The DOI matches its Crossref record; 54 of the 54 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
A guide to eliciting and using expert knowledge in Bayesian ecological models
Abstract
Ecology Letters(2010) 13: 900–914 Expert knowledge in ecology is gaining momentum as a tool for conservation decision‐making where data are lacking. Yet, little information is available to help a researcher decide whether expert opinion is useful for their model, how an elicitation should be conducted, what the most relevant method for elicitation is and how this can be translated into prior distributions for analysis in a Bayesian model. In this study, we provide guidance in using expert knowledge in a transparent and credible manner to inform ecological models and ultimately natural resource and conservation decision‐making. We illustrate the decisions faced when considering the use of expert knowledge in a model with the help of two real ecological case studies. These examples are explored further to examine the impact of expert knowledge through ‘priors’ in Bayesian modeling and specifically how to minimize potential bias. Finally, we make recommendations on the use of expert opinion in ecology. We believe if expert knowledge is elicited and incorporated into ecological models with the same level of rigour provided in the collection and use of empirical data, expert knowledge can increase the precision of models and facilitate informed decision‐making in a cost‐effective manner.
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Cited by
A practical guide to structured expert elicitation using the IDEA protocol
Hemming, V., Burgman, M. A., Hanea, A. M., McBride, M. F., & Wintle, B. C. (2018) · Methods in Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1111/2041-210x.12857 · Cited by 528
The Role of Expert Opinion in Environmental Modelling
Krueger, T., Page, T., Hubacek, K., Smith, L., & Hiscock, K. (2012) · Environmental Modelling & Software · doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.01.011 · Cited by 413
Mantyka-Pringle, C. S., Jardine, T. D., Bradford, L., Bharadwaj, L., Kythreotis, A. P., Fresque-Baxter, J., Kelly, E., Somers, G., Doig, L. E., Jones, P. D., et al. (2017) · Environment International · doi:10.1016/j.envint.2017.02.008 · Cited by 150
The use of Bayesian priors in Ecology: The good, the bad and the not great
Banner, K. M., Irvine, K. M., & Rodhouse, T. J. (2020) · Methods in Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1111/2041-210x.13407 · Cited by 135
Metadata
- Authors
- Kuhnert, P. M., Martin, T. G., & Griffiths, S. P.
- Venue
- Ecology Letters
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2010-06-14
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 900-914
- ISSN
- 1461-023X (ISSN-L)
- 1461-0248
- OpenAlex
- W1549911417
- Cited by
- 441
- References
- 54
- FWCI
- 19.93
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Kuhnert, P. M., Martin, T. G., & Griffiths, S. P. (2010). A guide to eliciting and using expert knowledge in Bayesian ecological models. Ecology Letters. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2010.01477.x
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