Cited by 5,885Coral and Marine Ecosystems StudiesOcean Acidification Effects and ResponsesCoastal and Marine Dynamics

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Coral Reefs Under Rapid Climate Change and Ocean Acidification

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Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Mumby, P. J., Hooten, A. J., Steneck, R. S., Greenfield, P., Gomez, E., Harvell, C. D., Sale, P. F., Edwards, A. J., Caldeira, K., Knowlton, N., Eakin, C. M., Iglesias-Prieto, R., Muthiga, N., Bradbury, R. H., Dubi, A., Hatziolos, M. E.·2007·Science

DOI 10.1126/science.1152509

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Abstract

Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration is expected to exceed 500 parts per million and global temperatures to rise by at least 2°C by 2050 to 2100, values that significantly exceed those of at least the past 420,000 years during which most extant marine organisms evolved. Under conditions expected in the 21st century, global warming and ocean acidification will compromise carbonate accretion, with corals becoming increasingly rare on reef systems. The result will be less diverse reef communities and carbonate reef structures that fail to be maintained. Climate change also exacerbates local stresses from declining water quality and overexploitation of key species, driving reefs increasingly toward the tipping point for functional collapse. This review presents future scenarios for coral reefs that predict increasingly serious consequences for reef-associated fisheries, tourism, coastal protection, and people. As the International Year of the Reef 2008 begins, scaled-up management intervention and decisive action on global emissions are required if the loss of coral-dominated ecosystems is to be avoided.

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Authors: Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Mumby, P. J., Hooten, A. J., Steneck, R. S., Greenfield, P., Gomez, E., Harvell, C. D., Sale, P. F., Edwards, A. J., Caldeira, K., Knowlton, N., Eakin, C. M., Iglesias-Prieto, R., Muthiga, N., Bradbury, R. H., Dubi, A., & Hatziolos, M. E.
Affiliations: Centre for Marine Studies, The University of Queensland, St. Lucia, 4072 Queensland, Australia.
The University of Queensland (AU)
ORCID: Mumby, P. J.
Steneck, R. S.
Greenfield, P.
Gomez, E.
Harvell, C. D.
Edwards, A. J.
Caldeira, K.
Eakin, C. M.
Muthiga, N.
Bradbury, R. H.
Dubi, A.
Venue: Science
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Published: 2007-12-14
Volume: 318
Issue: 5857
Pages: 1737-1742
ISSN: 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
1095-9203
DOI: 10.1126/science.1152509
OpenAlex: W2123920115
Cited by: 5,885
References: 52
Citations by year: 2026: 178 · 2025: 256 · 2024: 279 · 2023: 296 · 2022: 301 · 2021: 344 · 2020: 340 · 2019: 395 · 2018: 379 · 2017: 463 · 2016: 361 · 2015: 343 · 2014: 367 · 2013: 366 · 2012: 318
FWCI: 21.03
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
hdl.handle.net
Locations: Science (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (GEOMAR) (acceptedVersion)
ANU Open Research (Australian National University) (submittedVersion)
Smithsonian Digital Repository (Smithsonian Institution) (submittedVersion)
Newcastle University ePrints (Newcastle Univesity)
Funders: Natural Environment Research Council (NE/E00606X/1)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Coral and Marine Ecosystems Studies
Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Ocean Acidification Effects and Responses
Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Earth-Surface Processes › Coastal and Marine Dynamics
Keywords: coral reefs, climate change, ocean acidification, global warming, reef biodiversity, reef fisheries, reef tourism, coastal protection, CO2 emissions, reef management
MeSH terms: Animals, Atmosphere, Carbon Dioxide, Climate, Dinoflagellida, Fishes, Forecasting, Hydrogen-Ion Concentration, Oceans and Seas, Seawater, Temperature, Greenhouse Effect, Ecosystem, Anthozoa, Eukaryota

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Coral Reefs Under Rapid Climate Change and Ocean Acidification

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