News or Noise? Using Twitter to Identify and Understand Company-specific News Flow
Abstract
Abstract This study presents a methodology for identifying a broad range of real‐world news events based on microblogging messages. Applying computational linguistics to a unique dataset of more than 400,000 S&P 500 stock‐related Twitter messages, we distinguish between good and bad news and demonstrate that the returns prior to good news events are more pronounced than for bad news events. We show that the stock market impact of news events differs substantially across different categories.
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Sprenger et al.'s Naive Bayes sentiment classifier, trained on 2,500 examples, yields a 10-fold cross-validation accuracy of 64.2%.
“In a closely related work by Sprenger et al. [36], they use Naive Bayes for sentiment classification. Their classifier is trained on 2,500 examples, and the 10-fold cross-validation yields Accuracy of 64.2%.”
From The Effects of Twitter Sentiment on Stock Price Returns (2015) · cites this paper as [36]
Sprenger et al. detect 224 out of 672 earnings announcement events, yielding a recall of 33%.
“In contrast, Sprenger et al. [36] detect 224 out of 672 EA events, yielding the recall of 33%.”
From The Effects of Twitter Sentiment on Stock Price Returns (2015) · cites this paper as [36]
These results are similar to the ones reported by Sprenger et al.
“These results are similar to the ones reported by Sprenger at al. [36].”
From The Effects of Twitter Sentiment on Stock Price Returns (2015) · cites this paper as [36]
Sprenger et al. show a statistically significant increase in cumulative abnormal return values even before positive event days.
“In addition, the authors show statistically significant increase in the CAR values even before the positive event days.”
From The Effects of Twitter Sentiment on Stock Price Returns (2015) · cites this paper as [36]
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Non-Governmental Organization (NGO) Tweets: Do Shareholders Care?
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Prediction Markets, Social Media and Information Efficiency
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Differential Emotions and the Stock Market - The Case of Company-specific Trading
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How to gauge investor behavior? A comparison of online investor sentiment measures
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On the performance of blockchain-based token offerings
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Natural resource governance: does social media matter?
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A computational approach to cryptocurrency marketing on social media
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Accounting for investor sentiment in news and disclosures
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Are option traders more informed than Twitter users? A PVAR analysis
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Volatility Wisdom of Social Media Crowds
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Can microblogging information disclosure reduce stock price synchronicity? Evidence from China
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We Reddit in a Forum: The Influence of Messaging Boards on Firm StabilityPreprint
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Cross-border portfolio flows and news media coverage
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The evolution of corporate twitter usage
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The Role of Finfluencers in Shaping Crowd Sentiment
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Corporate reporting through social media: a comprehensive literature review
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Social media disclosure and reputational damage
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The price impact of tweets: A high‐frequency study
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Presence of Banks on Social Networks in Bosnia and Herzegovina
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Prediction of the Stock Market From Linguistic Phrases
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Social Media and Capital Markets. An Overview
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A Sentiment Index of the Housing Market: Text Mining of Narratives on Social MediaPreprint
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Stock Information on Social Media and Stock Return
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Should You Disclose a Data Breach via Social Media? Evidence from US Listed Companies
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An options-pricing approach to election prediction
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Beyond Market Mood: Stock Sentiment and the Response to Corporate Earnings AnnouncementsPreprint
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Tweets versus broadsheets: Sentiment impact on stock markets around the world
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- Authors
- Sprenger, T. O., Sandner, P. G., Tumasjan, A., & Welpe, I. M.
- Affiliations
- Technical University of Munich (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Sandner, Philipp G.
- Welpe, Isabell M.
- Venue
- Journal of Business Finance & Accounting
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2014-09
- Volume
- 41
- Issue
- 7-8
- Pages
- 791-830
- ISSN
- 0306-686X (ISSN-L)
- 1468-5957
- OpenAlex
- W1923555227
- Cited by
- 160
- References
- 65
- Citations by year
- 2026: 8 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 16 · 2022: 17 · 2021: 18 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 14 · 2018: 16 · 2017: 14 · 2016: 11 · 2015: 7
- FWCI
- 19.50
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Business Finance & Accounting (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Stock Market Forecasting Methods
- Social Sciences › General Social Sciences › Computational and Text Analysis Methods
- Keywords
- Twitter, microblogging, news event detection, sentiment analysis, stock returns, S&P 500 stocks, social media and stock markets
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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