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Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression Relationships Over Time
Abstract
Summary: Methods for studying the stability over time of regression relationships are considered. Recursive residuals, defined to be uncorrelated with zero means and constant variance, are introduced and tests based on the cusum and cusum of squares of recursive residuals are developed. Further techniques based on moving regressions, in which the regression model is fitted from a segment of data which is moved along the series, and on regression models whose coefficients are polynomials in time are studied. The Quandt log-likelihood ratio statistic is considered. Emphasis is placed on the use of graphical methods. The techniques proposed have been embodied in a comprehensive computer program, timvar. Use of the techniques is illustrated by applying them to three sets of data.
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Cites
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Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models
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Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point.
Andrews, D. W. K. (1993) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/2951764 · Cited by 4,334
Environment Kuznets curve for CO2 emissions: A cointegration analysis for China
Jalil, A., & Mahmud, S. F. (2009) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2009.07.044 · Cited by 1,208
Blasbalg, T. L., Hibbeln, J. R., Ramsden, C. E., Majchrzak, S. F., & Rawlings, R. R. (2011) · The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.3945/ajcn.110.006643 · Cited by 881
Pausas, J. G., & Fernández-Muñoz, S. (2012) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0060-6 · Cited by 826
Metadata
- Authors
- Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M.
- Venue
- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1975-01-01
- Volume
- 37
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 149-163
- ISSN
- 1369-7412 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-9868
- OpenAlex
- W1531653575
- Cited by
- 5,128
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 21.22
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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