Heteroskedasticity-robust Standard Errors for Fixed Effects Panel Data Regression
Open accessAbstract
The conventional heteroskedasticity-robust (HR) variance matrix estimator for cross-sectional regression (with or without a degrees-of-freedom adjustment), applied to the fixed-effects estimator for panel data with serially uncorrelated errors, is inconsistent if the number of time periods T is fixed (and greater than 2) as the number of entities n increases. We provide a bias-adjusted HR estimator that is √nT-consistent under any sequences (n T ) in which n and/or T increase to ∞. This estimator can be extended to handle serial correlation of fixed order.
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By using cluster-robust variance estimates, inference does not suffer from the incidental-parameters problem because the variance estimator σ̂^2_w does not rely on consistent estimation of λ_i.
“However, by using cluster-robust variance estimates, our inference does not suffer from this problem since the variance estimator ˆ σ 2 w does not rely on the consistent estimation of λ i any more, similar to the insight of Stock and Watson (2008).”
From Revisiting Event-Study Designs: Robust and Efficient Estimation (2024) · cites this paper as Stock and Watson (2008)
The candidate variance estimator ∑_i (∑_{t; it∈Ω} v_it ˆε_it)2 is numerically invariant to the underlying ˆλ*_i estimates.
“The first challenge is that the fixed effects λ i are not generally estimated consistently (e.g., in short panels). This inconsistency, however, turns out to be inconsequential because the candidate variance estimator ∑ i ( ∑ t ; it ∈ Ω v it ˆ ε it ) 2 is numerically invariant to the underlying ˆ λ ∗ i estimates.”
From Revisiting event study designs: robust and efficient estimation (2022) · cites this paper as Stock and Watson (2008)
The invariance property of ˆσ2_w derives from the invariance of ˆτ*_w to adding arbitrary unit fixed effects (or more generally A'_i ˇλ_i terms) to the outcomes.
“This invariance property of ˆ σ 2 w derives from the invariance of ˆ τ ∗ w to adding arbitrary unit fixed effects (or, more generally, A ′ i ˇ λ i terms for some i and ˇ λ i ) to the outcomes; this was earlier pointed out by Stock and Watson (2008).”
From Revisiting event study designs: robust and efficient estimation (2022) · cites this paper as Stock and Watson (2008)
Event-study estimates are often estimated via OLS, and standard covariance estimators for OLS, including cluster-robust variance estimators, produce asymptotically normal estimates as the number of clusters grows large.
“Although somewhat more restrictive, event-study estimates are often estimated via OLS, and standard covariance estimators for OLS, including cluster-robust variance estimators, produce asymptotically normal estimates as the number of clusters grows large (Hansen, 2007;Stock and Watson, 2008;Hansen and Lee, 2019).”
From A More Credible Approach to Parallel Trends (2023) · cites this paper as Stock and Watson, 2008
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Colin Cameron, A., & Miller, D. L. (2015) · Journal of Human Resources · doi:10.3368/jhr.50.2.317 · Cited by 5,037 · see citing works
Revisiting Event-Study Designs: Robust and Efficient Estimation
Borusyak, K., Jaravel, X., & Spiess, J. (2024) · Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1093/restud/rdae007 · Cited by 2,280 · see citing works
A More Credible Approach to Parallel Trends
Rambachan, A., & Roth, J. (2023) · Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1093/restud/rdad018 · Cited by 1,559 · see citing works
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(2022) · arXiv (preprint) · doi:10.47004/wp.cem.2022.1122 · Cited by 607 · see citing works
Inference with dependent data using cluster covariance estimators
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- Authors
- Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W.
- Affiliations
- National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
- ORCID
- Watson, Mark W.
- Venue
- Econometrica
- Publisher
- The Econometric Society
- Published
- 2008-01
- Volume
- 76
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 155-174
- ISSN
- 0012-9682 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-0262
- OpenAlex
- W2156834658
- Cited by
- 609
- References
- 8
- Citations by year
- 2026: 38 · 2025: 42 · 2024: 31 · 2023: 42 · 2022: 34 · 2021: 34 · 2020: 47 · 2019: 43 · 2018: 43 · 2017: 26 · 2016: 38 · 2015: 37 · 2014: 29 · 2013: 33 · 2012: 25
- FWCI
- 49.35
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- nrs.harvard.edu
- Locations
- Econometrica (publishedVersion)
- Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Spatial and Panel Data Analysis
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Statistical Methods and Models
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
- Keywords
- estimator consistency, bias correction, serial correlation, cross-sectional regression
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