The DOI matches its Crossref record; 20 of the 20 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Financial Analyst Characteristics and Herding Behavior in Forecasting
Abstract
This study classifies analysts' earnings forecasts as herding or bold and finds that (1) boldness likelihood increases with the analyst's prior accuracy, brokerage size, and experience and declines with the number of industries the analyst follows, consistent with theory linking boldness with career concerns and ability; (2) bold forecasts are more accurate than herding forecasts; and (3) herding forecast revisions are more strongly associated with analysts' earnings forecast errors (actual earnings—forecast) than are bold forecast revisions. Thus, bold forecasts incorporate analysts' private information more completely and provide more relevant information to investors than herding forecasts.
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Cites
Scharfstein, D. S., & Stein, J. C. (1988) · American Economic Review · Cited by 2,783
Analyzing the Analysts: Career Concerns and Biased Earnings Forecasts
Hong, H., & Kubik, J. D. (2003) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/1540-6261.00526 · Cited by 1,469
Analyst forecast accuracy: Do ability, resources, and portfolio complexity matter?
Clement, M. B. (1999) · Journal of Accounting and Economics · doi:10.1016/s0165-4101(99)00013-0 · Cited by 1,423
Self-citationSecurity Analysts' Career Concerns and Herding of Earnings Forecasts
Hong, H., Kubik, J. D., & Solomon, A. (2000) · The RAND Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/2601032 · Cited by 1,150
Momentum Investment Strategies, Portfolio Performance, and Herding: A Study of Mutual Fund Behavior
Grinblatt, M. S., Titman, S. D., & Wermers, R. R. (1995) · American Economic Review · Cited by 1,133
Reputation and Performance Among Security Analysts
STICKEL, S. E. (1992) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04684.x · Cited by 979
Analyst Forecasts and Herding Behavior:
Trueman, B. (1994) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/7.1.97 · Cited by 941
Herding among security analysts
Welch, I. (2000) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/s0304-405x(00)00076-3 · Cited by 817
Analyst Forecast Revisions and Market Price Discovery
Gleason, C. A., & Lee, C. M. C. (2003) · The Accounting Review · doi:10.2308/accr.2003.78.1.193 · Cited by 771
Herding among Investment Newsletters: Theory and Evidence
Graham, J. R. (1999) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00103 · Cited by 759
Cited by
Ioannou, I., & Serafeim, G. (2015) · Strategic Management Journal · doi:10.1002/smj.2268 · Cited by 1,124
Bae, K.-H., Stulz, R. M., & Tan, H. (2008) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2007.02.004 · Cited by 600
Behavioural biases in investment decision making – a systematic literature review
Kumar, S., & Goyal, N. (2015) · Qualitative Research in Financial Markets · doi:10.1108/qrfm-07-2014-0022 · Cited by 331
Before an Analyst Becomes an Analyst: Does Industry Experience Matter?
BRADLEY, D., GOKKAYA, S., & LIU, X. (2017) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/jofi.12466 · Cited by 323
The use of technical analysis by fund managers: International evidence
Menkhoff, L. (2010) · Journal of Banking & Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.04.014 · Cited by 302
Metadata
- Authors
- CLEMENT, M. B., & TSE, S. Y.
- Venue
- The Journal of Finance
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2005-02
- Volume
- 60
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 307-341
- ISSN
- 0022-1082 (ISSN-L)
- 1540-6261
- OpenAlex
- W2057285392
- Cited by
- 905
- References
- 20
- FWCI
- 94.94
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.