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Spatio‐temporal analyses of marine predator diets from data‐rich and data‐limited systems
Abstract
Accounting for variation in prey mortality and predator metabolic potential arising from spatial variation in consumption is an important task in ecology and resource management. However, there is no statistical method for processing stomach content data that accounts for fine‐scale spatio‐temporal structure while expanding individual stomach samples to population‐level estimates of predation. Therefore, we developed an approach that fits a spatio‐temporal model to both prey‐biomass‐per‐predator‐biomass data (i.e. the ratio of prey biomass in stomachs to predator weight) and predator biomass survey data, to predict “predator‐expanded‐stomach‐contents” (PESCs). PESC estimates can be used to visualize either the annual landscape of PESCs (spatio‐temporal variation), or can be aggregated across space to calculate annual variation in diet proportions (variation among prey items and among years). We demonstrated our approach in two contrasting scenarios: a data‐rich situation involving eastern Bering Sea (EBS) large‐size walleye pollock (Gadus chalcogrammus, Gadidae) for 1992–2015; and a data‐limited situation involving West Florida Shelf red grouper (Epinephelus morio, Epinephelidae) for 2011–2015. Large walleye pollock PESC was predicted to be higher in very warm years on the Middle Shelf of the EBS, where food is abundant. Red grouper PESC was variable in north‐western Florida waters, presumably due to spatio‐temporal variation in harmful algal bloom severity. Our approach can be employed to parameterize or validate diverse ecosystem models, and can serve to address many fundamental ecological questions, such as providing an improved understanding of how climate‐driven changes in spatial overlap between predator and prey distributions might influence predation pressure.
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Sorted by citations
Sheik, A. G., Kumar, A., Ansari, F. A., Raj, V., Peleato, N. M., Patan, A. K., Kumari, S., & Bux, F. (2024) · Algal Research · doi:10.1016/j.algal.2024.103779 · Cited by 37
Metadata
- Authors
- Grüss, A., Thorson, J. T., Carroll, G., Ng, E. L., Holsman, K. K., Aydin, K., Kotwicki, S., Morzaria‐Luna, H. N., Ainsworth, C. H., & Thompson, K. A.
- Affiliations
- University of Washington (US)
- NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service (US)
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (US)
- Intercultural Center for the Study of Deserts and Oceans (US)
- University of South Florida St. Petersburg (US)
- Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission (US)
- Corresponding author
- Grüss, Arnaud
- ORCID
- Venue
- Fish and Fisheries
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2020-03-15
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 718-739
- ISSN
- 1467-2960 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-2979
- OpenAlex
- W3011196952
- Cited by
- 32
- References
- 84
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 6 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 4
- FWCI
- 1.95
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Fish and Fisheries (publishedVersion)
- Digital Commons - University of South Florida (University of South Florida) (submittedVersion)
- NOAA Institutional Repository (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- David and Lucile Packard Foundation (2019‐69067)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Aquatic Science › Marine and fisheries research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Isotope Analysis in Ecology
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Marine animal studies overview
- Keywords
- stomach content analysis, spatio-temporal modeling, predation pressure, walleye pollock, red grouper, Epinephelus morio, harmful algal blooms, data-limited fisheries, eastern Bering Sea, West Florida Shelf
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