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Global Hydrological Cycles and World Water Resources
Abstract
Water is a naturally circulating resource that is constantly recharged. Therefore, even though the stocks of water in natural and artificial reservoirs are helpful to increase the available water resources for human society, the flow of water should be the main focus in water resources assessments. The climate system puts an upper limit on the circulation rate of available renewable freshwater resources (RFWR). Although current global withdrawals are well below the upper limit, more than two billion people live in highly water-stressed areas because of the uneven distribution of RFWR in time and space. Climate change is expected to accelerate water cycles and thereby increase the available RFWR. This would slow down the increase of people living under water stress; however, changes in seasonal patterns and increasing probability of extreme events may offset this effect. Reducing current vulnerability will be the first step to prepare for such anticipated changes.
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Metadata
- Authors
- Oki, T., & Kanae, S.
- Affiliations
- Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JP)
- Corresponding author
- Oki, Taikan
- Kanae, Shinjiro
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2006-08-25
- Volume
- 313
- Issue
- 5790
- Pages
- 1068-1072
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2166186402
- Semantic Scholar
- 081302edda95ed9cf79fb9dda022c20e62d48ce5
- Cited by
- 4,392
- References
- 23
- Citations by year
- 2026: 332 · 2025: 337 · 2024: 344 · 2023: 357 · 2022: 375 · 2021: 386 · 2020: 338 · 2019: 297 · 2018: 245 · 2017: 189 · 2016: 208 · 2015: 174 · 2014: 165 · 2013: 145 · 2012: 133
- FWCI
- 12.85
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Institutional Repositories DataBase (IRDB) (submittedVersion)
- Tokyo Tech Research Repository (Tokyo Institute of Technology) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Water Science and Technology › Water resources management and optimization
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Water Science and Technology › Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Water Science and Technology › Environmental Science and Water Management
- Keywords
- water cycle, water resources assessment, water stress, climate change impacts on water resources, water abstraction, hydrological extremes, seasonal climate variability, water resources vulnerability
- MeSH terms
- Agriculture, Animals, Climate, Fresh Water, Humans, Industry, Water Supply, Weather, Water Purification, Rivers
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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