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How reliable are dung counts for estimating elephant numbers?
Abstract
Dung counts are the most commonly used techniques for estimating elephant numbers in forests, yet there is considerable scepticism concerning their accuracy. Published accounts of dung counts show that they give estimates similar to those from other methods for vertebrates ranging in size from lizards to elephants. For ungulates, macropods and elephants there are strong correlations between estimates from dung counts and other methods. Thus, dung counts are as accurate or inaccurate as other methods for estimating vertebrate numbers, including elephants. Dung counts for elephants give estimates that are as precise as, and sometimes more precise than, those from aerial surveys of elephants. This is because the variance in dung density is usually low and results in a lower than expected variance for the final elephant estimate when combined with the variances of defecation and decay rates. Dung counts may be more appropriate than aerial surveys for monitoring small or declining elephant populations.
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“Relative population densities were estimated by performing fecal standing crop counts along line transects, an established method for difficult-to-observe ungulates (Barnes, 2001; Hoppe-Dominik et al., 2011), including the pygmy hippo (Roth et al., 2004).”
From Fine-scale habitat requirements of the pygmy hippopotamus (Choeropsis liberiensis): Implications for rainforest conservation in West Africa (2026) · cites this paper as Barnes, 2001
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Metadata
- Authors
- Barnes, R. F. W.
- Affiliations
- University of California San Diego (US)
- Corresponding author
- Barnes, R. F. W.
- ORCID
- Barnes, R. F. W.
- Venue
- African Journal of Ecology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2001-03
- Volume
- 39
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1-9
- ISSN
- 0141-6707 (ISSN-L)
- 1365-2028
- OpenAlex
- W2128090400
- Cited by
- 145
- References
- 48
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 5 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 6 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 8 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 6 · 2012: 5
- FWCI
- 2.74
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- African Journal of Ecology (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Wildlife Ecology and Conservation
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Census and Population Estimation
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Rangeland and Wildlife Management
- Keywords
- dung counts, African bush elephant, aerial survey, stool frequency, survey accuracy, population monitoring, forest elephants
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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