The DOI matches its Crossref record; 14 of the 14 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Kinematic Constraints on Glacier Contributions to 21st-Century Sea-Level Rise
Abstract
On the basis of climate modeling and analogies with past conditions, the potential for multimeter increases in sea level by the end of the 21st century has been proposed. We consider glaciological conditions required for large sea-level rise to occur by 2100 and conclude that increases in excess of 2 meters are physically untenable. We find that a total sea-level rise of about 2 meters by 2100 could occur under physically possible glaciological conditions but only if all variables are quickly accelerated to extremely high limits. More plausible but still accelerated conditions lead to total sea-level rise by 2100 of about 0.8 meter. These roughly constrained scenarios provide a “most likely” starting point for refinements in sea-level forecasts that include ice flow dynamics.
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IPCC (2007): Climate Change The Physical Science Basis
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Glaciers Dominate Eustatic Sea-Level Rise in the 21st Century
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Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions
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Sea-level rise and its possible impacts given a ‘beyond 4°C world’ in the twenty-first century
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Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?
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Metadata
- Authors
- Pfeffer, W. T., Harper, J. T., & O'Neel, S.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2008-09-05
- Volume
- 321
- Issue
- 5894
- Pages
- 1340-1343
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2023464499
- Cited by
- 873
- References
- 14
- FWCI
- 48.81
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Pfeffer, W. T., Harper, J. T., & O'Neel, S. (2008). Kinematic Constraints on Glacier Contributions to 21st-Century Sea-Level Rise. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1159099
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
