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The Perfect Ocean for Drought
Abstract
The 1998–2002 droughts spanning the United States, southern Europe, and Southwest Asia were linked through a common oceanic influence. Cold sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the eastern tropical Pacific and warm SSTs in the western tropical Pacific and Indian oceans were remarkably persistent during this period. Climate models show that the climate signals forced separately by these regions acted synergistically, each contributing to widespread mid-latitude drying: an ideal scenario for spatially expansive, synchronized drought. The warmth of the Indian and west Pacific oceans was unprecedented and consistent with greenhouse gas forcing. Some implications are drawn for future drought.
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Cited by
Long-Term Aridity Changes in the Western United States
Cook, E. R., Woodhouse, C. A., Eakin, C. M., Meko, D. M., & Stahle, D. W. (2004) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1102586 · Cited by 1,580
North American drought: Reconstructions, causes, and consequences
Cook, E. R., Seager, R., Cane, M. A., & Stahle, D. W. (2007) · Earth-Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2006.12.002 · Cited by 862
RAMA: The Research Moored Array for African–Asian–Australian Monsoon Analysis and Prediction*
McPhaden, M. J., Meyers, G., Ando, K., Masumoto, Y., Murty, V. S. N., Ravichandran, M., Syamsudin, F., Vialard, J., Yu, L., & Yu, W. (2009) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/2008bams2608.1 · Cited by 608
Seasonal Drought Prediction: Advances, Challenges, and Future Prospects
Hao, Z., Singh, V. P., & Xia, Y. (2018) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1002/2016rg000549 · Cited by 607
Zhou, T., Gong, D., Li, J., & Li, B. (2009) · Meteorologische Zeitschrift · doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2009/0396 · Cited by 435
Metadata
- Authors
- Hoerling, M., & Kumar, A.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2003-01-31
- Volume
- 299
- Issue
- 5607
- Pages
- 691-694
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2009361981
- Cited by
- 636
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 34.25
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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