World Urbanization Prospects: an alternative to the UN model of projection compatible with the mobility transition theory
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This paper proposes to critically examine the United Nations projections on urbanisation. Both the estimates of current trends based on national data and the method of projection are evaluated. The theory of mobility transition is used as an alternativ
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The trend of integrating smart and sustainable urban development paradigms in policies and practices will continue to rise at least up to 2050.
“The most widely cited report of the World Urbanisation Prospects series of the United Nations [126] clearly states that this trend of integrating both urban development paradigms in terms of polices and practices will continue to rise at least up to 2050, highlighting the growing role of ICT in mitigating the rising challenges of sustainability.”
From On the sustainability of smart and smarter cities in the era of big data: an interdisciplinary and transdisciplinary literature review (2019) · cites this paper as [126]
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- Authors
- Bocquier, P.
- Affiliations
- Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (FR)
- Corresponding author
- Bocquier, Philippe
- ORCID
- Bocquier, Philippe
- Venue
- Demographic Research
- Published
- 2005-05-04
- Volume
- 12
- Pages
- 197-236
- ISSN
- 1435-9871 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2020159352
- Cited by
- 1,746
- References
- 22
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 27 · 2024: 41 · 2023: 34 · 2022: 59 · 2021: 180 · 2020: 171 · 2019: 126 · 2018: 195 · 2017: 148 · 2016: 106 · 2015: 96 · 2014: 72 · 2013: 75 · 2012: 69
- FWCI
- 114.93
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- Demographic Research (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Demography › Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
- Social Sciences › Urban Studies › Urban and Rural Development Challenges
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Regional Economics and Spatial Analysis
- Keywords
- urbanization, urbanization projections, population projections
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