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Perspectives on the Arctic's Shrinking Sea-Ice Cover

Serreze, Mark C., Holland, Marika M., Stroeve, Julienne·2007·Science

Abstract

Linear trends in arctic sea-ice extent over the period 1979 to 2006 are negative in every month. This ice loss is best viewed as a combination of strong natural variability in the coupled ice-ocean-atmosphere system and a growing radiative forcing associated with rising concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases, the latter supported by evidence of qualitative consistency between observed trends and those simulated by climate models over the same period. Although the large scatter between individual model simulations leads to much uncertainty as to when a seasonally ice-free Arctic Ocean might be realized, this transition to a new arctic state may be rapid once the ice thins to a more vulnerable state. Loss of the ice cover is expected to affect the Arctic's freshwater system and surface energy budget and could be manifested in middle latitudes as altered patterns of atmospheric circulation and precipitation.

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Metadata

Authors
Serreze, M. C., Holland, M. M., & Stroeve, J.
Venue
Science
Published
2007-03-16
Volume
315
Issue
5818
Pages
1533-1536
ISSN
  • 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
  • 1095-9203
OpenAlex
W2024417959
Cited by
1,261
References
0
FWCI
59.10
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Perspectives on the Arctic's Shrinking Sea-Ice Cover. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1126/science.1139426
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Serreze, M. C., Holland, M. M., & Stroeve, J. (2007). Perspectives on the Arctic's Shrinking Sea-Ice Cover. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1139426

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

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