Student or educator? Sign up with your school email and get 6 months of Pro free.
Cited by 5,128

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression Relationships Over Time

Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., Evans, J. M.·1975·Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology

Abstract

Summary: Methods for studying the stability over time of regression relationships are considered. Recursive residuals, defined to be uncorrelated with zero means and constant variance, are introduced and tests based on the cusum and cusum of squares of recursive residuals are developed. Further techniques based on moving regressions, in which the regression model is fitted from a segment of data which is moved along the series, and on regression models whose coefficients are polynomials in time are studied. The Quandt log-likelihood ratio statistic is considered. Emphasis is placed on the use of graphical methods. The techniques proposed have been embodied in a comprehensive computer program, timvar. Use of the techniques is illustrated by applying them to three sets of data.

Overview

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1111/j.2517-6161.1975.tb01532.x

Cites

1 of 1 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Verification

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Citations

Cites

Show all 1 references

Research works printed but not linked: 26

  1. Anscombe, 1961, Examination of residuals, Proc. 4th Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Prob., 1, 1
  2. Anscombe, 1963, The examination and analysis of residuals, Technometrics, 5, 141, 10.1080/00401706.1963.10490071 · doi:10.1080/00401706.1963.10490071
  3. Barnard, 1959, Control charts and stochastic processes, J. R. Statist. Soc. B, 21, 239, 10.1111/j.2517-6161.1959.tb00336.x · DOI
  4. Bartlett, 1951, An inverse matrix adjustment arising in discriminant analysis, Ann. Math. Statist., 22, 107, 10.1214/aoms/1177729698 · DOI
  5. Brown, 1968, Methods of investigating whether a regression relationship is constant over time
  6. Cameron, 1974, On forecasting the manpower requirements of an organization with homogeneous workloads, J. R. Statist. Soc. A, 137, 200, 10.2307/2344548 · doi:10.2307/2344548
  7. Chernoff, 1964, Estimating the current mean of a normal distribution which is subjected to changes in time, Ann. Math. Statist., 35, 999, 10.1214/aoms/1177700517 · doi:10.1214/aoms/1177700517
  8. Durbin, 1969, Tests for serial correlation in regression analysis based on the periodogram of least squares residuals, Biometrika, 56, 1, 10.1093/biomet/56.1.1 · doi:10.1093/biomet/56.1.1
  9. Durbin, 1970, An alternative to the bound test for testing serial correlation in least-squares regression, Econometrica, 38, 422, 10.2307/1909548 · doi:10.2307/1909548
  10. Durbin, 1971, Boundary-crossing probabilities for the Brownian motion and Poisson processes and techniques for computing the power of the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test, J. Appl. Prob., 8, 431, 10.2307/3212169 · doi:10.2307/3212169
  11. Evans, 1973, User's Guide to timvar
  12. Heyadat, 1970, Independent stepwise residuals for testing homo-scedasticity, J. Amer. Statist. Ass., 65, 1573, 10.1080/01621459.1970.10481186 · doi:10.1080/01621459.1970.10481186
  13. Hinkley, 1972, Time-ordered classification, Biometrika, 59, 509, 10.1093/biomet/59.3.509 · DOI
  14. Kendall, 1969, The Advanced Theory of Statistics
  15. Khan, 1974, The stability of the demand for money function in the United States, 1901–65, J. Polit. Econ., 82, 1205, 10.1086/260272 · DOI
  16. Mehr, 1965, Certain properties of Gaussian processes and their first passage times, J. R. Statist. Soc. B, 27, 505, 10.1111/j.2517-6161.1965.tb00611.x · DOI
  17. Page, 1954, Continuous inspection schemes, Biometrika, 41, 100, 10.1093/biomet/41.1-2.100 · DOI · Paper page
  18. Plackett, 1950, Some theorems in least squares, Biometrika, 37, 149, 10.1093/biomet/37.1-2.149 · DOI · Paper page
  19. Pyke, 1959, The supremum and the infimum of the Poisson process, Ann. Math. Statist., 30, 569, 10.1214/aoms/1177706269 · DOI
  20. Quandt, 1958, The estimation of the parameters of a linear regression system obeying two separate regimes, J. Amer. Statist. Ass., 53, 873, 10.1080/01621459.1958.10501484 · DOI · Paper page
  21. Quandt, 1960, Tests of the hypothesis that a linear regression system obeys two separate regimes, J. Amer. Statist. Ass., 55, 324, 10.1080/01621459.1960.10482067 · DOI · Paper page
  22. Theil, 1965, The analysis of disturbances in regression analysis, J. Amer. Statist. Ass., 60, 1067, 10.1080/01621459.1965.10480851 · doi:10.1080/01621459.1965.10480851
  23. Theil, 1968, A simplification of the BLUS procedure for analysing regression disturbances, J. Amer. Statist. Ass., 63, 242, 10.1080/01621459.1968.11009238 · doi:10.1080/01621459.1968.11009238
  24. Tukey, 1962, The future of data analysis, Ann. Math. Statist., 33, 1, 10.1214/aoms/1177704711 · DOI · Paper page
  25. Turner, 1973, A critical reappraisal of the interaction of posts and telecommunications
  26. Woodward, 1964, Cumulative Sum Techniques.

Cited by

See all 5,128

Metadata

Authors
Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M.
Venue
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
Published
1975-01-01
Volume
37
Issue
2
Pages
149-163
ISSN
  • 1369-7412 (ISSN-L)
  • 1467-9868
OpenAlex
W1531653575
Cited by
5,128
References
1
FWCI
21.22
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review

How to cite

Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.

This page
CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression Relationships Over Time. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1975.tb01532.x
The paper
Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression Relationships Over Time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1975.tb01532.x

Data sources

Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.

Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.