. А. (2023) · Полис. Политические исследования · doi:10.17976/jpps/2023.04.11 · Cited by 3 · see citing works

COVID-19 and fertility intentions: a qualitative study in six regions of Russia

Kazenin, K. I. (2022) · Population and Economics · doi:10.3897/popecon.6.e93480 · Cited by 3 · see citing works

Evaluation of concordance in estimation of excess mortality due to COVID‐19 pandemic

Verma, V., Nath, D. C., & Khan, H. T. A. (2023) · Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice · doi:10.1111/jep.13866 · Cited by 3 · see citing works

The historic failure of the EU and nationalism in the Covid 19 pandemic

Pitty, R. (2022) · Australian and New Zealand Journal of European Studies · doi:10.30722/anzjes.vol14.iss2.16167 · Cited by 3 · see citing works

A systematic review of excess all-cause mortality estimation studies in India during COVID-19 pandemic

Yadav, A. K., Ahmed, T., Dumka, N., Singh, S. R., Pathak, V., & Kotwal, A. (2023) · Medical Journal Armed Forces India · doi:10.1016/j.mjafi.2023.02.008 · Cited by 3 · see citing works

War Fatalities in Russia in 2022–2023 Estimated Via Excess Male Mortality: A Research Note

Kobak, D., Bessudnov, A., Ershov, A., Mikhailova, T. V., & Raksha, A. (2025) · Demography · doi:10.1215/00703370-11862998 · Cited by 3 · see citing works

Natural population movement and COVID-19: data from Russia

Nusratullin, I., Дроздов, И. В., Ермаков, А. В., Koksharova, E. A., & Mashchenko, M. V. (2021) · Cuestiones Políticas · doi:10.46398/cuestpol.3971.60 · Cited by 2 · see citing works

Diverse landscape of urban and regional shrinkage in Russia

Batunova, E., & Gunko, M. (2022) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9780367815011-14 · Cited by 2 · see citing works

Centre–Regional Relations in Russia and the War Against Ukraine

Busygina, I. M., & Георгиевич, Ф. М. (2026) · Europe Asia Studies · doi:10.1080/09668136.2026.2618609 · Cited by 2 · see citing works

Challenges to Generating Reliable COVID Statistics: Domestic and International Experience

Chetverikov, V. M., Pugacheva, O. V., & Vorontsova, T. D. (2021) · Вопросы статистики · doi:10.34023/2313-6383-2021-28-4-45-66 · Cited by 2 · see citing works

COVID-19 mortality data and level of democracy in post-communist countries: Data sources and accuracy

Tleshova, U. (2025) · Moravian Geographical Reports · doi:10.2478/mgr-2025-0014 · Cited by 1 · see citing works

Explaining COVID-19 dynamics through user activity data from digital platforms with Yandex’s self-isolation index as a case study

Żebrowski, P., Boyarshinov, G., Odintsova, A., & Rovenskaya, E. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-24240-z · Cited by 1 · see citing works

Socio-economic and Demographic Factors of Excess Mortality Due to the Coronavirus Pandemic in Regions of Russia

Maximov, M. A., & Migunov, N. V. (2025) · Population and Economics · doi:10.3897/popecon.9.e119882 · Cited by 1 · see citing works

Examining the Impacts of Coronavirus Disease 2019 Mitigation Policies on Health Outcomes of Older Adults: Lessons Learned From Six High-Income or Middle-Income Countries

Zanwar, P., Perianayagam, A., Zazdravnykh, E. A., Omar, Z., Joseph, V. J. K., Santos, F. H., Negm, A. M., Reistetter, T., Heyn, P. C., & Kelekar, U. (2022) · Public Policy & Aging Report · doi:10.1093/ppar/prac023 · Cited by 1 · see citing works

Characteristics of Population Reproduction in the Ural North

Логинов, В. Г. (2022) · Economy of Regions · doi:10.17059/ekon.reg.2022-3-6 · Cited by 1 · see citing works

Epidemic Modeling of Multiple Virus Strains: A Case Study of SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 In MoscowPreprint

Tseytlin, B., & Makarov, I. (2021) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-637885/v1 · Cited by 1 · see citing works

War fatalities in Russia in 2022-2023 estimated via excess male mortalityPreprint

Kobak, D., Bessudnov, A., Ершов, А. В., Mikhailova, T., & Raksha, A. (2023) · doi:10.31235/osf.io/xcrme · Cited by 1 · see citing works

The impact of COVID-19 on agriculture, food and rural areas in Central Asia and Caucasus countries

Djanibekov, N., & Herzfeld, T. (2022) · The Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO); eBooks · doi:10.4060/cb7321en

Introduction to the Russia section

Gunko, M. (2022) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9780367815011-12

Geography, Factors and Consequences of COVID-19 Diffusion in Russia

Земцов, С. П., & Baburin, V. L. (2022) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-94350-9_54

Finanzmarktpolitik in Kriegszeiten: Wie wirkungsvoll sind die Finanzsanktionen gegen Russland?

