The DOI matches its Crossref record; 11 of the 11 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
A Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise
Abstract
A semi-empirical relation is presented that connects global sea-level rise to global mean surface temperature. It is proposed that, for time scales relevant to anthropogenic warming, the rate of sea-level rise is roughly proportional to the magnitude of warming above the temperatures of the pre–Industrial Age. This holds to good approximation for temperature and sea-level changes during the 20th century, with a proportionality constant of 3.4 millimeters/year per °C. When applied to future warming scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, this relationship results in a projected sea-level rise in 2100 of 0.5 to 1.4 meters above the 1990 level.
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Cites
Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis
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Sea-level and deep water temperature changes derived from benthic foraminifera isotopic records
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A 20th century acceleration in global sea‐level rise
Church, J. A., & White, N. J. (2006) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2005gl024826 · Cited by 1,595
Surface Melt-Induced Acceleration of Greenland Ice-Sheet Flow
Zwally, H. J., Abdalati, W., Herring, T., Larson, K., Saba, J., & Steffen, K. (2002) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1072708 · Cited by 1,100
A closer look at United States and global surface temperature change
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Self-citationMontoya, M., Griesel, A., Levermann, A., Mignot, J., Hofmann, M., Ganopolski, A., & Rahmstorf, S. (2005) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0044-1 · Cited by 100
Self-citation
Cited by
The Anthropocene: Are Humans Now Overwhelming the Great Forces of Nature
Steffen, W., Crutzen, P. J., & McNeill, J. R. (2007) · AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment · doi:10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[614:taahno]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 3,487
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A global ranking of port cities with high exposure to climate extremes
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Sea-level rise and its possible impacts given a ‘beyond 4°C world’ in the twenty-first century
Nicholls, R. J., Marinova, N., Lowe, J. A., Brown, S., Vellinga, P., de Gusmão, D., Hinkel, J., & Tol, R. S. J. (2011) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2010.0291 · Cited by 555
Potential climate-change impacts on the Chesapeake Bay.
Najjar, R. G., Pyke, C. R., Adams, M. B., Breitburg, D., Hershner, C., Kemp, M., Howarth, R., Mulholland, M. R., Paolisso, M., Secor, D., et al. (2010) · Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science · doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2009.09.026 · Cited by 528
Metadata
- Authors
- Rahmstorf, S.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2007-01-19
- Volume
- 315
- Issue
- 5810
- Pages
- 368-370
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2050338614
- Cited by
- 1,644
- References
- 11
- FWCI
- 68.15
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
