Estimating the rate of evolution of the rate of molecular evolution
Open accessAbstract
A simple model for the evolution of the rate of molecular evolution is presented. With a Bayesian approach, this model can serve as the basis for estimating dates of important evolutionary events even in the absence of the assumption of constant rates among evolutionary lineages. The method can be used in conjunction with any of the widely used models for nucleotide substitution or amino acid replacement. It is illustrated by analyzing a data set of rbcL protein sequences.
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In Bayesian treatments of the relaxed clock, rates are either assigned to branches or to nodes.
“To convert this tree from units of time to molecular evolutionary units, the rates are either assigned to branches [ 15, 17] or to nodes [ 53, 54].”
From Relaxed Phylogenetics and Dating with Confidence (2006) · cites this paper as [15]
The Hierarchical Model of Rate Evolution defines rates on the branches of the rooted tree and treats node times as separate variables. The Rate Proposal Steps likewise propose a new rate for each branch. This contradicts the node-assigned rates attributed to this paper by the citation attached to “nodes.” (LLM, conf=0.89)
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredAssigning an age to a particular node is only possible when the tree itself is assumed to be known and fixed, a limitation of previous relaxed-clock implementations.
“Assigning an age to a particular node is only possible when the tree itself is assumed to be known and fixed, a limitation of previous relaxed-clock implementations [ 15, 17, 54].”
From Relaxed Phylogenetics and Dating with Confidence (2006) · cites this paper as [15]
In “Multivariate Normal Approximation” (page unavailable), the paper says its implementation assumes the topology relating the sequences is known before estimating divergence times. This supports the fixed-tree limitation for this implementation, but not the broader assertion that assigning a node age is only possible under that assumption. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe model permits independent gain and loss of conservation on multiple lineages and encourages nearby branches to have the same state and substitution rate, which is reasonable for closely related species and branches in a phylogeny.
“Such a model permits independent gain and loss of conservation on multiple lineages and also encourages nearby branches to have the same state and substitution rate, which is reasonable for closely related species and branches in a phylogeny and is also a common assumption in phylogenetics”
From Bayesian Detection of Convergent Rate Changes of Conserved Noncoding Elements on Phylogenetic Trees (2019) · cites this paper as Thorne et al. 1998
The Hierarchical Model of Rate Evolution section allows rates to differ among branches and models autocorrelation between ancestral and descendant branch rates. It does not model conservation states or independent gains and losses of conservation. The Discussion and Conclusions section also says widely used phylogeny-reconstruction methods ignore the potential information from rate autocorrelation, rather than establishing it as a common assumption. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIntermediate models employing relaxed molecular clocks have been described.
“Recently, it has been realized that less drastic alternatives to the unrooted model of phylogeny may exist. Instead of dispensing with the molecular clock entirely, attempts have been made to relax the molecular clock assumption by allowing the rate to vary across the tree [ 13– 15].”
From Relaxed Phylogenetics and Dating with Confidence (2006) · cites this paper as [15]
Bayesian relaxed-clock methods model the molecular rate among lineages as varying in an autocorrelated manner, with the rate in each branch drawn a priori from a parametric distribution whose mean is a function of the rate on the parent branch.
“These model the molecular rate among lineages as varying in an autocorrelated manner, with the rate in each branch being drawn (a priori) from a parametric distribution whose mean is a function of the rate on the parent branch.”
From Relaxed Phylogenetics and Dating with Confidence (2006) · cites this paper as [15]
The molecular clock assumption can be relaxed in a variety of ways.
“The molecular clock assumption can be relaxed in a variety of ways [ 13– 15, 17, 49– 52].”
From Relaxed Phylogenetics and Dating with Confidence (2006) · cites this paper as [15]
The first relaxed-clock model described assigned rates to the midpoints of branches and used an assumed lognormal prior distribution relating the midpoint of the ancestral branch to the midpoint of the derived branch.
“The first such model to be described [ 15] assigned rates to the midpoints of branches and the assumed lognormal prior distribution relating the midpoint of the ancestral branch to the midpoint of the derived branch.”
From Relaxed Phylogenetics and Dating with Confidence (2006) · cites this paper as [15]
In the autocorrelated relaxed-clock models that have been described, including the commonly used lognormal model, it is necessary to specify the degree of autocorrelation as a prior.
“In the autocorrelated relaxed-clock models that have been described, including the commonly used lognormal model [ 15, 17, 55], it is also necessary to specify the degree of autocorrelation as a prior.”
From Relaxed Phylogenetics and Dating with Confidence (2006) · cites this paper as [15]
Thorne, Kishino, and Painter and Aris-Brosou and Yang implemented parametric models in which the descendant rate is a priori related to the parent rate.
“Thorne, Kishino, and Painter (1998) and Aris-Brosou and Yang (2002) implemented parametric models in which the rate in a given branch (the descendant rate) is a priori related to the rate in the branch immediately ancestral to it (the parent rate).”
From Accuracy of Rate Estimation Using Relaxed-Clock Models with a Critical Focus on the Early Metazoan Radiation (2005) · cites this paper as Thorne, Kishino, and Painter 1998
The relaxed clock approach retrieves the true divergence times when substitution rates are distributed according to the autocorrelated-rate model developed by Thorne et al.
“Moreover, the relaxed clock approach retrieves the true divergence times (Table 1) when substitution rates are distributed according to the autocorrelated-rate model developed by Thorne et al. (32).”
From The timing of eukaryotic evolution: Does a relaxed molecular clock reconcile proteins and fossils? (2004) · cites this paper as [32]
Protein evolution is not homogeneous.
“However, protein evolution is not homogeneous.”
From Improved Modeling of Compositional Heterogeneity Supports Sponges as Sister to All Other Animals (2017) · cites this paper as [68]
Different sites and lineages accumulate substitutions at different rates.
“Different sites and lineages accumulate substitutions at different rates (e.g., [67-69])”
From Improved Modeling of Compositional Heterogeneity Supports Sponges as Sister to All Other Animals (2017) · cites this paper as [68]
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Thorne, J. L., Kishino, H., & Painter, I. S.
- Affiliations
- North Carolina State University (US)
- Venue
- Molecular Biology and Evolution
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1998-12-01
- Volume
- 15
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 1647-1657
- ISSN
- 0737-4038 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-1719
- OpenAlex
- W2051296828
- Cited by
- 1,317
- References
- 23
- Citations by year
- 2026: 20 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 29 · 2023: 32 · 2022: 27 · 2021: 28 · 2020: 48 · 2019: 41 · 2018: 27 · 2017: 29 · 2016: 35 · 2015: 43 · 2014: 68 · 2013: 46 · 2012: 63
- FWCI
- 4.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Molecular Biology and Evolution (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- National Institute of General Medical Sciences (P01-GM45344, P01GM045344)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Evolution and Paleontology Studies
- Keywords
- molecular evolution rate, rate heterogeneity, Bayesian model, divergence time estimation, nucleotide substitution models, rbcL, protein sequences, molecular clock
- MeSH terms
- Algorithms, Biological Evolution, Models, Genetic, Phylogeny, Plant Proteins, Plants, Ribulose-Bisphosphate Carboxylase, Time, Models, Statistical, Evolution, Molecular
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