Scherrer, C., & Wullweber, J. (2022) · Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung · doi:10.3790/vjh.91.4.11

Demographic features of the COVID-19 spreading in the Arctic region

Логинов, В. Г. (2023) · Народонаселение · doi:10.19181/population.2023.26.1.14

Excess Death Rate in Eastern European Countries and Countries of the Former USSR during the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Years 2020 and 2021

Murkowski, R. (2022) · doi:10.58683/9788372053749.10

COVID-19 IMPLICATIONS FOT THE ECONOMY

(2022) · doi:10.58683/9788372053749

What course did the coronavirus pandemic take in Poland and what factors could have influenced it?

Janik‐Koncewicz, K., & Zatoński, W. A. (2023) · Journal of Health Inequalities · doi:10.5114/jhi.2023.133866

Covid-19 Cash Transfers and Well-Being: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from RussiaPreprint

Kozlov, V., Kofanov, D., & Zakharov, N. (2024) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4792698

Assessing COVID-19 Mortality in Serbia’s Capital: Model-Based Analysis of Excess Deaths

Cvijanović, D., Grubor, N. N., Rajović, N., Vučević, M., Miltenovic, S., Laban, M., Mostic, T. I., Tasic, R., Matejic, B. R., & Milic, N. M. (2025) · JMIR Public Health and Surveillance · doi:10.2196/56877

Rehabilitation Experience in Patients with Post-COVID Syndrome

Дудченко, Л. Ш., Beloglazov, V. A., Yatskov, I. A., Александровна, Ш. Н., Solovieva, E., & Popenko, Y. O. (2025) · THE NEW ARMENIAN MEDICAL JOURNAL · doi:10.56936/18290825-2.v19.2025-82

Information Manipulation and Repression: Theory and Evidence from the Covid-19 Response in RussiaPreprint

Сонин, К. И., & Lamberova, N. (2025) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.5401561

Moving Forward From the COVID-19 Pandemic

Steinberg, D. M., Molenberghs, G., Bathke, A. C., Brinks, R., Huppert, A., Maggino, F., & Mukherjee, B. (2025) · The American Statistician · doi:10.1080/00031305.2025.2562891

Additional file 1 of Comparing methods to predict baseline mortality for excess mortality calculations

Ferenci, T. (2023) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24355007

Additional file 4 of Comparing methods to predict baseline mortality for excess mortality calculations

Ferenci, T. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.26628580

Additional file 2 of Comparing methods to predict baseline mortality for excess mortality calculations

Ferenci, T. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24355143

Additional file 3 of Comparing methods to predict baseline mortality for excess mortality calculations

Ferenci, T. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.26628577

Shifts in emancipative values during times of crises: Longitudinal evidence from the COVID ‐19 pandemic in Russia

Korsunava, V., Соколов, Б. О., & Welzel, C. (2026) · Asian Journal Of Social Psychology · doi:10.1111/ajsp.70078

Manipulation of information in times of crisis: evidence from Covid excess mortality

Karlinsky, A., & Shayo, M. (2026) · Journal of Economic Growth · doi:10.1007/s10887-026-09266-w

Patterns and determinants of COVID-19 mortality in Bangladesh: insights from three health and demographic surveillance systems across diverse socio-environmental settings

Hasan, M. T., Das, S., Kabudula, C. W., Chowdhury, S., Akter, K., Bashingwa, J. J. H., Alam, S. S., Haq, M. Z., Bhuiyan, M. A., Haider, M. M., et al. (2026) · Population Health Metrics · doi:10.1186/s12963-025-00448-z

Excess mortality in Russia and its regions compared to high income countries: An analysis of monthly series of 2020

Тимонин, С. А., Klimkin, I., Школьников, В. М., Андреев, Е. М., McKee, M., & Leon, D. A. (2021) · SSM - Population Health · doi:10.1016/j.ssmph.2021.101006 · Cited by 35 · see citing works

Beyond COVID-19 Deaths: Cause-Specific Analysis of Excess Mortality in RussiaPreprint

Degtiareva, E., Тимонин, С. А., Tilstra, A. M., & Aburto, J. M. (2026) · medRxiv · doi:10.64898/2026.03.23.26349084

Russlands Geografie und die Ausbreitung von Covid-19

Michajlova, T. (2021) · Russland-Analysen · doi:10.31205/ra.400.02

Die Übersterblichkeit macht den wahren Opferzoll deutlich, den Corona in Russland fordert

Kobak, D. (2021) · Russland-Analysen · doi:10.31205/ra.400.01

Excess Death Rate in Eastern European Countries and Countries of the Former USSR during the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Years 2020 and 2021

Murkowski, R. (2022) · doi:10.58683/9788372053749.10