The DOI matches its Crossref record; 48 of the 48 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Tracking Construction Material over Space and Time: Prospective and Geo‐referenced Modeling of Building Stocks and Construction Material Flows
Open accessAbstract
Summary: Construction material plays an increasingly important role in the environmental impacts of buildings. In order to investigate impacts of materials on a building level, we present a bottom‐up building stock model that uses three‐dimensional and geo‐referenced building data to determine volumetric information of material stocks in Swiss residential buildings. We used a probabilistic modeling approach to calculate future material flows for the individual buildings. We investigated six scenarios with different assumptions concerning per‐capita floor area, building stock turnover, and construction material. The Swiss building stock will undergo important structural changes by 2035. While this will lead to a reduced number in new constructions, material flows will increase. Total material inflow decreases by almost half while outflows double. In 2055, the total amount of material in‐ and outflows are almost equal, which represents an important opportunity to close construction material cycles. Total environmental impacts due to production and disposal of construction material remain relatively stable over time. The cumulated impact is slightly reduced for the wood‐based scenario. The scenario with more insulation material leads to slightly higher material‐related emissions. An increase in per‐capita floor area or material turnover will lead to a considerable increase in impacts. The new modeling approach overcomes the limitations of previous bottom‐up building models and allows for investigating building material flows and stocks in space and time. This supports the development of tailored strategies to reduce the material footprint and environmental impacts of buildings and settlements.
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“These long lifespans may lead to lock-ins of specific use patterns which no longer meet current needs or reflect the current state of energy efficiency [43][44][45].”
From Material efficiency strategies to reducing greenhouse gas emissions associated with buildings, vehicles, and electronics—a review (2019) · cites this paper as [44]
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“Scenarios of future residential buildings often assume that buildings will become more spacious [44,[52][53][54][55] which is detrimental to ME.”
From Material efficiency strategies to reducing greenhouse gas emissions associated with buildings, vehicles, and electronics—a review (2019) · cites this paper as [44]
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“In Switzerland, a continued growth of floor area by 20% until 2050 would lead to an increase in cumulated material-related GHG emissions of 8% compared to a baseline scenario [44].”
From Material efficiency strategies to reducing greenhouse gas emissions associated with buildings, vehicles, and electronics—a review (2019) · cites this paper as [44]
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Cites
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Stock dynamics for forecasting material flows—Case study for housing in The Netherlands
B. Müller, D. (2006) · Ecological Economics · doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2005.09.025 · Cited by 513 · cited 2×
“Floor Area Demand until 2055 Similar to D. B. Müller (2006), the model determined annual demand for new future floor area as a function of population size, which was based on the forecast by the Swiss Federal Office for Statistics (reference scenario A-00-2015).”
BackgroundMethodCarbon Emissions of Infrastructure Development
Müller, D. B., Liu, G., Løvik, A. N., Modaresi, R., Pauliuk, S., Steinhoff, F. S., & Brattebø, H. (2013) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es402618m · Cited by 442
Applying cumulative exergy demand (CExD) indicators to the ecoinvent database
Boesch, M. E., Hellweg, S., Huijbregts, M. A. J., & Frischknecht, R. (2006) · The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment · doi:10.1065/lca2006.11.282 · Cited by 350
Self-citationStudying construction materials flows and stock: A review
Augiseau, V., & Barles, S. (2016) · Resources Conservation and Recycling · doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2016.09.002 · Cited by 310
Research works printed but not linked: 3
- Nägeli C., 2015, CISBAT 2015, 877
- Neubauer‐Letsch B., 2015, Holzendverbrauch Schweiz 2012 & Trends [Final wood demand in Switzerland 2012 & trends]
- Sprengard C., 2013, Technologien und Techniken zur Verbesserung der Energieeffizienz von Geb¨auden durch Wärmedämmstoffe [Technologies and techniques for the improvement of building energy‐efficiency by means of thermal insulation]
Cited by
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Hertwich, E. G., Ali, S., Ciacci, L., Fishman, T., Heeren, N., Masanet, E., Asghari, F. N., Olivetti, E., Pauliuk, S., Tu, Q., et al. (2019) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab0fe3 · Cited by 477
Self-citationSantamouris, M., & Vasilakopoulou, K. (2021) · e-Prime - Advances in Electrical Engineering Electronics and Energy · doi:10.1016/j.prime.2021.100002 · Cited by 402
Taking Stock of Built Environment Stock Studies: Progress and Prospects
Lanau, M., Liu, G., Kral, U., Wiedenhofer, D., Keijzer, E., Yu, C., & Ehlert, C. (2019) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.8b06652 · Cited by 297
Wiedenhofer, D., Fishman, T., Lauk, C., Haas, W., & Krausmann, F. (2018) · Ecological Economics · doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.09.010 · Cited by 239
Metadata
- Authors
- Heeren, N., & Hellweg, S.
- Affiliations
- ETH Zurich (CH)
- Corresponding author
- Heeren, Niko
- Venue
- Journal of Industrial Ecology
- Published
- 2018-03-05
- Volume
- 23
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 253-267
- ISSN
- 1088-1980 (ISSN-L)
- 1530-9290
- OpenAlex
- W2786408303
- Cited by
- 218
- References
- 48
- Citations by year
- 2026: 32 · 2025: 30 · 2024: 25 · 2023: 27 · 2022: 33 · 2021: 35 · 2020: 17 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 3
- FWCI
- 8.79
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Journal of Industrial Ecology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- ETH Zürich Research Collection (cc-by)
- Funders
- Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (136612)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Sustainability and Ecological Systems Analysis
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Building and Construction › Sustainable Building Design and Assessment
- Keywords
- building stock modelling, material stocks, residential buildings, material footprint, material cycling, building materials emissions, wood products, insulators, environmental impact of buildings, scenario analysis
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