The DOI matches its Crossref record; 34 of the 34 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Pliocene Paradox (Mechanisms for a Permanent El Niño)
Abstract
During the early Pliocene, 5 to 3 million years ago, globally averaged temperatures were substantially higher than they are today, even though the external factors that determine climate were essentially the same. In the tropics, El Niño was continual (or “permanent”) rather than intermittent. The appearance of northern continental glaciers, and of cold surface waters in oceanic upwelling zones in low latitudes (both coastal and equatorial), signaled the termination of those warm climate conditions and the end of permanent El Niño. This led to the amplification of obliquity (but not precession) cycles in equatorial sea surface temperatures and in global ice volume, with the former leading the latter by several thousand years. A possible explanation is that the gradual shoaling of the oceanic thermocline reached a threshold around 3 million years ago, when the winds started bringing cold waters to the surface in low latitudes. This introduced feedbacks involving ocean-atmosphere interactions that, along with ice-albedo feedbacks, amplified obliquity cycles. A future melting of glaciers, changes in the hydrological cycle, and a deepening of the thermocline could restore the warm conditions of the early Pliocene.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Trends, Rhythms, and Aberrations in Global Climate 65 Ma to Present
Zachos, J., Pagani, M., Sloan, L., Thomas, E., & Billups, K. (2001) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1059412 · Cited by 10,458
Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420,000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica
Petit, J. R., Jouzel, J., Raynaud, D., Barkov, N. I., Barnola, J.-M., Basile, I., Bender, M., Chappellaz, J., Davis, M., Delaygue, G., et al. (1999) · Nature · doi:10.1038/20859 · Cited by 6,508
Plio-Pleistocene African Climate
deMenocal, P. B. (1995) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.270.5233.53 · Cited by 1,241
Self-citationCenozoic Deep-Sea Temperatures and Global Ice Volumes from Mg/Ca in Benthic Foraminiferal Calcite
Lear, C. H., Elderfield, H., & Wilson, P. A. (2000) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.287.5451.269 · Cited by 1,098
Climate Impact of Late Quaternary Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Variations
Lea, D. W., Pak, D. K., & Spero, H. J. (2000) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.289.5485.1719 · Cited by 1,043
Effect of the formation of the Isthmus of Panama on Atlantic Ocean thermohaline circulation
Haug, G. H., & Tiedemann, R. (1998) · Nature · doi:10.1038/31447 · Cited by 977
Holocene carbon-cycle dynamics based on CO2 trapped in ice at Taylor Dome, Antarctica
Indermühle, A., Stocker, T. F., Joos, F., Fischer, H., Smith, H. J., Wahlen, M., Deck, B., Mastroianni, D., Tschumi, J., Blunier, T., et al. (1999) · Nature · doi:10.1038/18158 · Cited by 760
Regional climate shifts caused by gradual global cooling in the Pliocene epoch
Ravelo, A. C., Andreasen, D. H., Lyle, M., Olivarez Lyle, A., & Wara, M. W. (2004) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature02567 · Cited by 675
Self-citationPermanent El Niño-Like Conditions During the Pliocene Warm Period
Wara, M. W., Ravelo, A. C., & Delaney, M. L. (2005) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1112596 · Cited by 674
Self-citationCane, M. A., & Molnar, P. (2001) · Nature · doi:10.1038/35075500 · Cited by 565
Cited by
ENSO as an Integrating Concept in Earth Science
McPhaden, M. J., Zebiak, S. E., & Glantz, M. H. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1132588 · Cited by 2,110
Global Warming and the Weakening of the Tropical Circulation
Vecchi, G. A., & Soden, B. J. (2007) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli4258.1 · Cited by 1,303
Changing El Niño–Southern Oscillation in a warming climate
Cai, W., Santoso, A., Collins, M., Dewitte, B., Karamperidou, C., Kug, J.-S., Lengaigne, M., McPhaden, M. J., Stuecker, M. F., Taschetto, A. S., et al. (2021) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-021-00199-z · Cited by 702
Ardipithecus ramidus and the Paleobiology of Early Hominids
White, T. D., Asfaw, B., Beyene, Y., Haile-Selassie, Y., Lovejoy, C. O., Suwa, G., & WoldeGabriel, G. (2009) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1175802 · Cited by 676
Ecological extinction and evolution in the brave new ocean
Jackson, J. B. C. (2008) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0802812105 · Cited by 611
Metadata
- Authors
- Fedorov, A. V., Dekens, P. S., McCarthy, M., Ravelo, A. C., deMenocal, P. B., Barreiro, M., Pacanowski, R. C., & Philander, S. G.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2006-06-09
- Volume
- 312
- Issue
- 5779
- Pages
- 1485-1489
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2142896906
- Cited by
- 458
- References
- 34
- FWCI
- 16.12
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Pliocene Paradox (Mechanisms for a Permanent El Niño). https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1126/science.1122666
- The paper
- Fedorov, A. V., Dekens, P. S., McCarthy, M., Ravelo, A. C., deMenocal, P. B., Barreiro, M., Pacanowski, R. C., & Philander, S. G. (2006). The Pliocene Paradox (Mechanisms for a Permanent El Niño). Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1122666
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.