The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Abrupt Climate Change
Abstract
Large, abrupt, and widespread climate changes with major impacts have occurred repeatedly in the past, when the Earth system was forced across thresholds. Although abrupt climate changes can occur for many reasons, it is conceivable that human forcing of climate change is increasing the probability of large, abrupt events. Were such an event to recur, the economic and ecological impacts could be large and potentially serious. Unpredictability exhibited near climate thresholds in simple models shows that some uncertainty will always be associated with projections. In light of these uncertainties, policy-makers should consider expanding research into abrupt climate change, improving monitoring systems, and taking actions designed to enhance the adaptability and resilience of ecosystems and economies.
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Citations
Cites
A negative feedback mechanism for the long‐term stabilization of Earth's surface temperature
Walker, J. C. G., Hays, P. B., & Kasting, J. F. (1981) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans · doi:10.1029/jc086ic10p09776 · Cited by 2,310
Cited by
Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change
Parmesan, C. (2006) · Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.37.091305.110100 · Cited by 8,652
Early-warning signals for critical transitions
Scheffer, M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W. A., Brovkin, V., Carpenter, S. R., Dakos, V., Held, H., van Nes, E. H., Rietkerk, M., & Sugihara, G. (2009) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature08227 · Cited by 4,854
Tipping elements in the Earth’s climate system
Lenton, T. M., Held, H., Kriegler, E., Hall, J. W., Lucht, W., Rahmstorf, S., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2008) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0705414105 · Cited by 3,982
Global water crisis and future food security in an era of climate change
Hanjra, M. A., & Qureshi, M. E. (2010) · Food Policy · doi:10.1016/j.foodpol.2010.05.006 · Cited by 1,387
An adaptability limit to climate change due to heat stress
Sherwood, S. C., & Huber, M. (2010) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0913352107 · Cited by 1,236
Metadata
- Authors
- Alley, R. B., Marotzke, J., Nordhaus, W. D., Overpeck, J. T., Peteet, D. M., Pielke, R. A., Pierrehumbert, R. T., Rhines, P. B., Stocker, T. F., Talley, L. D., & Wallace, J. M.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2003-03-28
- Volume
- 299
- Issue
- 5615
- Pages
- 2005-2010
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2129999750
- Cited by
- 1,331
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 61.24
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Abrupt Climate Change. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1126/science.1081056
- The paper
- Alley, R. B., Marotzke, J., Nordhaus, W. D., Overpeck, J. T., Peteet, D. M., Pielke, R. A., Pierrehumbert, R. T., Rhines, P. B., Stocker, T. F., Talley, L. D., & Wallace, J. M. (2003). Abrupt Climate Change. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1081056
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
