The DOI matches its Crossref record.
The Urban Transformation of the Developing World
Abstract
Sometime in the next 20 to 30 years, developing countries in Asia and Africa are likely to cross a historic threshold, joining Latin America in having a majority of urban residents. The urban demographic transformation is described here, with an emphasis on estimates and forecasts of urban population aggregates. To provide policy-makers with useful scientific guidance in the upcoming urban era, demographic researchers will need to refine their data sets to include spatial factors as well as urban vital rates and to make improvements to forecasting methods currently in use.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
No references could be resolved yet.
Research works printed but not linked: 14
- Panel on Urban Population Dynamics Cities Transformed: Demographic Change and Its Implications in the Developing World M. R. Montgomery R. Stren B. Cohen H. Reed Eds. (National Academies Press Washington DC 2003).
- 10.1177/0956247807076960 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.4054/DemRes.2005.12.9 · DOI · Paper page
- K. W. Chan, Y. Hu, China Rev.3, 49 (2003).
- 10.2747/1538-7216.48.4.383 · doi:10.2747/1538-7216.48.4.383
- T. G. McGee, in The Extended Metropolis: Settlement Transition in Asia, N. Ginsburg, B. Koppel, T. G. McGee, Eds. (Univ. of Hawaii Press, Honolulu, HI, 1991), pp. 3–25.
- D. Balk F. Pozzi G. Yetman U. Deichmann A. Nelson in Proceedings of the Urban Remote Sensing Conference of the International Society for Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing (International Society for Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing Tempe AZ 2005).
- 10.1080/01431160310001654950 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1016/j.rse.2005.02.002 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1007/s10980-005-5238-8 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1068/b31142 · doi:10.1068/b31142
- N. Chen, P. Valente, H. Zlotnik, Migration, Urbanization, and Development: New Directions and Issues, R. E. Bilsborrow, Ed. (UNFPA, New York, 1998), pp. 59–88.
- K. Sivaramakrishnan A. Kundu B. Singh Handbook of Urbanization in India: An Analysis of Trends and Processes (Oxford Univ. Press New Delhi 2005).
- M. R. Montgomery D. Balk Global Urbanization in the 21st Century E. L. Birch S. M. Wachter Eds. The City in the 21st Century (Univ. of Pennsylvania Press Philadelphia 2008).
Cited by
Whitmee, S., Haines, A., Beyrer, C., Boltz, F., Capon, A. G., de Souza Dias, B. F., Ezeh, A., Frumkin, H., Gong, P., Head, P., et al. (2015) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(15)60901-1 · Cited by 2,998
Deforestation driven by urban population growth and agricultural trade in the twenty-first century
DeFries, R. S., Rudel, T., Uriarte, M., & Hansen, M. (2010) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo756 · Cited by 1,413
Water on an urban planet: Urbanization and the reach of urban water infrastructure
McDonald, R. I., Weber, K., Padowski, J., Flörke, M., Schneider, C., Green, P. A., Gleeson, T., Eckman, S., Lehner, B., Balk, D., et al. (2014) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.04.022 · Cited by 786
Self-citationIncorporating Intelligence in Fog Computing for Big Data Analysis in Smart Cities
Tang, B., Chen, Z., Hefferman, G., Pei, S., Wei, T., He, H., & Yang, Q. (2017) · IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics · doi:10.1109/tii.2017.2679740 · Cited by 353
“It is expected that more than 9 billion people will live on the planet in 2050, and about two-thirds of them in cities [4], [5].”
BackgroundUrban agriculture and food security: A critique based on an assessment of urban land constraints
Badami, M. G., & Ramankutty, N. (2015) · Global Food Security · doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2014.10.003 · Cited by 263
Metadata
- Authors
- Montgomery, M. R.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2008-02-08
- Volume
- 319
- Issue
- 5864
- Pages
- 761-764
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2162632039
- Cited by
- 651
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 82.27
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Urban Transformation of the Developing World. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1126/science.1153012
- The paper
- Montgomery, M. R. (2008). The Urban Transformation of the Developing World. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1153012
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.