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Modulation of Hurricane Activity in the Gulf of Mexico by the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Abstract
The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) is a large-scale episodic modulation of tropical winds and precipitation that travels eastward from Asia to America, with a characteristic repeat time of 30 to 60 days. Here it is shown that when MJO wind anomalies in the lower troposphere of the eastern Pacific are westerly, Gulf of Mexico and western Caribbean hurricane genesis is four times more likely than when the MJO winds are easterly. Accurate predictions of the MJO may lead to improved long-range forecasts of tropical cyclone activity.
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Citations
Cited by
Madden–Julian Oscillation: Bridging Weather and Climate
Zhang, C. (2013) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-12-00026.1 · Cited by 727
RAMA: The Research Moored Array for African–Asian–Australian Monsoon Analysis and Prediction*
McPhaden, M. J., Meyers, G., Ando, K., Masumoto, Y., Murty, V. S. N., Ravichandran, M., Syamsudin, F., Vialard, J., Yu, L., & Yu, W. (2009) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/2008bams2608.1 · Cited by 608
(2009) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/2008jcli2731.1 · Cited by 344
Maloney, E. D., & Hartmann, D. L. (2001) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<2545:tmjobd>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 309
Self-citationSalas, J. D., Govindaraju, R. S., Anderson, M., Arabi, M., Francés, F., Suarez, W., Lavado-Casimiro, W. S., & Green, T. R. (2014) · Modern Water Resources Engineering · doi:10.1007/978-1-62703-595-8_1 · Cited by 290
Metadata
- Authors
- Maloney, E. D., & Hartmann, D. L.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2000-03-17
- Volume
- 287
- Issue
- 5460
- Pages
- 2002-2004
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2011365949
- Cited by
- 404
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 4.04
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
