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Amplification of Surface Temperature Trends and Variability in the Tropical Atmosphere
Open accessAbstract
The month-to-month variability of tropical temperatures is larger in the troposphere than at Earth's surface. This amplification behavior is similar in a range of observations and climate model simulations and is consistent with basic theory. On multidecadal time scales, tropospheric amplification of surface warming is a robust feature of model simulations, but it occurs in only one observational data set. Other observations show weak, or even negative, amplification. These results suggest either that different physical mechanisms control amplification processes on monthly and decadal time scales, and models fail to capture such behavior; or (more plausibly) that residual errors in several observational data sets used here affect their representation of long-term trends.
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Cites
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Self-citationContributions of Anthropogenic and Natural Forcing to Recent Tropopause Height Changes
Santer, B. D., Wehner, M. F., Wigley, T. M. L., Sausen, R., Meehl, G. A., Taylor, K. E., Ammann, C., Arblaster, J., Washington, W. M., Boyle, J. S., et al. (2003) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1084123 · Cited by 471
Self-citationA search for human influences on the thermal structure of the atmosphere
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Self-citationClimate forcings in Goddard Institute for Space Studies SI2000 simulations
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Cited by
Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming
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Metadata
- Authors
- Santer, B. D., Wigley, T. M. L., Mears, C., Wentz, F. J., Klein, S. A., Seidel, D. J., Taylor, K. E., Thorne, P. W., Wehner, M. F., Gleckler, P. J., Boyle, J. S., Collins, W. D., Dixon, K. W., Doutriaux, C., Free, M., Fu, Q., Hansen, J. E., Jones, G. S., Ruedy, R., Karl, T. R., Lanzante, J. R., Meehl, G. A., Ramaswamy, V., Russell, G., & Schmidt, G. A.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2005-09-02
- Volume
- 309
- Issue
- 5740
- Pages
- 1551-1556
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2135858460
- Cited by
- 331
- References
- 20
- FWCI
- 32.29
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Santer, B. D., Wigley, T. M. L., Mears, C., Wentz, F. J., Klein, S. A., Seidel, D. J., Taylor, K. E., Thorne, P. W., Wehner, M. F., Gleckler, P. J., Boyle, J. S., Collins, W. D., Dixon, K. W., Doutriaux, C., Free, M., Fu, Q., Hansen, J. E., Jones, G. S., Ruedy, R., . . . Schmidt, G. A. (2005). Amplification of Surface Temperature Trends and Variability in the Tropical Atmosphere. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1114867
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
