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Between Geopolitics and Political Economy: The European Union–Mercosur Negotiation to Form a Trade Agreement
Open accessAbstract
This article explores the reasons for the latest push to conclude the European Union (EU)–Mercosur agreement and what threatens its completion. I focus on three factors: the EU's geopolitical incentives, the EU's civil society organization (CSO) politicization and domestic political economy constraints. A longitudinal case study based on three pre‐specified stages reveals that the reduction of the opposition from Mercosur's expected distributional losers during the run‐up to the 2019 agreement, combined with higher geopolitical incentives in the EU from late 2022, paved the way for a successful renegotiation in 2023–2024 that reduced the EU's environmental CSO opposition. Furthermore, the combination of high geopolitical incentives and political economy constraints in the EU explains why the agreement's completion remains uncertain. This study informs debates on the ‘geopoliticization’ and ‘geoeconomic turn’ of the EU's trade policy by highlighting the tension between a geopolitically‐driven trade initiative and domestic political economy constraints.
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Toward a Geoeconomic Order in International Trade and Investment
Roberts, A., Choer Moraes, H., & Ferguson, V. (2019) · Journal of International Economic Law · doi:10.1093/jiel/jgz036 · Cited by 269
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Metadata
- Authors
- Pose‐Ferraro, N.
- Affiliations
- School of Social Sciences University of the Republic Montevideo
- Venue
- JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2025-03-31
- Volume
- 64
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 248-267
- ISSN
- 0021-9886 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-5965
- OpenAlex
- W4409036148
- Cited by
- 8
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 5
- FWCI
- 29.87
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- JCMS Journal of Common Market Studies (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Universidad de la República Uruguay
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › European Union Policy and Governance
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › International Relations in Latin America
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Global Political and Economic Relations
- Keywords
- EU-Mercosur trade agreement, trade negotiations, geopolitics, political economy, civil society organizations, environmental NGOs, trade policy, EU trade policy
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- Pose‐Ferraro, N. (2026). Between Geopolitics and Political Economy: The European Union–Mercosur Negotiation to Form a Trade Agreement. JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.13743
