Global Patterns of Predator Diversity in the Open Oceans
Abstract
The open oceans comprise most of the biosphere, yet patterns and trends of species diversity there are enigmatic. Here, we derive worldwide patterns of tuna and billfish diversity over the past 50 years, revealing distinct subtropical "hotspots" that appeared to hold generally for other predators and zooplankton. Diversity was positively correlated with thermal fronts and dissolved oxygen and a nonlinear function of temperature (approximately 25 degrees C optimum). Diversity declined between 10 and 50% in all oceans, a trend that coincided with increased fishing pressure, superimposed on strong El Niño-Southern Oscillation-driven variability across the Pacific. We conclude that predator diversity shows a predictable yet eroding pattern signaling ecosystem-wide changes linked to climate and fishing.
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Temperature is a key factor in determining the distributions of adult tuna.
“Temperature is a key factor in determining the distributions of adult tuna (Worm et al. 2005, Boyce et al. 2008, Tittensor et al. 2010), as well as of larvae (present study).”
From Worldwide distributions of tuna larvae: revisiting hypotheses on environmental requirements for spawning habitats (2014) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
EKE has not been used to estimate larval habitats.
“Though EKE has been used in several studies to model the spatial distribution of adult tuna (e.g.Worm et al. 2005, Zainuddin et al. 2008), it has not been used to estimate larval habitats.”
From Worldwide distributions of tuna larvae: revisiting hypotheses on environmental requirements for spawning habitats (2014) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
Water temperature has repeatedly emerged as the best single predictor of species density and distribution.
“Of these, water temperature has repeatedly emerged as the best single predictor of species density and distribution (Lee et al. 2005, Worm et al. 2005).”
From Effects of temperature on global patterns of tuna and billfish richness (2008) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
The selected tuna and billfish species share common ecological niches.
“These species were selected as they are all regionally heterothermic predators that share common ecological niches, are fished with like gear, and exhibit comparable oceanographic preferences (reviewed by Sund et al. 1981, Brill & Lutcavage 2001, reviewed by Worm et al. 2005).”
From Effects of temperature on global patterns of tuna and billfish richness (2008) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
The selected tuna and billfish species are fished with like gear.
“These species were selected as they are all regionally heterothermic predators that share common ecological niches, are fished with like gear, and exhibit comparable oceanographic preferences (reviewed by Sund et al. 1981, Brill & Lutcavage 2001, reviewed by Worm et al. 2005).”
From Effects of temperature on global patterns of tuna and billfish richness (2008) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
Community-wide patterns of abundance and richness of tunas and billfishes remain poorly understood.
“While tagging studies have added to our knowledge of the current ranges and distribution patterns for individual species of tuna and billfish (Block et al. 2001), community-wide patterns of abundance and richness remain poorly understood (Worm et al. 2005).”
From Effects of temperature on global patterns of tuna and billfish richness (2008) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
Japanese logbook data are the only globally consistent data on species composition, catch, and effort for all tunas and billfishes.
“Japanese logbook data are compiled from the world's largest longline fleet and are the only globally consistent data on species composition, catch, and effort for all tunas and billfishes (Worm et al. 2005).”
From Effects of temperature on global patterns of tuna and billfish richness (2008) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
The selected tuna and billfish species are all regionally heterothermic predators.
“These species were selected as they are all regionally heterothermic predators that share common ecological niches, are fished with like gear, and exhibit comparable oceanographic preferences (reviewed by Sund et al. 1981, Brill & Lutcavage 2001, reviewed by Worm et al. 2005).”
From Effects of temperature on global patterns of tuna and billfish richness (2008) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
The selected tuna and billfish species exhibit comparable oceanographic preferences.
“These species were selected as they are all regionally heterothermic predators that share common ecological niches, are fished with like gear, and exhibit comparable oceanographic preferences (reviewed by Sund et al. 1981, Brill & Lutcavage 2001, reviewed by Worm et al. 2005).”
From Effects of temperature on global patterns of tuna and billfish richness (2008) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
While temperature may be among the best global predictors for the distribution of these species, other factors are regionally important.
“While temperature may be among the best global predictors for the distribution of these species, other factors are regionally important (Worm et al. 2005).”
From Effects of temperature on global patterns of tuna and billfish richness (2008) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
A decrease in species richness was documented in the western Pacific 'warm pool', where the highest mean annual ocean temperatures at 100 m (> 28°C) are found.
“A decrease in species richness was documented in the western Pacific 'warm pool' (Worm et al. 2005), where the highest mean annual ocean temperatures at 100 m (> 28°C) are found (Conkright et al. 2002).”
From Effects of temperature on global patterns of tuna and billfish richness (2008) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
This latitudinal pattern is similar to that previously found for the diversity of tunas and billfishes, as well as foraminifera and other zooplankton groups.
“This latitudinal pattern is similar to that previously found for the diversity of tunas and billfishes (Worm et al. 2003(Worm et al. , 2005)), as well as foraminifera and other zooplankton groups (Rutherford et al. 1999).”
From Effects of temperature on global patterns of tuna and billfish richness (2008) · cites this paper as Worm et al. 2005
Longlines resemble long baited transects and catch a wide range of species in a consistent way over a vast spatial scale.
“Longlines resemble long baited transects and catch a wide range of species in a consistent way over a vast spatial scale and longline catch data have been previously used to analyse changes in abundance (Myers and Worm, 2003), diversity (Worm et al., 2005), range contraction (Worm and Tittensor, 2011) and biogeography (Reygondeau et al., 2012).”
From Global habitat preferences of commercially valuable tuna (2015) · cites this paper as Worm et al., 2005
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References 28 · Cited by 419
- Authors
- Worm, B., Sandow, M., Oschlies, A., Lotze, H. K., & Myers, R. A.
- Affiliations
- Dalhousie University (CA)
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2005-08-26
- Volume
- 309
- Issue
- 5739
- Pages
- 1365-1369
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2046515122
- Cited by
- 419
- References
- 28
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 10 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 29 · 2020: 18 · 2019: 14 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 20 · 2016: 19 · 2015: 24 · 2014: 18 · 2013: 22 · 2012: 28
- FWCI
- 20.57
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (GEOMAR) (acceptedVersion)
- ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Marine and fisheries research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Fish Ecology and Management Studies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ichthyology and Marine Biology
- Keywords
- predator diversity, tuna, billfish, open ocean, thermal fronts, dissolved oxygen, optimal temperature, ENSO, fishing pressure, climate change, zooplankton, ocean warming
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Climate, Fisheries, Oceans and Seas, Oxygen, Perciformes, Population Density, Predatory Behavior, Regression Analysis, Seasons, Temperature, Time Factors, Tuna, Zooplankton, Ecosystem, Biodiversity
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