The DOI matches its Crossref record; 4 of the 4 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
EXTINCTION RATES SHOULD NOT BE ESTIMATED FROM MOLECULAR PHYLOGENIES: ESTIMATING EXTINCTION FROM MOLECULAR PHYLOGENIES
Abstract
Molecular phylogenies contain information about the tempo and mode of species diversification through time. Because extinction leaves a characteristic signature in the shape of molecular phylogenetic trees, many studies have used data from extant taxa only to infer extinction rates. This is a promising approach for the large number of taxa for which extinction rates cannot be estimated from the fossil record. Here, I explore the consequences of violating a common assumption made by studies of extinction from phylogenetic data. I show that when diversification rates vary among lineages, simple estimators based on the birth-death process are unable to recover true extinction rates. This is problematic for phylogenetic trees with complete taxon sampling as well as for the simpler case of clades with known age and species richness. Given the ubiquity of variation in diversification rates among lineages and clades, these results suggest that extinction rates should not be estimated in the absence of fossil data.
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Citations
Cites
Relaxed Phylogenetics and Dating with Confidence
Drummond, A. J., Ho, S. Y. W., Phillips, M. J., & Rambaut, A. (2006) · PLoS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.0040088 · Cited by 6,463
Estimating the rate of evolution of the rate of molecular evolution
Thorne, J. L., Kishino, H., & Painter, I. S. (1998) · Molecular Biology and Evolution · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a025892 · Cited by 1,317 · cited 1×
“I refer to this model as a “relaxedrate” model of rate variation, analogous to relaxed-clock methods of modeling molecular evolutionary rate variation (Thorne et al. 1998; Drummond et al. 2006).”
MethodAngiosperm diversification through time
Magallón, S., & Castillo, A. (2009) · American Journal of Botany · doi:10.3732/ajb.0800060 · Cited by 439
Birth-Death Models in Macroevolution
Nee, S. (2006) · Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.37.091305.110035 · Cited by 342
Cited by
Has the Earth’s sixth mass extinction already arrived?
Barnosky, A. D., Matzke, N., Tomiya, S., Wogan, G. O. U., Swartz, B., Quental, T. B., Marshall, C., McGuire, J. L., Lindsey, E. L., Maguire, K. C., et al. (2011) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature09678 · Cited by 4,400
The biodiversity of species and their rates of extinction, distribution, and protection
Pimm, S. L., Jenkins, C. N., Abell, R., Brooks, T. M., Gittleman, J. L., Joppa, L. N., Raven, P. H., Roberts, C. M., & Sexton, J. O. (2014) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1246752 · Cited by 3,542
Episodic radiations in the fly tree of life
Wiegmann, B. M., Trautwein, M. D., Winkler, I. S., Barr, N. B., Kim, J.-W., Lambkin, C., Bertone, M. A., Cassel, B. K., Bayless, K. M., Heimberg, A. M., et al. (2011) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1012675108 · Cited by 936
Detecting hidden diversification shifts in models of trait-dependent speciation and extinction
Beaulieu, J. M., & O’Meara, B. C. (2016) · Systematic Biology · doi:10.1093/sysbio/syw022 · Cited by 579
Derryberry, E. P., Claramunt, S., Derryberry, G., Chesser, R. T., Cracraft, J., Aleixo, A., Pérez-Emán, J., Remsen Jr., J. V., & Brumfield, R. T. (2011) · Evolution · doi:10.1111/j.1558-5646.2011.01374.x · Cited by 377
Metadata
- Authors
- Rabosky, D. L.
- Venue
- Evolution
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2009-12-17
- Volume
- 64
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 1816-1824
- ISSN
- 0014-3820 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2163377164
- Cited by
- 589
- References
- 4
- FWCI
- 25.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Rabosky, D. L. (2010). EXTINCTION RATES SHOULD NOT BE ESTIMATED FROM MOLECULAR PHYLOGENIES: ESTIMATING EXTINCTION FROM MOLECULAR PHYLOGENIES. Evolution. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1558-5646.2009.00926.x
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