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Dynamic Self‐Fulfilling Fire Sales

KHORRAMI, PAYMON, MENDO, FERNANDO·2026·The Journal of Finance

Abstract

Why do fire sales occur if many risks are hedgeable? We study a version of Brunnermeier and Sannikov (2014, American Economic Review 104, 379–421) in which all fundamental risks can be hedged frictionlessly. Our analysis shows that fire sales are inherently self‐fulfilling. Fundamental shocks can never cause fire sales, and an efficient, safe equilibrium exists. On the other hand, there exists an equilibrium in which agents coordinate fire sales on nonfundamental shocks. A simple refinement based on vanishingly small perceived fundamental risk eliminates the safe equilibrium and selects the fire‐sale equilibrium as the unique outcome.

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Metadata

Authors
KHORRAMI, P., & MENDO, F.
Venue
The Journal of Finance
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2026-07-28
Volume
81
Issue
5
Pages
3087-3126
ISSN
  • 0022-1082
  • 1540-6261
Cited by
1
Language
en
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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Dynamic Self‐Fulfilling Fire Sales. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1111/jofi.70069
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KHORRAMI, P., & MENDO, F. (2026). Dynamic Self‐Fulfilling Fire Sales. The Journal of Finance. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.70069

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