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Cited by 699

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 25 of the 25 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years?

Wang, Muyin, Overland, James E.·2009·Geophysical Research Letters

Abstract

September 2008 followed 2007 as the second sequential year with an extreme summer Arctic sea ice extent minimum. Although such a sea ice loss was not indicated until much later in the century in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 4th Assessment Report, many models show an accelerating decline in the summer minimum sea ice extent during the 21st century. Using the observed 2007/2008 September sea ice extents as a starting point, we predict an expected value for a nearly sea ice free Arctic in September by the year 2037. The first quartile of the distribution for the timing of September sea ice loss will be reached by 2028. Our analysis is based on projections from six IPCC models, selected subject to an observational constraints. Uncertainty in the timing of a sea ice free Arctic in September is determined based on both within‐model contributions from natural variability and between‐model differences.

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Metadata

Authors
Wang, M., & Overland, J. E.
Venue
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2009-04-03
Volume
36
Issue
7
ISSN
  • 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
  • 1944-8007
OpenAlex
W2132590819
Cited by
699
References
25
FWCI
47.57
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years? https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1029/2009gl037820
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Wang, M., & Overland, J. E. (2009). A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years? Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009gl037820

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.